This Week in AI: NVIDIA’s Most Powerful Chip, Robotics Reach a New Milestone & AGI by 2026 w/ Salim Ismail, Emad Mostaque & Eric Pulier | EP #202
This Week in AI: NVIDIA’s Most Powerful Chip, Robotics Reach a New Milestone & AGI by 2026 w/ Salim Ismail, Emad Mostaque & Eric Pulier | EP #202
Podcast1 hr 2 min
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Watch for the upcoming $7 billion IPO of Unitree Robotics, the reported #1 robotics manufacturer, to gain direct exposure to the growing humanoid robot theme. For a speculative play on future infrastructure, consider quantum computing stocks like IonQ (INQ), Rigetti (RGTI), and D-Wave (QBTS), which are gaining attention for potential government investment. As a key player in onshoring US chip manufacturing, Intel (INTC) is highlighted as a strategic buy. To hedge against currency devaluation, consider an allocation to Bitcoin (BTC) as an alternative store of value. Lastly, follow the "smart money" by investing in gold, as global central banks are now buying it over U.S. treasuries.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The podcast highlights that the "AI chip wars" are accelerating, with over $1 billion a day being invested into the field, a figure expected to rise to $3 billion a day by 2030.
  • NVIDIA is at the center of this, having unveiled its first Blackwell chip wafer made in the U.S. This is seen as a significant step towards reducing dependency on foreign manufacturing.
  • A major risk factor discussed is the current dependence on TSMC in Taiwan for advanced chip packaging. The hosts note that while the wafer is made in the U.S., the chips are still being sent back to Taiwan for advanced packaging.
  • Full U.S.-based packaging for NVIDIA chips is not expected until 2028, while geopolitical tensions surrounding Taiwan are a concern for as early as 2026.
  • The new chips, like the GB200s, are expected to be 2-3 times faster for training AI models, with some cases showing up to a 10x improvement. This will enable training on a much larger scale, from 30,000 chips to potentially 500,000 or a million chips.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: NVIDIA is positioned as a dominant leader in the accelerating AI chip market. The demand for its advanced chips is a central theme of the AI boom.
  • Supply Chain Risk: Investors should be aware of the geopolitical risks associated with the reliance on Taiwan for manufacturing. The move to onshore production in the U.S. is a positive long-term development but will take several years to fully materialize.
  • Technological Moat: The continuous improvement in chip performance (Blackwell, GB200) reinforces NVIDIA's technological leadership, which is crucial for maintaining its market position.

Intel (INTC)

  • The podcast explicitly mentions that Intel's stock has gone up, reaching a "record high."
  • The hosts state that they have been talking about buying Intel options over the last three months and that "it's been a good call."
  • Intel is identified as "the only place you can actually get this done in the United States," referring to the onshoring of advanced chip manufacturing.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The hosts have a directly positive view on Intel, framing it as a successful investment and a key player in the strategic goal of U.S. chip independence.
  • Strategic Importance: Intel is positioned as a critical asset for the U.S. supply chain, which could attract government support and investment, making it a strategic play on the "reshoring" trend.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The discussion highlights Elon Musk's statement that 80% of Tesla's future revenues are expected to come from sales of its Optimus humanoid robot.
  • Musk is quoted as saying the robot will "seem so real that you need to poke it to tell that it's a robot."
  • A specific timeline is mentioned for the Optimus V3, which is expected to be released at the end of Q1 of 2026.

Takeaways

  • Long-Term Vision: The investment case for Tesla is framed as being much larger than just electric vehicles. Its future valuation could be heavily dependent on its success in the humanoid robotics market.
  • Key Milestone: Investors should watch for the release and capabilities of the Optimus V3 in early 2026 as a major catalyst and proof point for this new business line.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • Amazon's robot fleet has grown 66-fold in the last decade, showing a massive commitment to automation.
  • The company is expected to replace 600,000 workers with additional robots.
  • In logistics, Amazon is now surpassing competitors like FedEx and UPS and is on track to surpass the U.S. Post Office.
  • The company is also innovating with AR headsets for its delivery drivers, which the hosts speculate is a way to gather data to train future delivery robots, further solidifying its automation strategy.

Takeaways

  • Automation Leader: Amazon is presented as a prime example of a company successfully leveraging robotics and AI to increase efficiency, cut long-term costs, and dominate its industry.
  • Competitive Advantage: Its investment in automation and logistics is creating a significant moat, allowing it to outcompete traditional delivery services. This focus on efficiency is a strong driver for future profitability.

Unitree Robotics (Upcoming IPO)

  • Unitree is described as the #1 robotics manufacturer on the planet, with an estimated 40% share of the Chinese market.
  • The company is reportedly about to go public with an IPO valuation of $7 billion.
  • Their success is partly attributed to an open-source model and hitting accessible price points, with their H1 robot available for $20,000 and a lower-end R1 model for $6,000. This has created a large innovation ecosystem around their products.

Takeaways

  • Investment Opportunity: The upcoming Unitree IPO presents a direct investment opportunity in the rapidly growing humanoid robotics sector.
  • Market Leader: As a dominant player with a strong market share and an innovative business model, Unitree is a company for investors interested in robotics to watch closely.

Quantum Computing Stocks (INQ, RGTI, QBTS)

  • The podcast notes that former President Trump has announced interest in putting money into quantum firms, specifically mentioning IonQ (INQ), Rigetti (RGTI), and D-Wave (QBTS).
  • D-Wave (QBTS) is highlighted for having an 8,000% return through its SPAC deal.
  • On the news of this potential government interest, these stocks reportedly went up 10% to 15%.
  • The hosts suggest these technologies are the "infrastructure of the future" and that there is a possibility they could be nationalized due to their strategic importance.

Takeaways

  • Speculative Growth Sector: Quantum computing is a high-risk, high-reward field. Potential government investment could be a significant catalyst for the sector.
  • Market Movers: The stocks mentioned (INQ, RGTI, QBTS) are direct plays on this theme. The recent price jump indicates high sensitivity to news and government interest.
  • Long-Term Potential: Quantum computing is described as a technology that could have implications even larger than AI, with the potential for step-function changes in materials science, biology, and complex optimization problems.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin is presented as a powerful solution to the "structural problem" of the traditional financial system, where governments continuously print money, devaluing currencies like the U.S. dollar.
  • The hosts argue that technology is deflationary, but the financial system relies on inflationary money printing to manage debt. This conflict makes a strong case for a deflationary asset.
  • Bitcoin is described as providing "money velocity without debt."
  • One of the hosts states that most of his assets are in Bitcoin, indicating strong personal conviction.
  • A risk mentioned is that quantum computers could potentially break Bitcoin's encryption, though this is presented as a future concern.

Takeaways

  • Hedge Against Inflation: Bitcoin is framed as a key asset for protecting wealth against the debasement of fiat currencies. The discussion around rising U.S. debt and money printing provides a strong bullish case.
  • Alternative Financial System: For investors who believe the current debt-based financial system is unsustainable, Bitcoin is presented as a primary alternative and a store of value.

Gold

  • The podcast highlights a major shift in global finance: central banks now hold more gold than U.S. treasuries for the first time in decades.
  • This is interpreted as a signal that global central banks are losing faith in the U.S. dollar as a stable reserve currency and are actively seeking an alternative.
  • The reasons cited are the continuous printing of money and the "weaponization" of the dollar through sanctions, which encourages other countries to de-risk their holdings.

Takeaways

  • "Smart Money" Indicator: The fact that central banks are aggressively buying gold is a powerful bullish signal. It suggests that major financial institutions are preparing for continued dollar weakness and instability.
  • Safe Haven Asset: Like Bitcoin, gold is positioned as a classic safe haven asset to hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty. The trend of central bank buying could provide a long-term tailwind for its price.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
Get access to metatrends 10+ years before anyone else - https://qr.diamandis.com/metatrends   Learn more about XPRIZE: https://www.xprize.org/  Salim Ismail is the founder of OpenExO Emad Mostaque is the founder of Intelligent Internet. Eric Pulier is the founder of Vatom Inc – My companies: Apply to Dave's and my new fund:https://qr.diamandis.com/linkventureslanding      Go to Blitzy to book a free demo and start building today: https://qr.diamandis.com/blitzy   – Grab dinner with MOONSHOT listeners: https://moonshots.dnnr.io/ Connect with Peter: X Instagram Connect with Emad X Linkedin Learn about Intelligent Internet Connect with Salim: X Join Salim's Workshop to build your ExO https://openexo.com/10x-shift?video=PeterD062625 Connect with Eric: Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/epulier/  Listen to MOONSHOTS: Apple YouTube – *Recorded on October 23rd, 2025 *The views expressed by me and all guests are personal opinions and do not constitute Financial, Medical, or Legal advice. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
About Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

By PHD Ventures

Tracking the future of technology and how it impacts humanity. Named by Fortune as one of the “World’s 50 Greatest Leaders,” Peter H. Diamandis, MD, is a founder, investor, advisor, and best-selling author. Join Peter on his mission to uplift humanity through technology. Follow Peter on X - https://x.com/PeterDiamandis