A New Bull Run or a Bull Trap? | REKT Vision (November 28, 2025)
A New Bull Run or a Bull Trap? | REKT Vision (November 28, 2025)
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider Solana (SOL) for its continued outperformance, which is supported by strong institutional buying from Bitwise ETFs. For a more event-driven opportunity, watch for a potential dip in Hyperliquid (HYP) following its upcoming token unlock, as its growth in equity perps presents a strong long-term case. Speculators are looking at high-risk meme coins, with a potential bottom signal for Fartcoin after market maker Wintermute reportedly exited its position. The two major investment themes gaining significant traction are Perpetual DEXes and Prediction Markets, both of which are seeing explosive growth. While Ethereum (ETH) is showing relative strength, Bitcoin (BTC) remains below key technical indicators, suggesting a cautious approach toward the market leader for now.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The market saw a significant bounce after a period of heavy selling. Bitcoin recovered from a low of just over $80,000 to trade around $92,000 - $93,000.
  • The sentiment was described as "peak bear" about a week ago, with seven straight days of selling, but the recent bounce to $91,000 "feels amazing" in comparison.
  • From a technical perspective, the bounce is still viewed with caution. One speaker noted that Bitcoin is "comfortably below some of the longer term trend indicators like the weekly moving averages."
  • This speaker also mentioned they had reduced their Bitcoin allocation after it broke below the 50-week moving average and has not aggressively bought back in yet.
  • Bitcoin Dominance, which measures BTC's market share relative to other cryptos, has been surprisingly weak. It has struggled to break above 59% and has been flat to declining, which is unusual during a market downturn. This weakness has allowed some altcoins to perform better than Bitcoin.

Takeaways

  • Cautious Short-Term Outlook: While the price has bounced, key technical indicators suggest the downtrend may not be over. Investors might consider waiting for more confirmation before making large new allocations.
  • Watch Bitcoin Dominance: The weakness in Bitcoin's dominance is a key theme. If it continues, it could signal that select altcoins may offer better performance than Bitcoin in the near term.
  • Long-Term Macro View: A long-term bullish case tied to global liquidity was mentioned. This suggests that despite short-term volatility, the macro trend could eventually push prices higher.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum is showing relative strength, holding its price above the key psychological level of $3,000.
  • Along with other major Layer-1 blockchains, ETH was noted as beating Bitcoin's performance over the past week, bouncing stronger from the lows.

Takeaways

  • For investors looking for large-cap crypto exposure, Ethereum is demonstrating resilience and outperformance compared to Bitcoin in the current market, making it a potentially attractive alternative.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana is trading around $140 and was described as having been "always good" in terms of performance.
  • Like Ethereum, Solana has also been outperforming Bitcoin on a weekly timeframe.
  • A specific driver of demand was mentioned: "Bitwise ETFs are really gobbling up Solana," suggesting strong institutional interest and buying pressure.

Takeaways

  • Solana continues to be a top-performing major cryptocurrency, supported by strong institutional inflows via ETF products. This makes it a compelling asset for those looking to invest in leading blockchain platforms beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Meme Coins (Pepe, Shib, Fartcoin)

  • Meme coins like Pepe, Shib, and Fartcoin were surprisingly strong, listed among the "biggest gainers in the week."
  • This strength is notable because these coins had been "almost uninvestable for a long time," having experienced 80% to 90% drops from their peaks.
  • Fartcoin was highlighted specifically. It had fallen from a $2 billion valuation down to $180 million. A speaker mentioned buying it, noting that the market maker Wintermute has completely sold its position, which can sometimes be a bullish indicator signaling a bottom.
  • The theory was proposed that if the market enters a "sideways or even a mini bear" phase, meme coins could perform well as they are favored by the "culture carriers" who remain active in the market.

Takeaways

  • High-Risk, Speculative Plays: Meme coins are showing signs of life and leading the market in gains. This is a high-risk, high-reward area.
  • Potential "Mini-Bear" Hedge: In a choppy or sideways market, capital may rotate into meme coins for short-term speculative gains.
  • Fartcoin Catalyst: The mention of Wintermute exiting its Fartcoin position could be interpreted by some traders as a signal that the worst of the selling pressure is over for that specific token.

Hyperliquid (HYP)

  • The token, referred to as "hype," saw its price pump from $29 to $36 before settling back towards $40.
  • A key event is approaching: "key unlocks tomorrow." This refers to tokens being released to early investors or team members.
  • One speaker noted they sold their long position at $36.20 and are waiting for a potential dip caused by employees selling their newly unlocked tokens, seeing it as a potential "good dip opportunity."
  • The platform's main bullish catalyst is the rapid growth of equity perps (perpetual futures on stocks), which allows users to trade stocks like Google and NVIDIA with leverage directly on the blockchain.
  • This new product is driving massive volume, with daily figures cited between $250 million to half a billion dollars.

Takeaways

  • Event-Driven Volatility: The upcoming token unlock for HYP could create significant price volatility. This presents a risk for current holders but may offer a buying opportunity for those waiting on the sidelines.
  • Strong Long-Term Thesis: Hyperliquid is a leader in the Perp DEX sector, a major growth theme. Its expansion into stock trading massively increases its potential market and revenue. Investing in HYP is a bet on the growth of on-chain trading for traditional assets.

Investment Theme: Perpetual DEXes (Perp DEXes)

  • This sector is seen as a major growth area within crypto, with platforms like Hyperliquid and Lighter leading the way.
  • The main innovation driving this theme is the introduction of equity perps, which allows crypto-native users to easily trade traditional stocks with leverage without needing a brokerage account or going through KYC (Know Your Customer) processes.
  • The discussion suggests that valuing these platforms on current revenue is "myopic" because the expansion into new asset classes like stocks could lead to "real exponential growth."
  • One speaker, a crypto-native, described buying $300,000 worth of Google stock on leverage via Hyperliquid as a "really cool" experience, highlighting the appeal of this new financial rail.

Takeaways

  • A Key Growth Narrative: The Perp DEX sector is revolutionizing how financial assets are traded. Investors should research the leading platforms in this space.
  • Look Beyond Crypto Volume: The ability to trade stocks and other real-world assets on these platforms is the core of the investment thesis. The platform that captures this market could see its valuation multiply.
  • Owning the Protocol: Investing in the native tokens of these platforms (like HYP for Hyperliquid) is a direct way to gain exposure to this trend.

Investment Theme: Prediction Markets

  • Prediction markets are described as the "birth of a multi-trillion dollar asset class" and potentially the "next biggest mass onboarding event" for crypto, similar to what NFTs were in 2021.
  • Key platforms mentioned are Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad.Markets.
  • These platforms are experiencing explosive growth. Myriad.Markets was cited as having 10x'd its volume in three months, from ~$4 million to over $82 million in monthly volume.
  • The regulatory environment is evolving, with Polymarket gaining access to operate in the US, which has been a major driver of recent volume.
  • Interestingly, the most popular markets on some platforms are "pure crypto markets" (e.g., betting on a coin's future price) and culture-related events, not just traditional sports or political betting.

Takeaways

  • Emerging Asset Class: Prediction markets are a major emerging theme. They allow users to trade on the outcome of future events, creating a new financial market.
  • Onboarding the Masses: The success of platforms like Polymarket suggests they have found a product-market fit that could attract millions of new users to crypto.
  • Ecosystem Investment: While it may be difficult to invest directly in all platforms, monitoring the growth and success of leaders like Polymarket and Myriad can provide insight into which protocols and tokens within this ecosystem may benefit.
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Video Description
🔥 It's Black Friday. Buy smarter this year. Up to 50% off now: https://rvtv.io/44vFiz1 This week on REKT Vision, Mando, Rekt co-founder and author of the Mando Minutes newsletter, is joined by Farokh, co-founder and president of DASTAN. They discuss the recent bounce in prices, what's in store for crypto ahead of Christmas, Monad debut, and much more. 🔥 *Download Raoul Pal's 5-year investing roadmap for free:* https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF 📣 *This episode is brought to you by Bitwise Asset Management*. Bitwise has been all-in on crypto since 2017 and has more than 20 crypto-based products to help investors get the necessary access. Bitwise manages the world’s largest crypto index fund, one of the top Bitcoin ETFs, and one of the largest institutional Ethereum staking solutions. Bitwise has over $10 billion in assets under management and over 100 people in the US and Europe to help manage everything from ETFs to private alpha strategies to SMAs for large investors. 👉 *Check out Bitwise at https://bitwiseinvestments.com and let them know that Real Vision mentioned them*. Carefully consider the extreme risks associated with crypto before investing About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin 👉 Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: discord.com/invite/kYQY2Nd45Y Disclaimer: #bitcoin #btc #cryptonews #markets #macro #crypto #cryptocurrencies #btcnews #useconomy #trump #china #altseason #alts #altcoins #trump #cryptorally #ethereum #eth #ether #sui #solana #sol #cardano #ada #xrp #hype #hyperliquid #bnb #binance #coinbase #inflation #fed #powell #rates #economy #cpi #ai #bullish #bearish #macro #etf #ethetf #btcetf #soletf #senate #congress #sec #rektvision #pumpfun #pump #stablecoins #usdt #usdc #usd #mando #osf #rektguy #memes #rekt #rektdrinks #memecoins #nft #nfts #economy #investing #sp500 #nasdaq #stocks #equities #rates #l1s #raoulpal #yeet #treasuries #recession #tariffs #aster #cz #polymarket #shutdown #leverage #bullmarket #bearmarket #liquidations #marketmakers #monad #farokh
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