New 13F Filings: Leopold's Ghost Portfolio and The Shifting AI Trade
New 13F Filings: Leopold's Ghost Portfolio and The Shifting AI Trade
Podcast30 min 4 sec
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Alphabet (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN) serve as premier, lower-risk core AI holdings backed by massive institutional capital and expanding cloud profit margins.

Capitalize on critical hardware bottlenecks by taking long positions in AI memory providers like SanDisk (WDC) and Micron Technology (MU), where production capacity is sold out and order backlogs stretch through 2027 and 2028.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) and NVIDIA (NVDA) remain indispensable foundation plays with exceptional pricing power as the primary manufacturers and designers of modern semiconductor infrastructure.

For high-growth opportunities in data center expansion, look into AI optics and interconnects through Coherent Corp. (COHR) and Astera Labs (ALAB) as computing clusters replace traditional copper wiring with high-speed optical networking.

Investors holding heavy allocations in tech hardware should consider managing downside risk by holding Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) put options to hedge against broader market pullbacks.

Detailed Analysis

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

  • Berkshire Hathaway initiated a massive $17 billion position in Alphabet under incoming leadership.
  • Google is viewed as uniquely positioned because it owns the entire AI value chain:
    • Proprietary foundation AI models and custom silicon (TPUs / Ironwood).
    • Unmatched global distribution channels including Google Search, Android, Gmail, and G Suite.
    • Internal power and computing infrastructure supported by projected capital expenditures of roughly $250 billion by year-end.
  • Institutional investors view the stock as relatively underpriced compared to its historical investment return ratios and expanding cloud profit margins.

Takeaways

  • Alphabet represents a lower-risk, core holding for AI exposure due to its end-to-end integration, high cash flow, and strong market moat across software, hardware, and distribution.

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

  • Ranked among the top consensus buys across major hedge funds, including Appaloosa Management (David Tepper) and Baupost Group (Seth Klarman), though Pershing Square (Bill Ackman) trimmed its stake by 25%.
  • CEO Andy Jassy is directing approximately $200 billion in AI-related capital expenditures.
  • Key growth drivers include expanding AWS margins, strategic equity stakes in Anthropic, and proprietary AI chip development (Trainium).

Takeaways

  • Amazon offers broad, steady exposure to enterprise AI growth via cloud infrastructure dominance and custom silicon development.

AI Memory: SanDisk (WDC) & Micron Technology (MU)

  • AI-focused funds took heavy positions in memory stocks (e.g., Leopold Aschenbrenner held 28.5% in SanDisk and 28% in Micron before facing leverage-related liquidation).
  • SanDisk developed a proprietary High Bandwidth Flash (HBF) memory optimized specifically for AI inference, which is currently backlogged with orders through the end of 2027.
  • Leading memory manufacturers report that total production capacity for next year is completely sold out, with industry supply constrained by chip fabrication capacity through 2028.
  • SK Hynix demonstrated record quarterly profitability despite short-term stock volatility, leading institutional investors to buy during market dips.

Takeaways

  • Physical constraints make memory hardware a critical bottleneck for AI model inference; investors can look at long-term positions in memory providers while avoiding excessive leverage.

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

  • Remains a foundational holding for growth-focused tech funds, including a $1.9 billion to $2 billion position held by Brad Gerstner.
  • NVIDIA’s own corporate balance sheet reflects extensive strategic investments into the AI ecosystem, including a $30 billion holding in Intel, along with equity in SpaceX, CoreWeave, Coherent, and Synopsys.
  • Accelerating demand for both GPU computing power and central processing infrastructure continues to support strong gross margins.

Takeaways

  • NVIDIA remains the central pillar of the AI hardware buildout, though investors should monitor the circular dynamic of NVIDIA funding startups that in turn purchase its hardware.

Intel Corporation (INTC)

  • Represents NVIDIA’s largest external balance sheet holding at $30 billion (following an initial $5 billion joint backing with the U.S. government).
  • Advanced CPUs are becoming essential alongside GPUs to manage orchestration, system logic, and autonomous tool routing for AI agent workflows.

Takeaways

  • Intel serves as a specialized infrastructure play on CPU-driven AI agent orchestration, heavily backed by both government subsidies and strategic semiconductor partnerships.

AI Optics & Interconnects: Coherent Corp. (COHR) & Astera Labs (ALAB)

  • Top growth investors (such as Gavin Baker) are rotating capital heavily into data center "plumbing" and photonics.
  • Traditional copper wiring is reaching physical and economic efficiency limits across massive GPU clusters, driving adoption toward optical data transfer using light.
  • Coherent Corp. is up 85% YTD due to demand for materials enabling optical communication between chips.
  • Astera Labs is seeing significant institutional inflows for its connectivity hardware that links GPUs together across large-scale data center networks.

Takeaways

  • As data clusters scale to hundreds of thousands of GPUs, high-speed optical interconnects and connectivity chips represent high-growth picks-and-shovels opportunities.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)

  • Maintained as a top-conviction holding among institutional investors, including David Tepper and Brad Gerstner.
  • Acts as the indispensable foundry manufacturing the physical silicon for virtually every major AI hardware designer, including NVIDIA and Apple.

Takeaways

  • TSMC is the primary pure-play beneficiary of global chip demand, carrying high pricing power as hyperscalers increase custom hardware production.

SpaceX (Private)

  • Represents major multi-billion dollar private equity allocations from tech-focused hedge funds (including a $4.7 billion position held by Gavin Baker) and NVIDIA.
  • Long-term AI catalysts discussed include distributed high-capacity computing, orbital AI data center deployments, and compute integration with frontier AI models such as Grok.

Takeaways

  • While private, SpaceX is increasingly viewed by institutional investors as a cornerstone infrastructure asset for next-generation power, connectivity, and compute expansion.

Financial Rails: Visa (V) & Mastercard (MA)

  • Bill Ackman initiated major long positions in Visa and Mastercard, while other fund managers like Terry Smith exited.
  • The investment thesis hinges on whether legacy payment rails can successfully capture autonomous AI agent transaction volumes, or if they face disruption from dedicated AI routing platforms.

Takeaways

  • Large payment networks provide stable cash flows with potential upside if they become the default transaction settlement layer for autonomous AI agents.

Invesco QQQ Trust Puts (QQQ Hedges)

  • Growth-focused hedge funds are carrying substantial downside protection, highlighted by a $2.3 billion position in QQQ put options.
  • The strategy allows managers to maintain hyper-concentrated long exposure in specialized AI hardware while insulating their broader portfolios from macroeconomic tech pullbacks.

Takeaways

  • Retail investors with high concentrations in tech hardware can consider portfolio hedging strategies to mitigate volatility while maintaining long-term thematic exposure.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
Today we review major 13F filings and what they show about positioning across the AI stack, including memory, chips, power, and infrastructure. We highlight concentrated bets in names like SanDisk, Micron, and Alphabet, along with broader exposure to NVIDIA, TSMC, SpaceX, and related infrastructure plays. ------ 🔒 Check Out Our Sponsor: LEDGER AGENT STACK 🔒 https://developers.ledger.com/docs/ai-tools/overview/?utm_source=Audio&utm_medium=Podcasts&utm_campaign=Limitless ------ 🌌 LIMITLESS HQ ⬇️ NEWSLETTER:    https://limitlessft.substack.com/ FOLLOW ON X:   https://x.com/LimitlessFT SPOTIFY:             https://open.spotify.com/show/5oV29YUL8AzzwXkxEXlRMQ APPLE:                 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/limitless-podcast/id1813210890 RSS FEED:           https://limitlessft.substack.com/ ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 AI Money Stacks 2:51 Memory Theses 5:02 Buffett Bets on Google 10:19 The Infrastructure Layer 19:48 Payments and AI Rails 21:21 Consensus Winners Emerge 24:53 Power, Memory, Neoclouds 27:10 Closing ------ RESOURCES Josh: https://x.com/JoshKale Ejaaz: https://x.com/cryptopunk7213 ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠ Josh works with Anthropic as a contractor. All views expressed are his own and do not represent Anthropic, its leadership, or its affiliates. Nothing in this episode is investment advice.
About Limitless: An AI Podcast
Limitless: An AI Podcast

Limitless: An AI Podcast

By Limitless

Exploring the frontiers of Technology and AI