Jasmine Sun on What the AI Industry Got Wrong About the Public Backlash
Jasmine Sun on What the AI Industry Got Wrong About the Public Backlash
1 hour agoOdd LotsBloomberg
Podcast51 min 44 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should prepare for rising capital expenditures and project delays for tech giants like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), and Oracle (ORCL) as community pushback and disappearing tax incentives drive up the cost of building data centers.

To capitalize on this buildout, target investments in specialized industrial engineering, electrical contracting, and HVAC equipment providers that supply the mandatory closed-loop cooling and grid infrastructure required for new facilities.

Exercise caution with regional utilities like DTE Energy (DTE), which face regulatory pushback and political scrutiny over passing data center grid upgrade costs onto everyday consumers.

Investors should also look for opportunities in international AI infrastructure assets across Canada, Australia, and Europe, where hyperscalers are redirecting capital to bypass domestic power bottlenecks and state-level moratoriums.

Detailed Analysis

Microsoft (MSFT)

  • Microsoft is advancing major physical AI infrastructure projects, such as the Fairwater data center development in Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin (built on the former Foxconn site).
  • The company is projected to pay approximately $20 million in property taxes for 2026 on that facility, serving as a massive contributor to the local municipal tax base.
  • In response to growing local pushback and transparency concerns across host communities, Microsoft is shifting strategy away from utilizing non-disclosure agreements (NDAs) during data center development negotiations.

Takeaways

  • While Microsoft retains strong financial capacity to secure land and power, community pushback and demands for higher municipal payouts will likely increase the upfront capital expenditures (CapEx) and lead time required to bring new facilities online.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • Meta is actively building large-scale data center facilities in regions like Louisiana, where it is making direct, tangible financial commitments to local communities (such as funding teacher bonuses and municipal services).
  • The dynamic of Meta's site negotiations has shifted: rather than local governments offering tax incentives to attract Meta, the company is increasingly required to offer direct financial concessions and community guarantees to secure approvals.

Takeaways

  • As local governments become more skeptical of the net benefits of data centers, Meta faces higher ongoing operational costs and community investment obligations to maintain its infrastructure expansion roadmap.

Oracle (ORCL)

  • Oracle, alongside partner OpenAI and developer Related Digital, proposed the Stargate data center project in Saline, Michigan.
  • After the local town council voted 4-1 against the development, the project developers sued the small municipality over exclusionary zoning, eventually settling for infrastructure investments (such as fire equipment and agricultural support).

Takeaways

  • Legal battles and zoning disputes in small municipalities present headline and execution risks for Oracle’s collaborative hyperscale projects, highlighting friction in local permitting pipelines.

DTE Energy (DTE)

  • DTE Energy is the regional utility involved in negotiations to supply power for proposed Michigan data center projects, including discussions with OpenAI regarding electricity demand.
  • Local residents and anti-data center activists have pushed back, expressing skepticism over promises that tech companies will fully cover the costs of grid upgrades rather than passing rate hikes onto retail consumers (noting DTE had already raised rates in four of the past five years).

Takeaways

  • Regulated utilities handling large data center load requests face regulatory and public scrutiny over power tariff structuring, cost allocations, and grid reliability.

AI Infrastructure & Data Center Sector (Thematic)

  • Capital Availability vs. Physical Constraints: The primary bottleneck for AI is no longer a shortage of investment capital, but severe physical and political constraints, specifically access to power grids, water infrastructure, land, and local regulatory approvals.
  • Bipartisan Local Backlash: Data centers face notable bipartisan opposition (polling around 70-30 against in certain battleground states like Michigan and Wisconsin), resulting in state-level moratorium proposals (e.g., Texas and New York) and local project denials.
  • Shift in Deal Terms: The era of offering tax abatements and subsidies to attract tech facilities is ending. New deals increasingly require upfront power purchase guarantees, closed-loop cooling systems, and local tax minimums.
  • Skilled Trades Boom with Skepticism: Industrial contractors, electrical workers, HVAC engineers, and crane operators are experiencing strong wage premiums and per-diem incentives. However, construction and engineering leaders have expressed concern that the pace of AI infrastructure spending could represent a cyclical bubble.
  • Geographic Diversification: Persistent domestic resistance is pushing tech companies to explore alternative international deployments in markets like Canada, Australia, and Europe.

Takeaways

  • Investors should anticipate rising buildout costs and potential project delays across the AI supply chain as hyperscalers navigate tighter local regulations, higher utility costs, and community pushback.
  • Specialized industrial engineering, HVAC, and electrical contracting firms stand to benefit from sustained infrastructure spending in the near term, though execution timelines remain vulnerable to local zoning and regulatory hurdles.
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Episode Description
Within the AI industry, even the builders of it have been very anxious about the technology. They've talked for years about its potential to create destabilizing job losses. They even spend a lot of time thinking about rogue AI that could lead to human extinction. But for all their anxiety, they missed the thing that's become the most publicly salient: how upset people would be about building data centers. Part of this was understandable. Data center construction has been happening for a long time in America, and it used to be relatively uncontroversial. In fact, cities and states would often design their tax code to incentivize data center construction. Now there's this complete 180. On this episode, we speak with independent writer and Substacker Jasmine Sun, who recently traveled to Wisconsin and Michigan for some on-the-ground reporting about the communities and activists trying to stop data center development. She explains what the pushback is really all about, what it represents, and what future developers will have to do in order to be welcomed in. Come see Odd Lots live in Los Angeles, get your tickets now. Read more: Anthropic-Tied Data Center Inks $1.3 Billion Private Credit Loan Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro to Limit New Data Centers Only Bloomberg - Business News, Stock Markets, Finance, Breaking & World News subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots Subscribe to the Odd Lots Newsletter Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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<p>Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.</p>