Steady Lads Live From TOKEN2049 in Singapore (2026)
Steady Lads Live From TOKEN2049 in Singapore (2026)
1 hour ago•Steady Lads
Podcast39 min 2 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Treat ZEC as a high-risk, narrative-driven trade: the speaker viewed $1,000 as a key level, but warned of a steep downside if buyers lose interest; consider taking profits near $2,000 only as that trader’s personal framework, not a forecast.
  • For BTC, the panel was cautiously positive but divided on whether the pullback was deep enough; no reliable entry or target was established, so avoid treating the cited $60,000 bottom or $120,000–$150,000 valuation as confirmed signals.
  • Be selective with crowded, expensive tokens such as HYPE and Lighter; monitor whether new products generate real users and revenue before buying into growth expectations.
  • Watch the planned Variational token launch in Q4 and Kraken’s potential Ink launch in roughly three to six months, but wait for confirmed dates, token terms, and valuations before considering either.
Detailed Analysis

Zcash (ZEC)

  • One trader described Zcash as a leading “coin of the cycle,” citing its privacy narrative and planned Project Hachyon work, which they said could arrive in the next few months. They also argued that Zcash could compete with Bitcoin for investor flows.
  • The bullish case was countered by concern that Zcash had recently been the worst-performing asset over a seven-day period and could fall sharply if buyers lose interest.
  • The trader viewed $1,000 as an important level: losing it would be bearish in their view. Their stated stop-loss was only mental, at a three-digit price; they acknowledged they could wake up to $300.
  • The trader said they might begin selling around $2,000, mentioned $3,000–$4,000 as possible selling levels, and expressed a longer-term aspiration of $20,000–$30,000. These were personal views, not a firm forecast.

Takeaways

  • The discussion presents Zcash as a high-risk, narrative-driven bet, with both a strong bullish thesis and the possibility of a steep reversal.
  • Treat the $1,000 level and the trader’s selling comments as that speaker’s framework—not as established support, a set stop-loss, or a recommendation. The transcript also notes that several traders were concentrated in the same crypto assets, which can increase reversal risk.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin was cited at about $118,000 a year earlier. One speaker suggested that addressing quantum-computing concerns could support a hypothetical valuation of $120,000–$150,000, but this was an opinion rather than a price target grounded in a specific analysis.
  • One participant said they believed a bottom had formed around $60,000 and was broadly bullish, while another worried that Bitcoin had not fallen enough to set up a strong bull run compared with the prior cycle.
  • The panel said a stronger gold narrative could help Bitcoin’s next sustained move. They also noted that Robinhood had bought $25 million of Bitcoin, viewing the addition to its balance sheet as a positive signal.

Takeaways

  • The panel’s Bitcoin outlook was cautiously positive but not unanimous: potential support from renewed demand and the gold narrative was balanced by concern about the depth of the pullback.
  • Quantum risk was raised as an overhang, but the suggested valuation impact was speculative. Consider the panel’s bottom and cycle comments as opinions, not confirmed market signals.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum was recalled at nearly $4,400 a year earlier. A participant who had previously forecast $7,000–$10,000 said they sold 5%–10% of their ETH at about $4,850, then sold the rest around $3,850 after the market’s October 10 move.
  • The panel discussed the possibility that Tom Lee and BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) could use their ETH holdings to support projects in the Ethereum ecosystem. This was presented as a possibility, not a confirmed plan.
  • One speaker floated a potential pair trade—long BMNR and short ETH—or holding selected Ethereum ecosystem assets instead. It was explicitly framed as something they were considering.

Takeaways

  • The discussion reflects a shift from an earlier ETH price target to taking profits and reassessing after the market moved lower.
  • The proposed BMNR/ETH trade is speculative and depends on future actions that the panel had not confirmed. It is not a recommendation.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana was described as having been roughly twice its later level a year earlier and was cited as an example of a coin that had challenged Ethereum’s position in a prior cycle.
  • The transcript offered no specific current price target or new SOL recommendation.

Takeaways

  • Solana was discussed mainly as a historical example of how investor attention and capital can rotate between major crypto assets.
  • The conversation did not provide a current thesis or entry level for SOL.

XRP

  • XRP was recalled at about $3 a year earlier as part of a comparison of how crypto prices had changed.

Takeaways

  • XRP was mentioned as a historical price reference only; the panel gave no current outlook, target, or recommendation.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

  • Dogecoin was described as having fallen by roughly two-thirds from its earlier level and as not having recovered as other assets gained attention.
  • Speakers suggested that alternative speculative assets, including Zcash and Hyperliquid, may have drawn interest away from older tokens such as Dogecoin.

Takeaways

  • The discussion suggests weaker relative interest in DOGE, but it does not establish a specific bearish catalyst or provide a trade recommendation.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • Hyperliquid was described as one of the commonly held tokens among traders and as a strong product. Speakers also said its valuation looked expensive and that it may be pricing in a large amount of future revenue.
  • The panel thought Hyperliquid’s perpetuals product was its clearest strength. Its prediction-market feature, HIP-4, was said to have less traction so far, partly because the user experience may not fit prediction-market users.
  • The possibility that HIP-4 or future products could drive another leg higher in HYPE was discussed, but the panel did not make a firm prediction.

Takeaways

  • The speakers were positive about the product but cautious about the valuation and the degree to which future growth may already be priced in.
  • The panel’s discussion suggests watching whether new products attract users and revenue rather than assuming that additional features will support the token’s price.

Lighter

  • Lighter was named as another token widely held by traders. Speakers said it had performed well but warned that high valuations and crowded positioning could leave it vulnerable if sentiment turns.
  • A participant also mentioned exiting a position at “about 421,” but the transcript does not clearly identify the asset or unit, so that figure cannot be reliably attributed to Lighter.

Takeaways

  • The main signal was caution about consensus ownership and valuation, not a specific view on Lighter’s fundamentals or a clear price level.

NEAR

  • NEAR was listed among the tokens that traders at several dinners reportedly held in common. No specific thesis, catalyst, target, or risk was discussed.

Takeaways

  • The only investment insight offered was that NEAR appeared in a crowded set of popular holdings; the transcript gives no basis for a more specific view.

BNB

  • BNB was cited as an example of a token that may benefit when an exchange builds utility for it across its ecosystem.
  • Speakers discussed Kraken’s potential token as possibly following a similar approach, while noting that token utility can redirect value away from a company’s equity or cash flow.

Takeaways

  • The panel’s discussion points to ecosystem utility as a possible support for an exchange token, but it also highlights a potential trade-off between token value and the company’s own economics.

Tether (USDT), USDC, and TRON (TRX)

  • Tether and USDC market-value figures were described as little changed from a year earlier, consistent with the speakers’ characterization of stablecoins as “stable.”
  • TRON was cited as having remained near $0.33–$0.34 over the year and was described as one of the better-performing large assets on a relative basis.

Takeaways

  • The panel’s comments point to stablecoins as relatively steady in size and TRON as comparatively resilient over the period discussed.
  • No specific TRX recommendation, valuation view, or future target was provided.

Pearl

  • Pearl was described as an “AI Bitcoin” project whose mining concept uses AI inference computing—described in the discussion as “proof of useful work”—rather than conventional proof of work.
  • One speaker said interest in Pearl was widespread among traders they met and argued that a future exchange listing could make it easier to buy. They also said current access was difficult and limited to a lesser-known exchange.
  • Another speaker emphasized the supply risk: they cited roughly $1 million of daily inflation and said supply could double over the next year. In their view, demand would have to absorb that issuance for the price to rise sustainably.

Takeaways

  • Pearl combines an AI narrative with a difficult-to-access asset and a potentially significant supply overhang. A future listing could improve access, but it would not by itself solve the inflation or demand risks.
  • The speakers’ comments frame Pearl as highly speculative; the transcript provides no verified valuation or price target.

GRASS, Worldcoin (WLD), and MultiX

  • One speaker said they had been promoting AI-related crypto assets, reporting that GRASS had doubled since an earlier episode and that Worldcoin had begun to pick up.
  • The speaker expected attention around a possible OpenAI IPO to help the AI-coin theme, while another participant said they were still looking for a new AI-crypto asset that could gain traction.
  • MultiX was mentioned in passing alongside these assets, with no specific investment thesis or data.

Takeaways

  • The panel saw potential in the AI-crypto theme but acknowledged that the hoped-for breakout asset had not yet clearly emerged.
  • The comments about recent performance and future interest are not a substitute for evaluating each project’s fundamentals, token supply, and actual adoption.

Variational (planned token launch)

  • A Variational executive said the project had announced a token generation event (TGE) for Q4 and planned an airdrop of 32% of the token supply, which they described as larger than Hyperliquid’s.
  • The executive cited more than $4 billion in daily volume, most of it from traditional-finance perpetuals, and said the team was preparing for the launch.

Takeaways

  • The planned token launch and airdrop could attract attention, but the transcript provides no token price, valuation, eligibility details, or confirmed launch date.
  • The cited trading volume is a company representative’s claim. Prospective investors would need to assess how much activity is organic and whether the token has durable utility.

Kraken’s planned Ink token

  • Speakers discussed Kraken’s planned Ink token, with one participant suggesting a launch might occur in roughly three to six months. The timing was not presented as confirmed.
  • One speaker said Ink could have a broad role across Kraken’s ecosystem, potentially resembling BNB’s use across Binance products. Another warned that token utility could shift some value away from the company’s equity and cash flows.

Takeaways

  • The potential investment case depends on Kraken actually launching the token and creating meaningful utility for it.
  • The panel explicitly raised a conflict between token value and company economics; the transcript gives no confirmed launch details or token valuation.

Coinbase (COIN) and Base

  • The panel discussed the possibility of a Base token but said no launch had occurred. One speaker suggested Coinbase might continue to discuss a possible token without launching one, since issuing a token could affect the value of its public equity or redirect users and activity.
  • They also cautioned that token launches can disappoint and potentially hurt a project’s brand.

Takeaways

  • A Base token was speculative in this discussion. No launch date, token design, or recommendation was given.
  • For Coinbase equity, the relevant point was the possible tension between a token strategy and the value captured by the public company—not a direct forecast for COIN.

Polymarket and prediction markets

  • Speakers said Polymarket might issue a token, but there was no announcement in the discussion. They noted that a token could be one way for a private company to raise capital, while emphasizing that the possibility was uncertain.
  • Prediction markets were described as an area where platforms continue to attract interest and investment.

Takeaways

  • A Polymarket token should be treated as an unconfirmed possibility, not an announced investment opportunity.
  • The broader prediction-market theme may be worth monitoring, but the transcript does not provide a specific platform valuation or token recommendation.

Kalshi and on-chain derivatives platforms

  • Speakers referred to reports of substantial Kalshi perps volume that may not have been organic, citing low open interest relative to the reported volume. A Variational executive said the company had withdrawn from a planned competition with Kalshi because of concerns surrounding its perps platform.
  • The panel described options as a likely area of competition for perpetuals platforms. They also cautioned that recreating traditional order-book liquidity entirely on-chain could be challenging.

Takeaways

  • The discussion highlights the importance of checking trading volume against open interest and other signs of genuine market activity.
  • Options and prediction markets were identified as growth areas, but execution, liquidity, and user experience remain uncertain.

BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR)

  • The panel discussed BMNR’s accumulation of ETH and floated the possibility that the company could use its position to support projects in the Ethereum ecosystem.
  • One speaker mentioned a potential long BMNR / short ETH pair trade, or a long position in selected ecosystem assets, but said they were still evaluating the idea.

Takeaways

  • The trade idea depends on speculation about BMNR’s future strategy, which the speakers had not confirmed.
  • The discussion did not provide a BMNR price target or a formal recommendation.

Fartcoin

  • Fartcoin was mentioned as an example of a highly speculative token and as a comparison for ambitious price expectations. A speaker recalled a $10 target being discussed and said the episode’s Zcash price aspirations gave them flashbacks to that call.
  • The panel also asked whether anyone in the audience still held Fartcoin, framing it as a token that had left some investors with difficult positions.

Takeaways

  • The reference was cautionary: ambitious narratives and targets can encourage investors to stay in speculative trades too long.
  • No current Fartcoin outlook or recommendation was offered.

Orbeo

  • Orbeo was described as a crypto-and-AI token launched on Robinhood Chain that had reportedly reached a $100 million valuation.
  • Speakers said the token fell about 50% in a few hours after its founder followed a luxury-watch concierge account. They acknowledged that the social-media follow might have been innocent, but used the episode to illustrate how quickly sentiment can change when traders suspect founders may be cashing out or spending gains.

Takeaways

  • The discussion illustrates the reputational and sentiment risks of small, founder-associated tokens. A social-media signal is not proof of selling, but the reported price move shows how fragile market confidence can be.

Cardano (ADA)

  • Cardano was mentioned in a joke about its community and founder, with the speakers acknowledging Charles Hoskinson’s ability to build a large following and substantial wealth around ADA.

Takeaways

  • The mention was not an investment thesis: no ADA target, current outlook, or specific risk was discussed.

Broader crypto-market themes

  • Speakers described a market increasingly concentrated in a small set of popular tokens. They warned that crowded positioning and high future-revenue multiples could become problematic if markets turn lower.
  • They also discussed a shift toward two kinds of crypto bets: assets with direct cash flows and speculative “monetary” or narrative-driven assets. They were less enthusiastic about the middle ground of Layer-1 tokens.
  • The overall market outlook was mixed but generally positive: one participant said the bottom was in and speculation was returning, while others said many assets looked fairly valued or overpriced and favored being selective.

Takeaways

  • The discussion supports a selective approach rather than assuming a rising market will lift all tokens. Crowded ownership, high valuations, token issuance, and uncertain product traction were recurring concerns.
  • The panel’s broadly bullish comments were accompanied by explicit caution: several speakers said they were waiting for better entry points and expected weaker assets to underperform.
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Episode Description
The Lads took the show to the TOKEN2049 stage in Singapore — one year almost to the day since 10/10. So they pulled up the charts from last October and went through what actually changed. Zcash and Hyperliquid in the top ten. Dogecoin never came back. Justin out of ETH entirely. And every fund manager at every dinner holding the exact same four tickers. Taiki names his Zcash stop loss and his target. Jordi makes the case that everything in crypto is evolving into a crab. Plus the AI coin nobody can figure out how to buy. In Episode #104 we cover: 00:00 Coming Up on Steady Lads... 01:11 One Year Since 10/10, Quantum & The Coin Of The Cycle 03:20 Selling All The ETH & The Consensus Bag Problem 08:20 The Only TGE Of The Year 13:30 AI Coins & The Pearl Mystery 18:50 Everything Becomes A Crab 27:20 Pasta of the Week 🍝 33:20 Are We Back? Make sure to Like & Subscribe, and hit the notification bell so you don't miss an episode! ------ SL Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/0xSteadyLads SL YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@0xSteadyLads ------ * Dim Selk • https://x.com/dim_ss * Jordi Alexander • https://twitter.com/gametheorizing * Justin Bram • https://twitter.com/JustinCBram * Taiki Maeda • https://twitter.com/TaikiMaeda2 ⚠️ NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE ⚠️ This episode is for entertainment and informational purposes only. Nothing said by the hosts, guests, or written in this description is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any asset. The hosts and guests hold positions in the assets discussed — including $ZEC — and those positions can change at any time without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Crypto is extremely volatile and you can lose everything. Do your own research and speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. #Crypto #Zcash #Token2049
About Steady Lads
Steady Lads

Steady Lads

A crypto podcast focused on DeFi and featuring: @TaikiMaeda2 | @gametheorizing | @JustinCBram