Trading the Markets: August 20, 2025 | Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki
Trading the Markets: August 20, 2025 | Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki
Podcast33 min 51 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The current market dip is a buying opportunity, with strong altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) showing significant strength and outperforming Bitcoin. Consider accumulating positions in ETH and SOL as they are demonstrating clear relative strength during this correction. For Bitcoin (BTC), a potential drop to the $105,000 level should be viewed as a prime long-term buying zone. It is strongly advised to avoid Filecoin (FIL) due to its severe underperformance, which is a major red flag. For speculative assets like Wormhole (W), wait for the price to reclaim the $0.117 level before considering an investment.

Detailed Analysis

General Crypto Market Outlook

  • The current market dip is viewed as a healthy pullback and a buying opportunity, not the start of a bear market or a major trend reversal.
  • The analyst's "weekly megatrend" indicator remains green across most major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Sui (SWEI), and XRP, indicating the long-term uptrend is still intact.
  • There is a strong consensus that the market will see a significant rally ("rip") in Q4 2025 that runs into 2026. This belief is based on underlying macro catalysts, not just historical chart patterns.
  • In the immediate short-term, the market is considered oversold and due for a reflexive bounce.
  • A recurring theme is that many major altcoins are currently outperforming Bitcoin, showing greater strength during this correction.

Takeaways

  • For long-term holders ("hodlers"), this dip is not a cause for major concern and is described as "healthy ebb and flow."
  • The analyst advises against panic selling, warning that you risk "getting left on the sidelines" by trying to trade the short-term chop.
  • The current market weakness is presented as an opportunity to accumulate positions in strong projects before the next expected leg up later in the year.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • While the overall weekly trend is still considered bullish ("green megatrend"), Bitcoin is described as the "worst looking of the bunch" among the major cryptocurrencies at the moment.
  • The price has successfully retested the previous all-time high level twice, which is a structurally important area of support.
  • Bullish divergences are appearing on the charts, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening and the asset is oversold in the short term.
  • A liquidation heat map indicates that most of the sell-side liquidity below the current price has been taken. This creates a greater incentive for market makers to push the price higher to target buy-side liquidity, particularly around the $119,000 - $120,000 range.
  • Base Case Scenario: A short-term bounce is expected due to oversold conditions. This could be followed by another move down to the $105,000 - $107,000 range. This area is a significant zone of interest where multiple long-term support indicators (like the 20-week and 200-day moving averages) are expected to converge.

Takeaways

  • Be prepared for continued volatility. A drop to the $105k level should not cause panic; the analyst suggests mentally preparing for this possibility now, viewing it as a prime buying opportunity.
  • The short-term target for a potential bounce is the $119k - $120k area.
  • Despite the potential for a further dip, the overall structure remains bullish for a longer-term rally into 2026.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum is described as looking "phenomenal" and is considered the strongest performer among major crypto assets right now.
  • The recent price drop was simply a "mean reversion" (a return to its average price) to its 20-day moving average, from which it bounced very strongly. It did not break its underlying uptrend.
  • Unlike Bitcoin, ETH remains significantly above its key moving averages, demonstrating clear relative strength.

Takeaways

  • Ethereum's strong performance during a market-wide correction is a very bullish sign.
  • It is clearly outperforming Bitcoin, making it a potentially more attractive asset for capturing upside in the current market.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana is also demonstrating significant strength, grinding upwards and setting higher lows.
  • Like Ethereum, it bounced hard after a minor dip below its 20-day moving average, showing strong buyer interest.
  • Bullish Fundamental News: The Solana network recently ran a successful test achieving over 100,000 transactions per second (TPS), highlighting ongoing technical improvements to the ecosystem.

Takeaways

  • Solana is another major altcoin that is outperforming Bitcoin.
  • Its strong chart is supported by positive fundamental developments, which strengthens the bullish case for the asset.

Chex (CHEX)

  • This was highlighted as a trade idea from the Real Vision "hive mind" that was already up 70%.
  • Bullish Thesis:
    • It is a Real World Asset (RWA) project aiming to bring assets like real estate and commodities on-chain.
    • It uses AI for real-time data analytics to support investment decisions.
    • It plans to offer multi-chain staking without KYC, which is a feature the host found appealing.
  • Ambitious Target: The project is reportedly targeting a $10 trillion market by 2030.

Takeaways

  • This is a speculative play in the popular Real World Asset (RWA) narrative.
  • The project has very ambitious goals and has shown strong recent price momentum, but investors should conduct their own thorough research given the high-risk nature.

RektCoin (REKT)

  • The host mentioned being personally very bullish on this coin.
  • The bullish sentiment is based on the project's brand momentum and successful collaborations, such as a recent drink collaboration with Base Chain that reportedly sold out in under one minute.
  • In the same segment, Pengu (PENGU) was briefly mentioned as another speculative coin to investigate, specifically for yield farming opportunities in the Abstract ecosystem.

Takeaways

  • This is a highly speculative, meme-related investment.
  • The investment thesis is not based on traditional fundamentals but on community strength and marketing success, which the host sees as a leading indicator of future growth.

Filecoin (FIL)

  • The analyst provided a very bearish and cautionary analysis of Filecoin.
  • Major Red Flag: The token is down 20% since the start of the current bull cycle (January 2023). The analyst states that "nothing should be down" in this period.
  • It is in a long-term downtrend against the US Dollar and continues to set new lower lows, indicating a complete lack of buyer interest.
  • The analyst concluded he "wouldn't touch this with a 10-foot pole."

Takeaways

  • The analyst strongly advises against investing in Filecoin.
  • Its severe underperformance relative to the entire crypto market signals that investors have abandoned the project, regardless of its underlying technology.
  • It would require an approximate 100x return just to reach its previous all-time high, which is considered extremely unlikely.

Wormhole (W)

  • The price chart is described as "not great." The analyst speculates it might be a token from venture capitalists (VCs) that launched at too high a price, leading to persistent selling from early investors.
  • There is a potential sign of a bottom forming (a weekly bullish divergence), but it is "far too early to tell."
  • Key Level to Watch: The price must break above and hold $0.117 (11.7 cents) as support to signal a potential trend reversal.

Takeaways

  • This is a "wait and see" asset. The analyst advises against buying it right now.
  • Add it to a watchlist and monitor if it can reclaim the $0.117 level. A confirmed break and hold above that price would be the first sign of a potential buying opportunity.

Casper (CSPR)

  • The token is currently underperforming the market but is showing some potentially constructive bottoming signs.
  • It is coiling within a wedge pattern and has been trading flat for several months, which could be a sign of accumulation before a breakout.
  • Key Level to Watch: It needs to break its recent high of $0.118 (11.8 cents) to confirm a reversal and establish a new uptrend.

Takeaways

  • This is considered a gamble to buy right now. It is better to wait for confirmation.
  • The analysis suggests waiting for the price to definitively break out of its current range and above the $0.118 resistance level before considering an investment.

Memecoin (MEME)

  • The token has had a very strong recent bounce (up over 40% on the week) after being extremely oversold, which is a constructive sign.
  • Volume is picking up, and the price is starting to build momentum.
  • Key Level to Watch: The most important level is the previous high at $0.03268. This is now a major resistance area.

Takeaways

  • For those already holding, the recent price action is positive.
  • However, pay very close attention to the $0.03268 resistance level. If the price is rejected from this level and begins to fall, it would be a very bearish sign and a potential signal to sell the position. A clean break above it would be very bullish.
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Episode Description
🔥 *Get 50% OFF RV Connect for a limited time* https://rvtv.io/3UenXVY It's time to talk Trade Ideas... Real Vision's Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki are back to break down their favorite trades from the Real Vision community before taking questions from the audience. Tune in every Wednesday at 1pm ET live on Real Vision, YouTube, and X. 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin 👉 Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: https://discord.gg/FTQsrUhD9Z Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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