Is Alex Pretti Shooting a Turning Point?
Is Alex Pretti Shooting a Turning Point?
103 days agoPivotNew York Magazine
Podcast29 min 41 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

A potential consumer "economic strike" against major tech companies presents a near-term risk for stocks like Apple (AAPL), NVIDIA (NVDA), and Microsoft (MSFT). A proposed delay of iPhone purchases for the next 60 days could negatively impact AAPL's upcoming quarterly earnings. Investors should monitor subscription trends for AI services like OpenAI, as a slowdown could signal bearish pressure for the entire sector, including NVDA and MSFT. Consider the risk of fund outflows from large banks like JPMorgan (JPM) if consumers move their money in protest. This trend could conversely create a bullish opportunity for local regional banks as they may see an inflow of new deposits.

Detailed Analysis

Tech Sector & Major S&P 500 Companies

  • The hosts discuss the immense power and influence wielded by major technology companies, noting that their CEOs (from Apple, Amazon, AMD, Zoom) attended a White House event shortly after a controversial fatal shooting.
  • A central theme is the perceived silence or complicity of the business community, particularly tech leaders, in the face of political turmoil.
  • Scott Galloway argues that the most effective form of protest is an "economic strike"—a coordinated withdrawal from spending that targets these specific companies.
  • He notes that the economy is heavily reliant on these companies, stating the tech economy accounts for 40% of the S&P.
  • The argument is that these companies and their leaders do not respond to moral shaming but will respond to a falling stock price. Galloway states, "The only thing these people care about is whether or not their stock goes down."

Takeaways

  • The podcast presents a significant, non-financial risk factor for major tech stocks: their vulnerability to coordinated consumer boycotts for political reasons.
  • Investors should be aware that the heavy concentration of the S&P 500 in a few tech names means that a targeted action against these companies could have a ripple effect across the broader market.
  • The discussion suggests that if a consumer movement to "opt-out" of these platforms and products gains traction, it could lead to negative pressure on their stock prices, as this is the "only thing these people care about."

Apple (AAPL)

  • Host Kara Swisher expressed strong disappointment that CEO Tim Cook attended a White House event, stating, "Steve Jobs would be ashamed of you."
  • Host Scott Galloway specifically targeted Apple as part of a potential economic strike, suggesting that if consumers planning to buy an iPhone in the next 60 days were to simply delay their purchase, it would send a powerful message.
  • The hosts imply that the Apple brand stands for more than just shareholder value and that current leadership is failing to uphold that standard.

Takeaways

  • Bearish Sentiment: The podcast proposes a consumer boycott of Apple products, specifically delaying iPhone purchases, as a form of protest.
  • Actionable Insight: A successful, large-scale consumer movement to delay iPhone upgrades could negatively impact Apple's quarterly earnings and stock performance. This is presented as a potential catalyst for the company's leadership to change its political engagement.

AI-Related Stocks (OpenAI, NVIDIA, Microsoft)

  • The discussion identifies the AI economy as the current foundation of the market.
  • Scott Galloway proposes that a simple way to create economic pressure would be for a large number of Americans to cancel their ChatGPT or OpenAI subscriptions.
  • He explicitly states that a drop in OpenAI's subscription numbers would "ripple into NVIDIA (NVDA)" and "ripple into Microsoft (MSFT)," as these companies are deeply interconnected within the AI ecosystem.
  • Anthropic is also mentioned as a service that could be canceled as part of this economic protest.

Takeaways

  • Bearish Sentiment: The podcast highlights a key vulnerability in the interconnected AI sector. A downturn in a single, highly visible service like ChatGPT could create a domino effect, negatively impacting hardware providers like NVIDIA and major partners like Microsoft.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors in NVDA and MSFT should monitor the growth and sentiment around key AI platforms like OpenAI. The podcast suggests that a slowdown in user adoption or a wave of cancellations, for any reason, could be a leading indicator of trouble for the entire sector.

JPMorgan (JPM) & Regional Banks

  • As part of the proposed "economic strike," Scott Galloway suggests that consumers could move their money out of large financial institutions like JPMorgan (JPM).
  • The proposed action is to transfer funds from a major bank like JPMorgan to a local regional bank.

Takeaways

  • Bearish Sentiment (JPM): The podcast identifies large banks as another potential target for a consumer-led political protest. A significant outflow of deposits could negatively impact JPMorgan's business.
  • Bullish Sentiment (Regional Banks): Conversely, this scenario would directly benefit regional banks, which would see an inflow of new deposits and customers.
  • Actionable Insight: This highlights a potential trend where consumers "vote with their wallets" by moving away from national financial giants towards smaller, local institutions. This could be a tailwind for well-run regional banks if such a movement materializes.
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Episode Description
Kara and Scott jump on for an emergency episode in the aftermath of the Alex Pretti shooting in Minneapolis. They break down how cellphone video from the scene contradicts the narrative pushed by the Trump administration, the political reaction in Washington, and why a national economic strike — not just protests — may be the most effective response. Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠Pivot YouTube channel⁠⁠.Follow us on Instagram and Threads at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcastofficial⁠⁠.Follow us on Bluesky at ⁠⁠@pivotpod.bsky.social⁠⁠Follow us on TikTok at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcast⁠⁠.Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or email Pivot@voxmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
About Pivot
Pivot

Pivot

By New York Magazine

Every Tuesday and Friday, tech journalist Kara Swisher and NYU Professor Scott Galloway offer sharp, unfiltered insights into the biggest stories in tech, business, and politics. They make bold predictions, pick winners and losers, and bicker and banter like no one else. After all, with great power comes great scrutiny. From New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network.