Hot PCE Data, Fed Pushback, and Meta & Microsoft Earnings: PALvatar Market Recap, July 31 2025
Hot PCE Data, Fed Pushback, and Meta & Microsoft Earnings: PALvatar Market Recap, July 31 2025
Podcast7 min 12 sec
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Tech giants Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) reported blowout earnings, driven by strong cloud computing and advertising revenue, reinforcing their market leadership. Coinbase (COIN) announced a major partnership with JPMorgan to integrate crypto wallets, a significant catalyst for user growth ahead of its imminent earnings report. This mainstream adoption is complemented by new financial products like Bitcoin (BTC)-backed loans, signaling a maturing crypto market. However, investors should be aware that the Federal Reserve is signaling a "higher for longer" interest rate policy, which could create headwinds for growth stocks. Consider focusing on high-quality tech leaders while watching COIN for potential volatility around its earnings announcement.

Detailed Analysis

Microsoft (MSFT)

  • The company reported "blowout earnings" after the market closed on July 30, 2025.
  • Microsoft became only the second company in history to reach a $4 trillion market capitalization.
  • Quarterly profits saw a significant jump of 25%.
  • The company experienced its fastest revenue growth in three years, with the growth being "fuelled by cloud computing."

Takeaways

  • The strong performance in Microsoft's cloud division is a major bullish signal, indicating continued dominance and growth in a key high-margin sector.
  • Reaching a $4 trillion valuation is a massive milestone that reflects strong investor confidence in the company's strategy and future growth, particularly in cloud and AI.

Meta (META)

  • Meta also reported "blowout earnings" alongside Microsoft.
  • The stock price was up "double digits" on the day of the podcast (July 31, 2025).
  • The company "crushed forecasts on advertising revenues."
    • This was attributed to healthy user growth and higher ad prices.
  • It was noted that Meta "continues to spend on AI like crazy."

Takeaways

  • Meta's core advertising business appears to be incredibly strong, suggesting that its platforms remain highly valuable for advertisers.
  • While the heavy spending on AI is a significant cost, the market is reacting positively, viewing it as a necessary investment for future growth. Investors seem confident in Meta's long-term AI strategy.

Coinbase (COIN)

  • Coinbase is scheduled to report its second-quarter earnings after the market closes on the day of the podcast.
  • The company announced a major partnership with JPMorgan Chase.
  • This partnership will allow JPMorgan Chase bank users to link their credit cards directly with their Coinbase wallets.

Takeaways

  • The partnership with a top-tier traditional financial institution like JPMorgan Chase is a significant step for mainstream crypto adoption. It could potentially onboard a large number of new users to the Coinbase platform, boosting transaction volumes.
  • This is a bullish development for the company's long-term outlook. However, the upcoming earnings report is a major near-term event that could lead to significant stock price volatility.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin was mentioned in the context of a sponsorship from FIGURE, a non-bank lender.
  • FIGURE is offering Bitcoin-backed loans, allowing holders to use their BTC as collateral to get cash.
  • The podcast notes that these loans could be used for various purposes, including "investing in new opportunities, or even buying more Bitcoin."

Takeaways

  • The availability of financial products like Bitcoin-backed loans points to a maturing market and growing financial infrastructure around the asset.
  • This provides a way for long-term investors ("HODLers") to access the value of their holdings without having to sell, which can be seen as a positive for the ecosystem. It allows for capital efficiency and could potentially reduce sell pressure.

Copper

  • The price of copper "plunged" recently.
  • The price drop was a direct result of a surprise announcement from President Trump.
  • The announcement stated that a newly introduced 50% tariff would not apply to refined metals, which was contrary to market expectations.

Takeaways

  • This serves as a clear example of how sensitive commodity prices are to government trade policy and geopolitical news.
  • Investors in the commodities space must be aware that sudden political decisions can cause extreme and immediate price volatility, representing a significant risk factor.

Investment Theme: US Economy & Fed Policy

  • Inflation came in "a little hot," with the Core PCE (the Fed's preferred measure) rising 0.3% month-over-month.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell made "hawkish remarks," indicating no immediate plans for interest rate cuts due to inflation and a strong labor market.
  • These developments have further dimmed the chances of a Fed rate cut in September.

Takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve is signaling a "higher for longer" interest rate policy.
  • Persistent inflation and a hawkish Fed can act as a headwind for the stock market, as higher borrowing costs can pressure corporate earnings and make investors less willing to pay high valuations for growth stocks.
  • Investors should closely monitor upcoming inflation data and communications from the Fed, as this will be a key driver for markets in the near future.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data, rising jobless claims, and the Fed’s continued resistance to rate cuts. We also cover Japan’s steady rates, Trump’s new trade deal with South Korea, and stable inflation across Europe. On the earnings front, Meta and Microsoft crushed expectations, with Microsoft hitting a $4 trillion valuation. Plus, a JPMorgan-Coinbase partnership is making waves ahead of tonight’s earnings. Tune in for the sharpest macro take of the day. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com 1️⃣ Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Figure offers Crypto-Backed Loans, allowing you to borrow against your Bitcoin or Ethereum with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. 2️⃣ They have the lowest rates in the industry at 9.9%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. You can always see your BTC ownership in your FM account and verify holdings in your personal BTC vault on chain. 3️⃣ Unlock your crypto’s potential today. Visit their app (figuremarkets.onelink.me/Plnq/2uhuytay) to apply for a Crypto Backed Loan today! Figure Lending LLC dba Figure. Equal Opportunity Lender. NMLS 1717824. Terms and conditions apply. Visit figure.com for more information. Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
About Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

By Real Vision Podcast Network

Welcome to the Real Vision Podcast, your go-to source for cutting-edge insights and expert analysis in the world of finance and investing. Our mission is to arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network you need to succeed on your financial journey. In each episode, we bring you in-depth interviews with the brightest minds in finance, including top investors, analysts, and industry leaders, to help you navigate the complexities of the global economy and make informed investment decisions. Join us as we explore market trends, investment strategies, and the forces shaping the financial landscape. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting, Real Vision is here to empower you with the information you need to achieve your financial goals. Subscribe today and access the best curated knowledge for FREE.