Why Markets Could Be Ready To Move? | Julien Bittel & Raoul Pal
Why Markets Could Be Ready To Move? | Julien Bittel & Raoul Pal
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) during their current consolidation phases, as rare monthly technical setups signal that a major leg higher is building strength.

Use ongoing sector corrections in the NASDAQ (QQQ) and top-tier secular growth trends like SpaceX to selectively add exposure while the artificial intelligence boom extends the business cycle.

Watch for a yield curve bull steepening to break Gold (GOLD) out of its bullish wedge pattern, serving as confirmation of favorable macroeconomic conditions.

Track a potential reversal lower in the US Dollar (USD) as your green light that global financial conditions are easing and risk assets are ready to run.

Keep Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) on your radar to re-engage once its current correction phase and consolidation complete.

Detailed Analysis

Gold (GOLD)

  • Gold is currently forming a bullish wedge pattern and showing a weekly nine technical setup, indicating a potential bottoming pattern.
  • The recent weakness in gold was driven by the yield curve bear flattening as rate cuts were priced out of the futures curve due to Middle East escalations and geopolitical risk premiums.
  • Once the yield curve bull steepens, it is expected to unlock a major rally in gold as part of broader macroeconomic shifts.

Takeaways

  • Monitor gold as a key real-time indicator alongside the yield curve and the US dollar; a breakout in gold will serve as confirmation that second-half macroeconomic conditions are turning favorable.

US Dollar (USD)

  • The US dollar has been rising due to the yield curve bear flattening and the pricing in of geopolitical risk premiums from the Middle East.
  • The dollar acts as the "big daddy" in global liquidity formats, and its movements correlate closely with bond yields, rate odds, and gold.
  • It is difficult to see the US dollar moving much higher from current levels, and a reversal lower will signal easing financial conditions.

Takeaways

  • Track the US dollar alongside the yield curve and oil prices; a declining dollar will confirm easing financial conditions and act as a green light for risk assets.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin is sitting in an accumulation zone, showing choppy price action while quietly stacking up technical signals including a rare monthly nine count across multiple timeframes.
  • It has been following narrow liquidity measures rather than broad global liquidity.
  • Underlying activity and technical patterns indicate that the broader structural trend remains completely intact despite the recent sideways range.

Takeaways

  • Exercise patience during this consolidation phase; the rare monthly technical setups suggest that the next major leg higher is building strength behind the scenes.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum is displaying similar technical patterns to Bitcoin, featuring a rare monthly nine count on its charts.
  • Along with Bitcoin, Ethereum has been one of the most interesting assets in the crypto space while the rest of the market trades sideways.

Takeaways

  • View Ethereum's current consolidation and high-timeframe technical resets as long-term accumulation opportunities rather than signs of weakness.

Solana (SOL)

  • On-chain metrics for Solana show active developments, including stablecoin float, decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes, fees, and velocity measures.
  • Price action is currently consolidating, potentially forming a head and shoulders pattern against Bitcoin.

Takeaways

  • Keep Solana on the watchlist for potential technical breakouts once overall crypto liquidity expands.

SpaceX (unlisted / anticipated private market asset)

  • SpaceX is considered by the speakers to be one of the greatest companies ever assembled and is a core part of the future technological landscape.
  • The asset has experienced a typical post-IPO correction (dropping down to around $110 pre-market), which is a common pattern for major IPOs.

Takeaways

  • Add SpaceX to the radar screen for potential accumulation, as corrections in secular growth trends present opportunities to re-add exposure to top-tier technological innovators.

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)

  • Hims & Hers is a stock that the portfolio entered early, and it is currently working through a correction phase.
  • Upcoming news announcements regarding peptides and other developments suggest the current correction may be nearing its final pattern and end.

Takeaways

  • Watch for the completion of the current consolidation phase as a potential opportunity to re-engage with the stock.

Technology Sector / NASDAQ (QQQ)

  • The technology sector has been rotating and chopping around, with semiconductors leading the correction that broader tech must follow.
  • The AI and capital expenditure (CapEx) boom is currently acting as a primary driver of the economy, without which the broader economy would be in a much messier state.
  • Secular uptrends in technology remain intact, and corrections within these trends offer bigger opportunities to reload or re-add positions.

Takeaways

  • Use technology sector corrections to selectively add exposure, as the underlying CapEx and AI boom continues to extend the business cycle.
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Video Description
Raoul Pal and GMI Head of Macro Research Julien Bittel are back with another unlocked episode of Shooting the Shit. In this conversation, Raoul and Julien break down where we are in the business cycle, why the yield curve may be the key macro signal to watch, and how liquidity, the dollar, gold, oil, and crypto are shaping the path forward. They also discuss why markets feel stuck in a choppy accumulation phase, what their indicators are suggesting about the second half of the year, and where they’re starting to spot new opportunities across crypto, technology, AI, space, and emerging markets. Recorded on July 27, 2026 🔥 *Download Raoul Pal's 4-year investing roadmap for free:* https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF Timestamps: 00:00 - Welcome to Raoul Pal The Journey Man 02:17 - Gold, the Yield Curve, and Why H2 Could Change Everything 06:04 - The Bull Steepener That Could Unlock the Next Rally 08:46 - Why Inflation Is No Longer the Fed's Biggest Problem 11:04 - Bitcoin's Technical Setup Looks Increasingly Bullish 13:03 - Solana, Stablecoins, and Crypto's Quiet Strength 16:25 - Liquidity, the Nasdaq, and What's Holding Markets Back 19:13 - Why Crypto Is Waiting for the Next Liquidity Wave 22:08 - Iran, Oil, and the Biggest Macro Risk Right Now 26:18 - The Dollar, Gold, and the Signals That Matter Most 30:49 - Trump, AI, and Why the Business Cycle Keeps Extending 33:15 - Where Raoul and Julien Are Looking to Add Risk 34:38 - Final Thoughts: What We're Watching Next Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Connect with me: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ My other work: Real Vision: https://rvtv.io/3LHYIaH Global Macro Investor: https://globalmacroinvestor.com The Exponentialist: https://realvision.com/thefuture EXPAAM: https://expaam.com Connect with Real Vision™: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Get a FREE membership: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf #raoulpal #julienbittel #macro #crypto #bitcoin #gold #liquidity #yieldcurve #markets #investing #technology #ai #businesscycle #realvision #thejourneyman
About Raoul Pal The Journey Man
Raoul Pal The Journey Man

Raoul Pal The Journey Man

By @raoulpaltjm

Join me on my journey through macro, crypto and the Exponential Age of technology. The world is changing faster than ever ...