Middlegarchs are the new Oligarchs
Middlegarchs are the new Oligarchs
1 hour ago•Planet Money•NPR
Podcast30 min 43 sec
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Treat TSLA’s direct-sales restrictions as a regulatory risk: state dealership laws may limit its ability to reach customers, though the insights provide no price target or trade recommendation.
  • Monitor changes to dealership laws, which could affect competition for TSLA, Ford (F), and General Motors (GM); no company-specific earnings impact is established.
  • For private-business investments, assess tax-policy exposure and owner succession carefully: pass-through tax benefits may support returns, while changes to those rules or reliance on a single owner can threaten them.
Detailed Analysis

Tesla (TSLA)

  • Tesla’s effort to sell cars directly to consumers has faced opposition from state laws requiring sales through dealerships. In South Carolina, car dealers successfully opposed a change that would have allowed direct sales.
  • The economists interviewed argue that dealership rules can limit competition and may keep car prices higher, while dealers say they provide local jobs and community support.

Takeaways

  • Regulatory access to customers is a risk for Tesla’s direct-sales model. State-by-state rules may constrain how Tesla sells vehicles, even when the company wants to bypass dealerships.
  • The discussion presents a potential benefit of direct sales for consumers, but offers no price target or investment recommendation for Tesla.

Ford (F) and General Motors (GM)

  • Ford and GM are mentioned as examples of traditional automakers whose customers generally buy through dealerships rather than directly from the manufacturer.
  • The transcript describes dealership laws as protecting dealers’ role as intermediaries, including in the debate over Tesla’s direct-sales model.

Takeaways

  • Dealership rules may protect the existing sales channel for traditional automakers, but the episode does not assess the effect on Ford’s or GM’s profits or provide a stock recommendation.
  • The broader issue to watch is whether laws governing direct sales change, potentially reshaping competition between automakers and dealers.

Pass-Through Businesses and Private Business Ownership

  • The episode focuses on privately owned pass-through businesses, whose profits are reported on owners’ personal tax returns rather than taxed first as corporate profits.
  • Researchers cited in the episode found that pass-throughs’ share of U.S. business income rose from about one-fifth in 1980 to more than half by 2011. The episode says 95% of U.S. businesses are now pass-throughs.
  • Examples of businesses represented among wealthy owners include car dealerships, law firms, restaurants, dental practices, manufacturers, food suppliers, and service businesses.
  • The episode says pass-throughs paid a lower average federal income tax rate than traditional corporations in the researchers’ 2016 analysis: about 20% versus nearly 32%.
  • It also says a tax deduction for pass-through business income—worth as much as 20% of business income—was made permanent in a later law. The Joint Committee on Taxation estimated the deduction would reduce federal revenue by nearly $415 billion over a decade.
  • These businesses can create products, services, and jobs, but the episode also describes owners using political influence to secure favorable rules and tax treatment. It cites car dealers’ efforts to preserve dealership laws and industry lobbying around teeth whitening, nurse practitioners’ scope of practice, and beer distribution.
  • The researchers found that profits at businesses they studied tended to fall by 75% when an owner died or retired.

Takeaways

  • Pass-through businesses are a significant private-business investment theme, with tax treatment that may benefit owners. However, the episode does not identify specific private companies to invest in.
  • Tax policy is a key risk: favorable treatment has supported the sector, but changes to deductions or tax rates could affect owners’ after-tax returns.
  • Business performance may depend heavily on the owner. The reported profit decline after an owner’s death or retirement highlights a succession and key-person risk for investors considering closely held businesses.
  • The episode also raises the possibility that protected business rules can limit competition and affect consumer prices. That may matter when evaluating businesses whose profits depend on those protections.

Car Dealerships

  • Car dealers are presented as a prominent source of wealth among private business owners and as a politically influential industry.
  • In South Carolina, dealers successfully opposed a proposal to let Tesla sell directly to consumers. The episode says dealerships provide substantial local employment and community support, while the economists argue that the middleman model may restrict competition and keep prices higher.

Takeaways

  • Dealerships may benefit from laws that preserve their role in vehicle sales, but that advantage depends on regulatory protection and is contested by automakers seeking direct sales.
  • For investors, the relevant issue is the balance between dealer protections and possible policy changes—not a specific dealership stock recommendation.

Other Business and Sector Examples

  • The episode identifies lawyers and investors as the top two categories on its list of businesses associated with high incomes among private business owners. Car dealers ranked third; restaurants and manufacturing also appeared.
  • It contrasts these “Main Street” businesses with high-profile wealth associated with technology and finance, while mentioning Facebook and Amazon as examples in that comparison.
  • The episode describes entrepreneurs succeeding by spotting consumer demand and adapting to changing trends: one business grew through frozen appetizers, while a tanning-business owner pivoted to waxing salons as tanning fell out of fashion.

Takeaways

  • The discussion suggests that wealth creation is not limited to large technology or finance companies; consumer-facing and local-service businesses can also grow substantially.
  • Consumer preferences and the ability to adapt are important business factors in the examples given. The episode does not provide specific securities, valuations, or investment recommendations for these sectors.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
Wanna know who is really in the top 1%? And how they use their influence? It may not be who you think. Look beyond Silicon Valley. Look beyond Wall Street. Look beyond the “oligarchs”. There's a much larger class of wealthy Americans hiding in plain sight. And, often, they got rich in mundane ways. They own car dealerships. They sell hot dogs and frozen mini-quiches. They run waxing salons. They supply fabricated metal and urinal cakes. They are dentists. Collectively, these "Main Street millionaires" control much more wealth than the billionaire lightning rods who launch rockets into space, appear on manosphere podcasts, and have Hollywood movies made about them. Many of these millionaires have also grown rich enough to afford superyachts, 10,000-square-foot homes, and pet tigers.  At the center of their story is a quiet revolution in the American economy: the rise of a particular kind of private business. On today’s show, how did the power of the “stealthy wealthy” millionaires come to rival that of the billionaire oligarchs? And, how are they shaping policies that lower their taxes and raise your prices? Read:  Our book: Planet Money: A Guide to the Economic Forces That Shape Your Life  Our weekly longform Planet Money newsletter Our weekly Indicator round-up newsletter Follow:  Instagram TikTok YouTube Facebook Support public media with NPR+ and enjoy perks for over 25 podcasts like this one. This show’s perks include bonus episodes and sponsor-free listening. Learn more at plus.npr.org. This episode was hosted by Greg Rosalsky and Sarah Gonzalez. It was produced by Emma Peaslee. It was edited by Marianne McCune with fact checking help from Sierra Juarez. It was engineered by Kwesi Lee. Alex Goldmark is Planet Money’s executive producer.  Music: NPR Source Audio - "Collectible Kicks," "Blazed and Emboldened," and "Arturo’s Revenge See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences. NPR Privacy Policy
About Planet Money
Planet Money

Planet Money

By NPR

Wanna see a trick? Give us any topic and we can tie it back to the economy. At <em>Planet Money</em>, we explore the forces that shape our lives and bring you along for the ride. Don't just understand the economy – understand the world.<br><br><em>Wanna go deeper? <em>Subscribe to </em><em>Planet Money+ and get sponsor-free episodes of Planet Money, The Indicator, and Planet Money Summer School. Plus access to bonus content. It's a new way to support the show you love. Learn more at plus.npr.org/planetmoney</em><br></em>