Solana Was Too Late to Perps
Solana Was Too Late to Perps
9 days agoLightspeedBlockworks
Podcast55 min 21 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should prioritize Solana (SOL) as it transitions into a leader for Real World Assets (RWA) and tokenized equities, moving beyond its reputation as a meme coin hub. To capitalize on Solana’s infrastructure upgrades, monitor Jito (JTO) and the emerging protocol Bulk, which offers validators a 12.5% fee share to solve current trading latency issues. While Jupiter (JUP) remains a dominant player in Solana's perpetual futures, Hyperliquid is currently the high-conviction "gold standard" for decentralized perps and continues to capture significant retail volume. Avoid Pump.fun (POMP) for now, as the token trades at a steep discount due to transparency concerns despite its new programmatic buyback-and-burn model. Look for "Asset Conversion to Equity" models, like those seen in Pumpcade (ACE), which allow retail investors to convert tokens into company equity to ensure long-term value accrual.

Detailed Analysis

Solana (SOL)

The discussion highlights Solana's strong performance in Q1 2026, specifically regarding its transition from a "meme coin chain" to a hub for Real World Assets (RWA) and Tokenized Equities.

  • RWA Leadership: Solana became the largest chain by RWA deposits in Q1, largely driven by Camino and Prime (Figure’s tokenized HELOC market).
  • Tokenized Equities: Significant volume growth in "X-stocks" (public equities) and "pre-stocks" (pre-IPO companies).
  • Market Structure: Solana’s spot trading environment is now highly efficient. For liquid pairs like SOL/USDC, on-chain quotes are often tighter than Binance when including fees, thanks to Prop AMMs and DEX aggregators like Jupiter.
  • The "Perps" Challenge: While Solana dominates spot trading, it has struggled with Perpetual Futures (Perps). Current issues include:
    • Lack of execution consistency across different block builders (Jito vs. Agave).
    • High latency for market makers, leading to wider spreads to avoid "toxic flow."
    • Competition from app-chains like Hyperliquid.

Takeaways

  • Diversification: Solana is successfully diversifying away from purely crypto-native activity (meme coins) into institutional-grade assets.
  • Infrastructure Plays: Keep an eye on Jito (JTO) and upcoming protocol upgrades like MCP (Multiple Concurrent Leaders) and Anza’s Constellation, which are designed to stabilize the environment for high-frequency trading and perps.
  • Ecosystem Growth: The integration of equities into wallets like Phantom and Avici suggests a move toward 24/7 global equity trading on-chain.

Pump.fun (POMP)

The team discussed the recent programmatic changes to the POMP token and the platform's struggle with investor confidence despite high revenues.

  • Tokenomics Shift: The team burned 36% of the supply ($370M value at peak) and moved from a discretionary 100% buyback to a programmatic 50% buyback and burn of on-chain revenues.
  • Valuation Gap: Despite generating ~$1M in daily revenue, the token trades at a 50% discount to its ICO price and a low 3x price-to-sales ratio.
  • Transparency Issues: Analysts noted a "discount" placed on the token due to a lack of forward guidance, unclear token/equity splits, and skepticism regarding the durability of meme coin revenues.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish to Neutral. While the programmatic buyback adds structural buy pressure, the market remains skeptical of the team's communication and the long-term sustainability of the meme coin craze.
  • Monitoring: Look for the potential filing of a "token transparency framework" as a catalyst for a valuation re-rating.

Hyperliquid

Though not a Solana-native project, Hyperliquid was cited as the primary competitor and "gold standard" for decentralized perpetual exchanges.

  • Market Dominance: It has successfully captured retail interest, including integrations with major wallets like Phantom.
  • Revenue Generation: The Phantom integration alone has generated nearly $20M in revenue for the wallet, highlighting the massive "leakage" of Solana users to other chains for perp trading.

Takeaways

  • Competitive Moat: Liquidity begets liquidity. Hyperliquid’s lead in the perps space makes it difficult for new Solana-based protocols to gain a foothold without aggressive incentives.

Emerging Solana Perp Protocols

The transcript identifies several projects attempting to solve Solana's "Perp Problem" with different technical architectures:

  • Phoenix: A fully on-chain central limit order book. They are betting on Solana’s core protocol upgrades (like MCP) to eventually provide the necessary environment for high-speed perps. Notably, they have no points program and no current plans for a token.
  • Bulk: Uses a "sidecar" approach where validators run an extension alongside the main Solana client. This allows for 20ms consensus and gasless trading while remaining decentralized. Validators earn 12.5% of exchange fees.
  • Jupiter (JUP): Currently holds a large share of Solana perp volume but uses a passive pool model (LP-based) rather than a high-speed order book.

Takeaways

  • Investment Theme: The "Sidecar" model (Bulk) is an emerging trend. By incentivizing validators directly, these protocols may achieve faster adoption than purely on-chain solutions.
  • Risk Factor: "Lateness." Many retail users are already settled into Hyperliquid or LIDR; Solana protocols must offer superior pricing or massive incentives (points/airdrops) to trigger a migration.

Real-World Assets (RWA) & Equities

A major theme of the discussion was the "equitization" of crypto, allowing retail to access the same opportunities as VCs.

  • Pumpcade (ACE Round): Introduced "Asset Conversion to Equity." This allows token holders to convert tokens into Safe Warrants (equity in the company).
  • Takeaway: This is a experimental bridge between traditional equity and crypto tokens. It aims to solve the "worthless token" problem where value only accrues to equity holders during an acquisition. Investors should watch for more projects adopting this dual-access model.
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Episode Description
Gm! In today’s episode we discuss Solana’s Q1 performance, highlighting growth in tokenized real-world assets and shifting trading activity. We also cover Pumpfun’s buyback changes, Pumpcade’s token-equity model, and broader challenges in building competitive perpetuals markets on Solana, including liquidity, user acquisition, and infrastructure constraints. Enjoy! -- Follow Lightspeed: ⁠https://x.com/Lightspeedpodhq Follow Toma: https://x.com/toma_adv Follow Sam: https://x.com/minnus Follow Carlos: https://x.com/0xcarlosg Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Join the Lightspeed Telegram: ⁠https://t.me/+QHlbNTNS4gc1ZTVh -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (2:53) RWA Momentum Builds (9:17) Pump Fun Buyback Burn (20:44) Pump Cade’s ACE Experiment (32:10) Solana Perps Debate (37:55) Bulk’s Validator Sidecar Bet (51:31) Phoenix’s Onchain Bet (53:45) Closing Comments -- Disclaimers: Lightspeed was kickstarted by a grant from the Solana Foundation. Nothing said on Lightspeed is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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