Global Market Selloff, Japan’s Yield Surge, and U.S. Data Rebound: PALvatar Market Recap, November 18 2025
Global Market Selloff, Japan’s Yield Surge, and U.S. Data Rebound: PALvatar Market Recap, November 18 2025
Podcast5 min 43 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider reducing exposure to NVIDIA (NVDA) as major investors like Peter Thiel's fund have sold their entire stakes ahead of the November 19 earnings report. Large investors are accumulating Bitcoin (BTC) despite its recent drop below $90,000, signaling a potential long-term buying opportunity for the asset. Similarly, a $173 million purchase of Ether (ETH) by a notable fund suggests strong institutional confidence. Exercise caution with Japanese assets, as the Nikkei stock market is falling sharply while government bond yields are hitting record highs. The weakening Japanese Yen (JPY) faces potential government intervention, adding further volatility and risk to the region.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The company's valuation is under scrutiny ahead of its earnings report, which is due after the market closes on November 19, 2025.
  • There is significant selling pressure from major institutional investors.
    • A filing from Peter Thiel's hedge fund revealed it sold its entire stake in NVIDIA during the third quarter.
    • This follows a similar move by SoftBank last week.

Takeaways

  • Bearish Sentiment: The decision by two major, well-known investors (Peter Thiel's fund and SoftBank) to completely sell their positions before an earnings report is a significant red flag. It suggests they may be concerned about the company's short-term growth prospects or its high valuation.
  • High Risk Event: The upcoming earnings report is a critical event for the stock. Given the negative sentiment, investors should be prepared for high volatility. A miss on earnings or guidance could lead to a sharp decline in the stock price.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The price of Bitcoin fell below $90,000 for the first time since April 2025, indicating short-term bearish price momentum.
  • Despite the price drop, large investors and "whales" are actively buying.
    • Michael Saylor's strategy purchased $835 million worth of Bitcoin last week, its largest buy since July.
    • Glassnode data shows that wallets holding over 1,000 BTC (known as "whales") have been accumulating since late October, with a noticeable increase in their numbers since Friday, November 14, 2025.

Takeaways

  • Divergence Signal: There is a clear divergence between the falling price and the actions of large, long-term holders. While the market is showing fear, "smart money" appears to be using this as a buying opportunity.
  • Potential Buying Opportunity: For investors with a long-term bullish view on Bitcoin, the current dip could be seen as an opportunity to accumulate at a lower price, following the lead of major players like Michael Saylor and other whales. However, short-term price volatility is expected to continue.

Ether (ETH)

  • Tom Lee's Bitmine Immersion made a significant purchase of 54,000 Ether, valued at $173 million.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Accumulation: Similar to Bitcoin, a large, named entity is making a substantial purchase during a market downturn. This is a strong bullish signal, indicating confidence in Ether's value from a notable investor in the crypto space.

Figure Technologies

  • The company's shares had a "bumper day" on Monday, November 17, 2025, before pulling back.
  • The surge in price was caused by news of an investment from Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Capital.

Takeaways

  • Vote of Confidence: An investment from a legendary investor like Stanley Druckenmiller is a powerful endorsement. It suggests he sees significant potential in the company's business model or technology.
  • Put on Watchlist: While the initial price pop has faded, Druckenmiller's investment puts Figure Technologies on the map for many investors. This could be a cue to research the company and understand why it attracted such a high-profile backer.

Japanese Market (Nikkei, JGBs, Yen)

  • Nikkei (Stock Market): The index had its worst day since April, falling more than 3%. This indicates broad-based selling and fear in the Japanese stock market.
  • Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs): Yields on very long-term bonds have hit record highs. This is due to concerns over the new Prime Minister's large spending plans, which could increase the national debt.
  • Japanese Yen (JPY): The currency continued to fall to multi-month lows against the US dollar. The market is on alert for potential intervention from the Japanese government to stop the slide.

Takeaways

  • Heightened Risk in Japan: The combination of a falling stock market, rising bond yields (which means falling bond prices), and a weakening currency points to significant economic and political instability.
  • Caution for Investors: Investors with exposure to Japanese assets should be cautious. The political friction between the Prime Minister and the Bank of Japan over interest rates, coupled with massive government spending, creates an uncertain and volatile environment. The risk of currency intervention adds another layer of unpredictability.
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Episode Description
🔥 Join the waitlist: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://rvtv.io/4mIxWi8⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar tracks a broad market selloff driven by tech jitters ahead of Nvidia’s earnings and major stake exits by key investors. Japan faces record-long bond yields and renewed yen pressure amid stimulus plans, while U.S. data shows rising jobless claims but a surprise rebound in construction spending and manufacturing. Crypto accumulation intensifies, with major players boosting Bitcoin and Ether positions as whale activity accelerates. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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