Why Laser Beams Are the Hottest New Tech in Defense
Why Laser Beams Are the Hottest New Tech in Defense
23 hours agoOdd LotsBloomberg
Podcast53 min 17 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors looking to capitalize on expanding global defense budgets should consider Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) as it rapidly ramps up multi-year production of its high-demand PAC-3 and THAAD missile interceptors. RTX Corporation (RTX) offers reliable upside in layered air defense with a portfolio spanning premier SM-6 naval interceptors to cost-effective Coyote counter-drone systems. Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) provides strong mid-tier growth potential as the Pentagon awards new contracts to mass-produce affordable, containerized munitions. For a strategic supply-chain play, MP Materials Corp. (MP) is poised to benefit from direct government funding to onshore critical rare earth elements essential for advanced military hardware. Finally, investors should seek long-term exposure to the broader directed energy sector, which is projected to expand up to three times its current size over the next decade as laser weapons transition into active military procurement.

Detailed Analysis

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)

  • Selected by the U.S. military for multi-year framework agreements to drastically ramp up munition stockpiles.
    • Expanding production of PAC-3 interceptors by 3.3x, moving from 620 units to 2,000 units per year.
    • Scaling the THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) interceptor program by 4x, with individual interceptors costing $12 million to $15 million each.
  • Deployed the Helios high-energy laser integrated weapon system aboard the naval destroyer USS Preble.
  • Forming joint ventures and partnerships with European defense contractors to boost global manufacturing capacity.
  • Poised to capture near-term defense spending because traditional primes possess the active production lines and infrastructure required for immediate delivery.

Takeaways

  • Lockheed Martin remains a primary beneficiary of surging global defense budgets, securing long-term revenue visibility via multi-year contracts for high-end ("exquisite") missile defense systems while participating in the early rollout of shipboard laser weapons.

RTX Corporation (RTX)

  • Produces premier naval interceptors, including the SM-3 and SM-6, which are essential for countering advanced ballistic and hypersonic threats.
  • Manufactures the Coyote and Coyote Block II counter-drone systems, offering a mid-tier solution against low-cost drone swarms.
  • Active in international joint ventures to expand production capacity across allied nations.

Takeaways

  • RTX holds a balanced defense portfolio spanning both high-value exquisite interceptor munitions and mid-range counter-drone platforms, positioning it well as armed forces seek layered air defense systems to counter both asymmetric drone swarms and high-speed missile attacks.

MP Materials Corp. (MP)

  • Highlighted as a key strategic partner with the U.S. Department of Defense to onshore the critical mineral and rare earth supply chain domestically.
  • Rare earth elements such as ytterbium, dysprosium, and neodymium-iron-boron magnets are critical inputs for directed energy lasers, optics, and brushless motors in military hardware.
  • China currently controls 85% to 90% of the global rare earth supply chain and has restricted the export of several critical minerals.

Takeaways

  • MP Materials is positioned to benefit from structural, long-term geopolitical tailwinds as Western defense agencies actively fund and prioritize domestic critical mineral independence to support advanced weapons manufacturing.

Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) & Defense Tech Disruptors

  • The U.S. Department of Defense awarded contracts to five companies—Leidos (LDOS), Anduril, Coaspire, Zone 5, and Castilian—to design and produce tens of thousands of low-cost, containerized munitions.
  • Fills the vital "middle ground" of air defense, bridging the gap between multi-million-dollar interceptors and directed energy systems.
  • High-power microwave specialist Epirus secured defense contracts with the U.S. Army and Marine Corps, deploying systems like the Leonidas H2O to neutralize uncrewed fast-attack boat motors.

Takeaways

  • While legacy primes dominate high-end missile production, agile defense contractors like Leidos and emerging venture-backed defense firms are capturing market share in high-volume, affordable counter-drone and electronic warfare procurement programs.

Directed Energy & Integrated Air Defense Sector

  • The global directed energy market is projected to expand 2x to 3x over the next decade from its current estimated base of $6 billion to $8 billion.
  • Over $15 billion has been spent on research and development (R&D) to date, with the industry now reaching an inflection point and transitioning into active military procurement.
  • Directed energy systems offer near-zero cost per shot and a "deep magazine" (near-limitless ammunition if power is continuous) compared to multi-million-dollar conventional interceptors.
  • Current operational systems deploy at power levels of 50 kilowatts (U.S. Stryker vehicles) to 150 kilowatts (Israel’s Iron Beam), with the Pentagon targeting 1 megawatt systems by 2030 to intercept hypersonic targets.
  • Primary technical hurdles include size, weight, and power (SWaP) constraints, mobile power generation, and atmospheric interference such as rain and fog.

Takeaways

  • Directed energy is evolving from experimental science into deployable defense technology. Rather than completely replacing traditional munitions, lasers and microwaves will operate as additive, low-cost layers in integrated air defense architectures, creating long-term opportunities across power generation, optics, and defense hardware suppliers.
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Episode Description
Our guest today is Colonel Sanders. More precisely, we speak with Wayne Sanders, a retired US army colonel who is currently senior defense research analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. During his military career, Sanders specialized in cybersecurity and weapon systems research and his work for BI has recently focused on directed energy weapon systems — better known as lasers. Just a few decades ago, programs like Star Wars, the Reagan-era missile defense system, seemed like a pipedream; today lasers can shoot down missiles and much more. Sanders tells us about the physics problems researchers had to solve to make laser weapons a reality, why we still don't have laser guns, what makes a weapons system "exquisite," the economic costs that factor into battlefield decisions, and the unique supply chain constraints that affect laser development. Read more: Weary US Sailors Lay Bare War’s Strain During Thailand Shore Leave German Navy Tests Ballistic Missile for the First Time at Sea Only http://Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots Subscribe to the Odd Lots Newsletter Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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