THIS WEEK IN AI: Nvidia Acquires HuggingFace, Leopold vs SEC, New Waymo Chip
THIS WEEK IN AI: Nvidia Acquires HuggingFace, Leopold vs SEC, New Waymo Chip
Podcast41 min 21 sec
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should consider NVIDIA (NVDA) as Wall Street raises price targets up to $420, driven by massive cash generation, unmatched pricing power, and high-margin software growth through its acquisition of Hugging Face. Tesla (TSLA) presents a time-sensitive opportunity ahead of the commercial rollout of its low-cost CyberCab fleet starting September 3 across key U.S. markets. Alphabet (GOOGL) has significantly improved the economics of autonomous driving by slashing Waymo hardware costs to roughly $25,000, paving the way for scalable commercial robotaxi expansion. Apple (AAPL) is primed for a hardware upgrade supercycle heading into its September launch event, which will introduce dedicated on-device AI capabilities across updated iPhone and Mac product lines. Finally, investors should look at the Semiconductor Memory Sector, where suppliers command strong pricing power and expanding margins due to critical hardware bottlenecks in the AI supply chain.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Record Financial Performance: NVIDIA reported quarterly revenue approaching $100 billion, growing at 100% year-over-year (YoY) and generating just over $1 billion in cash daily. The company is guiding for 70% YoY growth in 2028 (beating expectations of 44%).
  • Price Target Increases: Multiple major banks raised their price targets following the earnings report, reaching as high as $420 per share.
  • Acquisitions and Open-Source Strategy: NVIDIA acquired Hugging Face for $13 billion (at roughly 50x earnings) and previously invested $9 billion in Poolside, alongside continuous investment in its own open-source model, Nemotron.
    • Open-source platforms provide a hedge against major customers (like OpenAI, Google, and Amazon) that are developing in-house custom chips (ASICs like OpenAI's Jalapeno).
    • Acquiring Hugging Face positions NVIDIA to capture high-margin inference revenue and build out a proprietary cloud business via Hugging Face’s inference services.
  • Pricing Power: NVIDIA raised GPU prices by 15%, passing rising memory hardware costs directly to customers.
  • Resilience to Export Restrictions: The company delivered record revenue despite having zero chip sales to China due to U.S. export bans.

Takeaways

  • NVIDIA maintains an estimated 70% to 85% market share in AI chips with a dominant software and hardware moat (CUDA), making its business model resilient even as competitors attempt to build specialized chips.
  • The company's expansion beyond GPU manufacturing into open-source software and inference cloud infrastructure positions it to capture recurring software and services revenue long-term.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • CyberCab Launch and Deployment: Tesla is targeting an aggressive commercial rollout of its CyberCab starting September 3, deploying initial fleets in cities including Austin, Dallas, Houston, Miami, Orlando, and Tampa.
  • Manufacturing Cost Advantages: The CyberCab is projected to cost roughly $25,000 per vehicle (total cost of goods sold), utilizing an eight-camera vision stack similar to smartphone cameras rather than expensive sensor suites.
  • Autonomous Scalability: Unlike competitors using geofenced systems, Tesla’s vision-only approach enables vehicles to operate across any geography once regulatory approval is secured.

Takeaways

  • If Tesla hits its $25,000 unit cost target, the low cost per mile could provide a structural cost advantage over competing robotaxi services and unlock significant fleet monetization.

Alphabet / Google (GOOGL / Waymo)

  • Waymo Next-Gen Architecture: Waymo introduced a new autonomous vehicle platform featuring a customized on-device processing chip that is 20x more powerful and 5x cheaper than its predecessor.
  • Hardware Cost Reductions: The new sensor suite and chip hardware package is expected to cost approximately $25,000, down substantially from previous hardware iterations that ranged from $100,000 to $125,000 (which drove total vehicle costs up to $260,000–$280,000).
  • Onboard Compute Shift: Processing data locally inside the vehicle eliminates previous latency and safety risks associated with hybrid cloud compute dependencies.

Takeaways

  • Alphabet's massive reduction in autonomous hardware costs addresses a primary critique of Waymo’s unit economics, improving the feasibility of scaling commercial robotaxi operations across new metropolitan areas.

Apple (AAPL)

  • Upcoming Hardware and AI Event: Apple has scheduled a major September hardware event led by John Ternus, marking a transition in executive presentation leadership.
  • Product Pipeline: Expected launches include the iPhone 18 Pro, a new foldable device, updated silicon chips (M5 Pro, M6, and M6 Ultra), and updated Mac Mini and Mac Studio hardware.
  • Apple Intelligence Integration: The new hardware generation is designed specifically to run local AI workloads and support the upcoming rollout of the upgraded Siri interface.

Takeaways

  • The introduction of local AI hardware capabilities across Apple's device lineup is designed to trigger an upgrade supercycle among existing consumer and enterprise hardware users.

Semiconductor Memory Sector

  • Hardware Cost Pressures: Surging prices for high-performance memory are driving up total build costs across the semiconductor and hardware industries.
  • Margin Expansion for Memory Makers: Memory manufacturers are currently realizing high profit margins by commanding premium pricing, which is forcing hardware makers (including Apple and NVIDIA) to either absorb costs or hike consumer prices.

Takeaways

  • Upstream memory manufacturers continue to hold strong pricing power as high-bandwidth memory remains a critical physical bottleneck for scaling AI data centers and edge devices.

Chinese AI & Silicon (Huawei / Zhipu AI)

  • Inference Hardware Breakthroughs: Zhipu AI (Z.ai) demonstrated its GLM 5.3 Flash model by serving over 100 trillion free tokens running entirely on Huawei silicon clusters.
  • Cost and Efficiency Competitiveness: The model delivers agentic capabilities competitive with top-tier Western models at a price of $0.15 per million tokens, processing multimodal data (text, audio, and video).
  • Workarounds for U.S. Export Bans: While Chinese firms still face hurdles in frontier pre-training without NVIDIA hardware, they are rapidly closing the gap in AI model inference using domestic silicon and techniques like distillation.

Takeaways

  • The rapid scaling of Chinese domestic inference silicon highlights accelerating competition in lower-cost AI processing, potentially threatening Western cloud margins in international open-source markets.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
We cover NVIDIA’s record earnings, strong GPU demand, and its position in the AI chip market, along with reported moves involving Hugging Face and open source AI. We also discuss Z.ai’s new model, Waymo’s autonomous vehicle hardware updates, SEC scrutiny of Leopold Aschenbrenner, and recent developments in robotics and Apple’s upcoming event. ------ 🔒 Check Out Our Sponsor: LEDGER AGENT STACK 🔒 https://developers.ledger.com/docs/ai-tools/overview/?utm_source=Audio&utm_medium=Podcasts&utm_campaign=Limitless ------ 🌌 LIMITLESS HQ ⬇️ NEWSLETTER:    https://limitlessft.substack.com/ FOLLOW ON X:   https://x.com/LimitlessFT SPOTIFY:             https://open.spotify.com/show/5oV29YUL8AzzwXkxEXlRMQ APPLE:                 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/limitless-podcast/id1813210890 RSS FEED:           https://limitlessft.substack.com/ ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 NVIDIA’s Record Quarter 5:05 Hugging Face Joins NVIDIA 9:26 Cloud Margins and the Chip Play 11:36 GLM 5.3 Flash Emerges 15:40 Waymo’s New Hardware Leap 19:48 Tesla’s CyberCab Challenge 23:24 Leopold Under SEC Scrutiny 25:44 Anthropic Usage Looks Flat 29:27 Agents Need Better Security 30:20 Robotics Learns From Video 34:07 Apple’s Big September Event 36:36 Sam Altman’s Rare Watches ------ RESOURCES Josh: https://x.com/JoshKale Ejaaz: https://x.com/cryptopunk7213 ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠ Josh works with Anthropic as a contractor. All views expressed are his own and do not represent Anthropic, its leadership, or its affiliates. Nothing in this episode is investment advice.
About Limitless: An AI Podcast
Limitless: An AI Podcast

Limitless: An AI Podcast

By Limitless

Exploring the frontiers of Technology and AI