Why Hyperliquid & Tron Might Be the Most Undervalued Chains in Crypto | Raoul Pal ft Jamie Coutts
Why Hyperliquid & Tron Might Be the Most Undervalued Chains in Crypto | Raoul Pal ft Jamie Coutts
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider Hyperliquid as a significant value opportunity, as it is currently priced based on its revenue rather than its growing network potential. The platform is trading at a low multiple of just 11 to 12 times its fees, which is significantly cheaper than major blockchains like Solana or Ethereum. The investment thesis is that Hyperliquid will be re-evaluated at a much higher multiple as it transitions from a single application into a full blockchain network. A key catalyst to monitor is the adoption of the Hyperliquid chain by other high-quality applications, such as Morpho, which would validate its network growth. This opportunity is similar to investing in Amazon in its early days, where the value was in the expanding network, not just immediate earnings.

Detailed Analysis

Hyperliquid

  • The speakers suggest Hyperliquid is significantly undervalued because the market is pricing it based on its revenue, not its network effects (Metcalfe's Law).
  • It was compared to Amazon in its early days, where the value was in the network's growth, not its immediate earnings.
  • It is described as one of the "cheapest" smart contract platforms, trading at a multiple of 11 or 12 times its fees/revenue.
  • The investment thesis is that Hyperliquid is transitioning from a single application into a full blockchain network. As other high-quality applications (like Morpho) build on it, its network effects will grow, and the market should re-evaluate it at a much higher multiple.

Takeaways

  • Hyperliquid presents a potential value opportunity. The core idea is that you are buying a growing network at the price of a simple revenue-generating application.
  • The investment is a bet that the market will eventually value Hyperliquid like other major blockchains (Solana, Ethereum) based on its network growth, which could lead to a significant price increase.
  • A key bullish sign to watch for is the continued adoption of the Hyperliquid chain by other developers and applications, as this validates the "network effects" thesis.

Tron (TRX)

  • Alongside Hyperliquid, Tron is highlighted as one of the "cheapest" smart contract platforms based on its revenue.
  • It trades at a very low multiple of 6 or 7 times its fees/revenue.
  • The speaker explicitly states that this low valuation is likely due to the market "pricing the risk of the network," suggesting there are perceived risks associated with Tron that justify its cheaper price compared to other blockchains.

Takeaways

  • Tron appears very cheap on a price-to-revenue basis, which could attract value-focused investors.
  • However, investors should be cautious. The transcript indicates that this low price is not an oversight by the market but a deliberate pricing-in of risk.
  • Before investing, one should research and understand the specific risks associated with the Tron network that are causing its valuation to be suppressed.

Solana (SOL) & Ethereum (ETH)

  • These two major blockchains were used as benchmarks to illustrate the high valuations the market gives to platforms with strong network effects.
  • Solana is mentioned as trading at 100 to 200 times its fees/revenue.
  • Ethereum is trading at an even higher multiple of 300 or 400 times its fees/revenue.

Takeaways

  • SOL and ETH represent what a "mature" network valuation looks like in the current market. The market is willing to pay a very high premium for their established ecosystems.
  • These assets serve as a measuring stick for the potential upside of an investment like Hyperliquid if it successfully grows its own network and achieves a similar market perception.

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Protocols (Sector)

  • The speakers discuss the idea that "good" DeFi protocols are potentially "mispriced" relative to the major smart contract platforms (Layer 1s) they are built on.
  • These applications trade at more reasonable multiples, around 5 to 20 times fees.
  • This valuation approach is compared to the traditional stock market strategy of GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price).
  • It's suggested that these reasonable valuations and strong growth could attract traditional fund managers like Franklin Templeton as they enter the crypto space.
  • A counterpoint was made that while this is a justifiable investment strategy, these applications (like Uniswap) will likely underperform the underlying Layer 1 blockchains in terms of investment returns.

Takeaways

  • Investing in established, revenue-generating DeFi protocols can be a more conservative "value" approach to crypto, similar to GARP investing.
  • This sector may be appealing to investors who are uncomfortable with the "eye-watering multiples" of major blockchains and prefer assets with valuations tied more closely to revenue.
  • The potential trade-off is performance. According to the speaker, you might sacrifice the explosive growth potential of a Layer 1 blockchain for the relative safety of a revenue-generating application.
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Video Description
🔥 Watch the FULL CONVO Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YBmYwjBB6GQ ⚪ Raoul Pal welcomes Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts to examine the current state of the crypto market, market psychology, and the shift from Bitcoin dominance to high-quality altcoins. Plus, they discuss the importance of metrics like settlement value, application diversity, and liquidity cycles. Recorded on September 11, 2025 🔥 Get my FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com ⚪ Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. 🔥 Connect with me: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Newsletter: https://raoulpal.substack.com 🔥 My other work: Real Vision: https://rvtv.io/3LHYIaH Global Macro Investor: https://globalmacroinvestor.com EXPAAM: https://expaam.com 🔥 Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf #raoulpal #crypto #macro #macroeconomics #cryptocurrency #cryptonews #blockchain #web3 #nft #nfts #btc #eth #btcnews #bitcoin #bitcoinnews #bitcointoday #cryptotrading #cryptoinsights #cryptotips #cryptoinsights #macroinsights #realvision #solana #sol #solanasol #altcoins #bitcoinnews #btctoday #btcnews
About Raoul Pal The Journey Man
Raoul Pal The Journey Man

Raoul Pal The Journey Man

By @raoulpaltjm

Join me on my journey through macro, crypto and the Exponential Age of technology. The world is changing faster than ever ...