
Investors should prioritize building a core portfolio of Layer 1 (L1) blockchains, as these "rails" will facilitate the upcoming shift toward an autonomous, machine-driven economy. Ethereum (ETH) remains a high-conviction, long-term hold due to its dominance in DeFi, stablecoins, and real-world asset settlement. For high-speed transactions and AI agent activity, Solana (SOL) is a critical asset capable of handling the throughput traditional banks cannot match. Sui (SUI) offers a high-growth opportunity as an earlier-stage protocol with sub-second settlement times ideal for micro-transactions. Beyond tokens, look toward blockchain-based identity services like ENS (.eth) and .sol, which will provide the necessary digital credentials for billions of future AI agents.
• Identified as one of the primary "rails" or infrastructure substrates for the future digital economy. • Acts as a settlement layer for decentralized finance (DeFi), stablecoins (70% of which reside on Ethereum), and real-world assets (RWA). • Raoul Pal argues that Ethereum should be valued in the trillions because it is a utility layer, not just a business; if you "turned it off," the entire digital ecosystem built on top of it would collapse.
• Long-term Holding: Viewed as a "must-own" substrate token for a 10-year horizon. • Infrastructure Play: Investors should view ETH as owning a piece of the global economic coordination layer rather than a speculative currency.
• Highlighted as a major Layer 1 (L1) blockchain capable of handling the speed and scale required for the "agentic economy." • Recognized for its high throughput and ability to facilitate machine-speed transactions that traditional banking systems cannot match.
• Core Portfolio Asset: Included in the "top three" tokens suggested for long-term investment to capture the growth of the invisible machine economy. • Speed Advantage: Positioned as a primary competitor for high-frequency economic activity conducted by AI agents.
• Described as an earlier-stage Layer 1 blockchain that is showing "network coherence" and scaling potential. • Mentioned as having extremely fast settlement times (approx. 300 milliseconds), making it ideal for AI agents that operate a million times faster than human neurons. • Note: Raoul Pal discloses he is on the Sui Foundation but arrived at the investment via independent research.
• High-Growth Potential: Follows the same architectural and adoption path as Ethereum and Solana but at an earlier stage in its lifecycle. • Machine-Ready Rails: Specifically noted for its technical ability to handle the micro-transactions and rapid finality required by autonomous agents.
• The Thesis: Within two years, the majority of economic transactions will be "invisible," conducted by AI agents at machine speed. • Scale: Forecasts suggest an 80:1 ratio of AI agents to humans, creating a massive surge in demand for blockchain "rails" because machines cannot use traditional bank accounts (KYC, slow settlement, high fees). • The "Economic Singularity": Predicted for 2030–2032, where GDP as we know it becomes obsolete, replaced by a model driven by AI, robots, energy density, and compute efficiency.
• Shift Focus to L1s: Instead of picking individual AI applications, Pal recommends owning the Layer 1 substrates (the "rails") where all these agents must transact and settle. • Avoid the "Labor" Trap: Investors should aim to own capital and technology rather than relying on labor that can be replaced by agents. • Ignore the "Doom" Narrative: While some fear AI will collapse demand, Pal argues agents will create infinite demand for data, tokens, energy, and compute.
• Identity Layer: Every AI agent will need a digital identity to prove authorization and reputation. Mentioned services like ENS (.eth), .sol, and .sui as becoming increasingly powerful. • Tokenization of Everything: Beyond equities, "tokens" will represent packets of digital information. Data (climate, soil, science, etc.) will be monetized in vast marketplaces where agents buy and sell information.
• Identity Services: Look for investment opportunities in blockchain-based identity and naming services that can accommodate billions of new non-human actors. • Data Marketplaces: Keep an eye on protocols that allow for the machine-readable tokenization of data, as this will be the "fuel" for the agentic economy.
• The "Tinkering Phase": We are currently in the early stages where humans still manage agents. The "rapid takeoff" occurs when agents become fully autonomous. • Plumbing Obsolescence: Traditional financial institutions and governments are not built for machine-speed transactions, creating a period of extreme friction and transition. • Concentration: Similar to cloud computing (AWS, Azure, Google), Pal expects the blockchain substrate layer to consolidate into 3–5 major winners.

By @raoulpaltjm
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