Gold Is Outperforming Bitcoin - Can It Continue? | Trading The Market: August 12, 2026
Gold Is Outperforming Bitcoin - Can It Continue? | Trading The Market: August 12, 2026
Podcast56 min 16 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Anchor your technology portfolio with core holdings in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO), while increasing allocations to high-momentum hardware leaders like Arista Networks (ANET), Dell Technologies (DELL), and Amphenol (APH).

Buy Palantir Technologies (PLTR) following its technical breakout above its 200-day moving average, and allocate roughly 10% of your portfolio across emerging AI Software leaders such as ServiceNow (NOW) and Cloudflare (NET).

Rotate idle capital into Pax Gold (PAXG) or physical Gold to capture superior near-term strength while Bitcoin (BTC) remains stuck below overhead resistance.

In the digital asset space, take opportunistic long positions in Pump (PUMP) for high-momentum fee generation and Hyperliquid near its 200-day moving average support level.

Protect capital by immediately cutting exposure to NEAR Protocol (NEAR) following its technical breakdown, while avoiding new entries in Sui (SUI) and Uniswap (UNI) until clear reversal bottoms form.

Detailed Analysis

Pax Gold (PAXG) and Physical Gold

  • PAXG and gold are breaking out against Bitcoin (BTC) and establishing a new relative uptrend.
    • Gold is directly benefiting from easing macro financial conditions, capturing liquidity exiting cash positions before it reaches the broader crypto market.
    • The PAXG/BTC chart is showing strong technical buy signals, reclaiming its 20-week moving average and clearing horizontal resistance.

Takeaways

  • Consider holding gold or PAXG over cash or idle crypto capital in the near term, as gold is currently showing superior relative strength compared to Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin (BTC) is trapped in a tight sideways squeeze between support at its 200-week moving average and top-side horizontal resistance.
    • Price action is almost entirely dictated by institutional ETF flows, with retail investors remaining largely absent as indicated by a negative Coinbase premium index.
    • Regulatory uncertainty around the Clarity Act and recent macro headwinds have stalled breakout attempts, giving back recent weekly gains.

Takeaways

  • Exercise patience and avoid aggressive long positions until BTC firmly breaks and closes above its overhead resistance range.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR)

  • NEAR has broken below its upward diagonal trendline, its 20-week moving average, and primary horizontal support levels.
    • The previous bullish uptrend thesis has officially been invalidated by the technical breakdown, regardless of underlying project fundamentals.

Takeaways

  • Avoid holding or adding to NEAR positions while it remains in a confirmed technical breakdown; exit or cut exposure to avoid holding an asset in a prolonged downtrend.

Pump (PUMP)

  • Pump has executed a major technical trend reversal to the upside, crossing above its 10-day and 20-day moving averages with strong buying momentum.
    • The project is generating massive real-world cash flow, surpassing several major decentralized protocols in fee revenue over recent weeks.

Takeaways

  • Pump represents a strong momentum play backed by real protocol fee generation, making it an attractive crypto asset while its technical uptrend remains intact.

Hyperliquid

  • The token price has stabilized and found strong support at its 200-day moving average following a general market and Nasdaq-correlated pullback.
    • Fundamental adoption metrics—including open interest, active users, and platform fee generation—continue to make new all-time highs.

Takeaways

  • The recent price pullback is a technical consolidation rather than fundamental deterioration, presenting a solid risk-to-reward entry near the 200-day moving average.

Venice (VENICE)

  • Venice is maintaining horizontal support across its 200-week moving average cloud and generating consistent protocol revenue.
    • Major artificial intelligence infrastructure investments (such as the NVIDIA and BlackRock joint initiatives) are expected to drive exponential demand for decentralized AI inference protocols.

Takeaways

  • Maintain exposure to Venice as a direct decentralized crypto proxy for the expanding AI inference and agentic economy.

Monero (XMR)

  • Monero (XMR) has broken back above its 200-day moving average cloud, resuming its steady, grinding long-term uptrend.
    • The asset is showing notable relative strength over other privacy-focused peers like Zcash (ZEC), which remains flat.

Takeaways

  • XMR is exhibiting constructive trend reversal signals and can be held for steady, low-volatility upside within the privacy sector.

Uniswap (UNI)

  • Uniswap (UNI) experienced an immediate, sharp rejection after briefly crossing its 200-day moving average cloud.
    • The chart triggered trend-exhaustion and reversal warning flags, threatening further downside if it fails to rebound immediately.

Takeaways

  • Stay cautious on UNI until price action stabilizes and reclaims key moving average levels, as technical indicators suggest a false breakout.

Sui (SUI)

  • SUI remains in a clear technical downtrend, failing to push against overhead resistance or demonstrate buying strength.
    • The token faces fundamental headwinds including an inflationary token unlock schedule, microscopic network fee generation, and an absence of token buyback mechanisms.

Takeaways

  • Avoid initiating new positions in SUI until the broader Layer-1 sector gains traction and the chart establishes a confirmed technical bottom.

BNB (BNB)

  • BNB is holding up better than most legacy alternative cryptocurrencies, supported by consistent token buy-and-burn mechanics and blockchain utility.
    • A bullish technical crossover occurred on its 200-day moving average, though price action remains in a broader consolidation pattern below major resistance.

Takeaways

  • BNB serves as a relatively stable, defensive crypto holding, though substantial short-term upside may be limited due to its large market capitalization.

Eaton Corporation (ETN)

  • Eaton (ETN) demonstrated immense relative strength during broader market pullbacks, treading sideways without threatening its 200-day moving average.
    • The company supplies universal power distribution and electrical switching infrastructure vital to global AI data center buildouts.

Takeaways

  • ETN is a prime "picks-and-shovels" play for the AI infrastructure buildout, offering strong risk-adjusted upside and resilience against market volatility.

Amphenol Corporation (APH)

  • The optical, photonics, and interconnects sector is leading year-to-date market momentum following the recent tech rebound.
    • Amphenol (APH) was selected over more volatile peers like Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR) due to its ability to preserve its long-term technical uptrend throughout market pullbacks.

Takeaways

  • Allocate to APH to gain high-momentum exposure to AI data center networking and optical interconnect demands while minimizing downside volatility.

NVIDIA (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO)

  • NVIDIA (NVDA) acts as the foundational anchor for AI hardware portfolios, offering reliable, steady upside without excessive speculative risk.
    • Broadcom (AVGO) shows strong technical stability and is trading near its all-time highs with less downside volatility than competitors like Marvell Technology (MRVL).

Takeaways

  • Use NVDA and AVGO as core, stabilizing mega-cap positions in an AI-focused equity portfolio.

Arista Networks (ANET) and Dell Technologies (DELL)

  • Both ANET and DELL barely experienced a pullback during the tech sector correction, maintaining positions well above their key moving averages.
    • The whole-rack server and enterprise networking sector is demonstrating sustained institutional buying demand.

Takeaways

  • Increase allocation size to ANET and DELL as high-conviction hardware plays breaking out toward new higher highs.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

  • Palantir (PLTR) has completed a breakout above its 200-day moving average cloud, breaking out of a downtrend that persisted since late last year.
    • Technical momentum indicators have flipped green, signaling the potential for a sustained multi-month upward trend.

Takeaways

  • Buy PLTR on breakout confirmation to capture upward momentum in enterprise AI software deployment.

AI Software and Application Layer (NOW, MDB, NET, LLY, TEM)

  • High-potential application plays include ServiceNow (NOW), MongoDB (MDB), Cloudflare (NET), Tempus AI (TEM), and Eli Lilly (LLY).
    • ServiceNow is successfully shifting its business model toward AI agent usage-based monetization, while Cloudflare and MongoDB stand to capture growing data traffic from autonomous AI agents.
    • Large cloud hyperscalers are being avoided in favor of the infrastructure and software providers that directly receive and monetize AI capital expenditures.

Takeaways

  • Build a diversified, small-allocation basket (around 10% of total AI portfolio capital) across select application-layer software and agentic AI beneficiaries.
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Episode Description
Bijan Maleki and Kris Bullock join Real Vision members to break down the crypto charts, market conditions, and trades that matter right now. They examine Bitcoin and PAXG, as gold begins to show strength again and outpace BTC. They also run through the altcoins showing interesting setups and take live questions from Real Vision members. 👉 Have a question for Kris? Join our Discord channel: https://discord.gg/FTQsrUhD9Z. Let Monarch do your financial 'spring cleaning' for you!  Use code REALVISION at Monarch.com to get your first year half off at just $50. Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at ⁠https://us.plus500.com⁠. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Timestamps: 00:00 - Trading the Markets: Bitcoin, Gold & AI 02:34 - Bitcoin Stalls as ETF Flows Drive the Market 04:50 - Gold Is Outperforming Bitcoin 07:33 - Will the Clarity Act Delay Hurt Crypto? 11:17 - Near Breaks Down as Pump Gains Momentum 15:15 - Hyperliquid, Venice & Monero Show Strength 20:18 - Sui, Solana & Ethereum: Why Layer 1s Are Struggling 29:09 - Why the Bitcoin Halving Didn’t Deliver 33:00 - BNB: Is the Bottom Finally Forming? 36:10 - The Best AI Energy & Data Center Stocks 38:30 - AI Infrastructure: Optics, Nvidia & Semiconductors 47:07 - Palantir, Cloudflare & the AI Application Layer Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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