The Last Economy: Predicting the AI-Driven World
The Last Economy: Predicting the AI-Driven World
Podcast1 hr 27 min
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

As Artificial Intelligence creates a massive deflationary shock, investors should position for a new economic reality. Consider accumulating scarce digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC), which are expected to benefit from a coming bubble and serve as a hedge against this disruption. The recent major crypto sell-off is viewed as the "buying opportunity of the decade," creating a strong entry point for long-term investors. For direct exposure to the AI and robotics revolution, Tesla (TSLA) is highlighted as a key investment. View TSLA not just as a car company, but as a leader in real-world AI applications like self-driving and the Optimus robot.

Detailed Analysis

Digital Assets (Bitcoin, Crypto Sector)

  • The speakers believe a massive bubble, potentially larger than the AI bubble, is coming to the digital asset space starting next year.
  • This is framed as one ofthe few accessible ways for the general public to protect and grow their wealth amidst the coming economic disruption from AI, described as a way to "unfuck your future."
  • The value of scarce digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and NFTs is expected to increase dramatically in a world where AI creates abundance of information and content, making cognitive labor effectively free.
  • Governments, particularly the U.S., are seen as becoming "too legal" on crypto, positioning the country as a hub for digital assets. This is expected to attract massive capital inflows as a way to increase monetary velocity in a deflationary environment.
  • The recent major sell-off in crypto markets was described as the "buying opportunity of the absolute decade" because much of the leverage was wiped out of the system, creating a healthier foundation for the next move up.
  • The speakers note that major companies like Stripe and Amazon may launch their own "coins," further integrating digital assets into the economy.

Takeaways

  • Strong Bullish Sentiment: The core thesis is to be "max long digital assets" as a primary strategy to navigate the "economic singularity" brought on by AI.
  • Hedge Against Disruption: Digital assets are positioned as a necessary investment for individuals who cannot directly invest in the leading private AI companies (like OpenAI) but want exposure to the technological revolution.
  • Buy the Dips: The speakers view significant market downturns, like the recent one, not as a risk but as a prime opportunity to increase positions.
  • Focus on Scarcity: Assets with proven digital scarcity, like Bitcoin, are seen as having a durable value proposition in an age of digital abundance.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) Sector

  • AI is described as the "largest deflationary shock the world has ever seen" or a "deflationary nuclear bomb." The cost of cognitive work is collapsing towards zero.
  • This will lead to an "economic singularity" within the next 3-5 years, where most cognitive jobs that can be done remotely are replaceable by AI. This challenges the entire structure of the economy, from employment to the value of money.
  • While big data centers and chipmakers like NVIDIA (NVDA) are important, the speakers suggest a "third world" scenario where the biggest impact comes from smaller, highly efficient AI models that can run on existing consumer hardware (like laptops).
    • This makes powerful AI accessible to everyone, which is an even more powerful deflationary force than a centralized AI controlled by a few large companies.
  • Direct investment in the AI revolution is difficult for the public, as many key players like OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI are private. Publicly traded infrastructure plays like CoreWeave are mentioned as one of the few direct ways to get exposure.
  • The ultimate impact of AI is the replacement of not just cognitive labor but also physical labor through robotics.

Takeaways

  • Economic Transformation: Investors should understand that AI's primary economic impact will be massive deflation. This will disrupt traditional industries and challenge conventional economic models and policies (e.g., the Fed's role).
  • Investment Complexity: Directly profiting from the AI trend is not as simple as buying chip stocks. The value may be captured by companies that effectively integrate AI to disrupt markets or by second-order beneficiaries (like digital assets).
  • Productivity vs. Employment: Expect a period of tension where companies use AI to boost productivity without hiring new workers, eventually leading to workforce replacement. This will have profound social and economic consequences.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • Tesla is highlighted as a significant company positioned at the center of both the AI and robotics revolutions.
  • Its progress in fully self-driving technology is cited as an example of AI's rapid, real-world application and learning capabilities.
  • The Tesla Optimus humanoid robot is presented as a key driver in the replacement of physical labor. The speakers envision a future where an Optimus robot can simply walk into a truck and drive it, making it a versatile labor solution.
  • The company is seen as a direct way to invest in the physical-world disruption that AI and robotics will cause.

Takeaways

  • A Pure Play on AI and Robotics: The host suggests that alongside digital assets, Tesla is a probable key investment for this era. It is one of the few public companies that provides direct exposure to both advanced AI (self-driving) and the impending robotics revolution (Optimus).
  • Beyond the Car: Investors should view Tesla not just as a car company, but as a leader in deploying AI to solve complex, real-world physical tasks, which represents a massive future market.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
🔥 The Future of Finance is HERE: Join the waitlist: https://rvtv.io/4mIxWi8 ⚪ Raoul Pal welcomes Emad Mostaque, co-founder of Stability AI and author of "The Last Economy," back to explore how AI is triggering the Economic Singularity. They discuss the potential for a deflationary shock, the rise of digital assets, and the collapse of traditional economic models as humanity transitions from a scarcity-based system to one driven by abundance and machine intelligence. Recorded on October 13, 2025 ⚪ X: @EMostaque 📣 This episode is brought to you by Figure, the platform to Earn and Borrow. Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Figure offers Crypto-Backed Loans, allowing you to borrow against your Bitcoin or Ethereum with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. They have the lowest rates in the industry at 8.91%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. You can always see your BTC ownership in your FM account and verify holdings in your personal BTC vault onchain. Unlock your crypto’s potential today. 👉 Visit their app to apply for a Crypto Backed Loan today ⁠⁠⁠https://figuremarkets.onelink.me/Plnq/2uhuytay⁠⁠⁠ 📣 Bitwise has been all-in on crypto since 2017 and has more than 20 crypto-based products to help investors get the access they need. Bitwise manages the world’s largest crypto index fund, one of the top Bitcoin ETFs, and one of the largest institutional Ethereum staking solutions. Bitwise has over $10 billion in assets under management and employs over 100 people in the US and Europe to manage a range of products, including ETFs, private alpha strategies, and SMAs for large investors. 👉 Check out Bitwise at ⁠⁠⁠https://bitwiseinvestments.com⁠⁠⁠ and let them know that Real Vision mentioned them. Carefully consider the extreme risks associated with crypto before investing. 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉   Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at ⁠⁠⁠https://us.plus500.com⁠⁠⁠. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. 📣 Ready to see how Square can transform your business? 👉 Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠square.com/go/realvision⁠⁠⁠⁠ to learn more! #squarepod Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
About Raoul Pal: The Journey Man
Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

By Real Vision Podcast Network

The world is changing faster than ever before. This comes with life-changing opportunities but also unprecedented challenges. In The Journeyman, I talk to the greatest minds at the nexus of macro, crypto, and technology to figure out exactly what the Exponential Age means for us all. I uncover the big trends, potential investment opportunities, and economic risks and rewards, and ask the big questions on how this impacts us, our businesses, and our societies. Brought to you by Real Vision.