Two indicators for lowering the rent
Two indicators for lowering the rent
14 hours agoPlanet MoneyNPR
Podcast17 min 47 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should look to Single-Family REITs and Build-to-Rent (BTR) sectors as institutional landlords leverage economies of scale to renovate distressed properties more efficiently than individual owners. Focus on the BTR market, which now accounts for 1 in 12 new U.S. homes, as a high-growth solution to the national housing supply shortage. Monitor legislative developments like the 21st Century Road to Housing Act, as any "anti-corporate" housing bills could create volatility or force liquidations in institutional portfolios. For a niche, high-yield play, watch for private development opportunities in Single Room Occupancy (SRO) and micro-units in markets like San Francisco, Oregon, and Washington state where regulations are easing. Prioritize institutional landlords over individual home-flippers, as these large-scale operators have superior access to capital for property upgrades despite high interest rates.

Detailed Analysis

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

• REITs are investment products that bundle numerous rental properties into a single portfolio, allowing investors to earn a share of the regular cash flow (rent) without managing the properties themselves. • These became highly popular following the 2008 Great Recession when institutional investors purchased foreclosed homes at significant discounts. • Institutional investors (large corporations) currently account for less than 1% of single-family home ownership across the United States, though they have higher concentrations in specific suburban markets.

Takeaways

Market Sentiment: While there is a strong political and public backlash against "corporate landlords," they are not the primary drivers of high housing prices; low construction volume and interest rate fluctuations have a much larger impact. • Investment Strategy: Institutional investors often target "distressed" properties (homes in poor condition), leveraging economies of scale to renovate them more cheaply than individual homeowners can. • Risk Factor: Bipartisan legislation, such as the 21st Century Road to Housing Act, seeks to restrict institutional ownership. If passed, this could "chill" the Build-to-Rent sector, potentially reducing the overall supply of new housing and impacting REIT returns.


Build-to-Rent (BTR) Housing

• This is a specific real estate sector where homes are constructed specifically for the purpose of being rented out rather than sold to individual buyers. • In 2024, approximately 1 in 12 new houses in the U.S. were built specifically for the rental market. • Industry bodies like the National Rental Home Council argue that BTR communities allow families to live in high-quality neighborhoods with better schools that they otherwise could not afford to buy into.

Takeaways

Growth Potential: Analysts suggest that BTR is a vital supply-side solution to housing shortages. • Social Impact: Research indicates that while high concentrations of corporate-owned rentals can correlate with slight increases in local crime rates, they also provide low-income families with "social mobility" by providing access to better school districts. • Regulatory Risk: Investors should monitor local and federal "anti-corporate" housing bills, as these could force institutional owners to liquidate newly built portfolios, disrupting the BTR business model.


Single Room Occupancy (SRO) / Shared Housing

• SROs (also known as boarding houses or dorm-style living) represent the "ultra-affordable" tier of the housing market, where residents typically have private rooms but share bathrooms and kitchens. • Once making up 10% of the rental stock in cities like New York, these were largely phased out in the 1950s-70s due to urban renewal policies and strict housing regulations. • There is a growing movement to re-legalize SROs to combat homelessness and provide "entry-level" housing for young workers.

Takeaways

Emerging Opportunity: Cities like San Francisco, Washington state, and Oregon are leading the way in legalizing or incentivizing the construction of new SRO-style units. • Niche Market: This sector is currently dominated by non-profits (e.g., Westside Federation for Senior and Supportive Housing), but legislative shifts in New York and elsewhere may open doors for private developers to build "micro-unit" or "shared-living" commercial products. • Operational Risks: SROs carry higher management challenges, including increased vulnerability to communicable diseases (like COVID-19 or the flu) and difficulties in accommodating an aging tenant population that requires medical equipment.


Single-Family Rentals (SFR)

• Large-scale management companies, such as Progress Residential, manage vast portfolios of suburban homes. • These companies provide a "middle-ground" for renters who need the space of a house (garages, yards for pets) but are not yet ready or able to secure a mortgage.

Takeaways

Operational Efficiency: Large landlords often provide more stable maintenance and predictable rent structures; some tenants report high satisfaction (4/5 stars) and even slight rent decreases upon renewal. • Economic Indicator: The "denial rate" for home improvement loans for individual homeowners is over 40%, whereas institutional landlords have ready access to capital for property upgrades, making them more resilient in maintaining property values during economic downturns.

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Episode Description
One specific type of affordable housing used to be popular in American cities, kept rents low, then nearly vanished. Is it time to reconsider boarding houses and single room occupancy units? If they lowered rents in cities, why did they go away? We have the history. Then, let’s talk about corporate landlords. They’re blamed for driving up rents. Studies show they do the opposite. When corporate landlords come to town, they do buy up homes, which can raise the price to buy, but at the same time lower rents. We’ll parse the impact as we consider a Trump administration plan to restrict corporate home ownership. Related episodes: Is the YIMBY movement doomed?  How to fix a housing shortage  How to build abundantly Can Trump make buying a home more affordable? Support: NPR+ Read:  Our book: Planet Money: A Guide to the Economic Forces That Shape Your Life  Our weekly longform Planet Money newsletter Our weekly Indicator round-up newsletter Follow:  Instagram TikTok YouTube Facebook The original episodes of the Indicator were hosted by Darian Woods and Wailin Wong. They were produced by Julia Ritchey, Cooper Katz McKim and Corey Bridges with engineering by Travis Hagan and Robert Rodriguez. They were fact checked by Vito Emanuel and Sierra Juarez. Kate Concannon edits the show. This episode of Planet Money was produced by James Sneed with help from Emma Murphy. Alex Goldmark is our executive producer. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences. NPR Privacy Policy
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