Question of the day: both of Bitcoin's signals fired last night. How deep is this flush? Every prior case dipped further first, a median
11% to 13%.
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#Bitcoin #BTC #investing
CHAPTERS
0:00 We are live: Bitcoin tests the weekly 200 SMA
0:50 My biggest cash position in stocks since 2022
2:20 My long put spread is still on
2:44 Bitcoin on the weekly 200 SMA, just under $68,000
3:52 The Daily Hundred: $1,000 of Bitcoin on Coinbase
4:38 The 200-week study: every first test after 3+ months away
5:06 Higher 3 months later 5 of 6; 1 month later 4 of 6
5:59 The miss: June 2022
6:29 Long term a value zone; short term, no hero trade
6:46 What I need first: daily bullish divergence
7:39 A weekly higher low here, or the 377 EMA
8:21 The November clock: a green month needs $77,500
8:55 The low came day 17 to 25; today is day 13
9:37 The downside table: 10.5% under the October low
10:31 My zone: $68,000 (weekly 200 SMA) to $65,500 (monthly 55 EMA)
11:32 My put spread: long the $72,500, short the $65,000
13:24 Options 101: free, link below
14:23 Revin Ribbons weekly: $67,750
15:11 No bullish divergence yet on the 12h, 6h or 4h
16:17 XRP: a pity bounce at the prior low
19:04 Gold: extremely bearish, $3,400 to $3,500 next
20:51 Silver: the next big bounce near $42
22:28 MicroStrategy: $100 to $94 before a real bounce
24:33 AMD: a bull trap, back to 460
24:57 Stocks: short term down, medium term down
26:49 GBP/AUD: a major bottom
28:14 QQQ: a lower high, back to the lows
30:44 The gambler's fallacy
31:21 Solana: a bounce, wary at 88 to 89
33:27 Bitcoin: what turns me bullish ($75,000)
34:48 Ripple the company vs XRP
37:49 GameStop: a weekly higher low
40:18 IREN on the weekly 200 SMA
42:32 Palo Alto Networks and the cybersecurity ETFs
44:34 Tesla: 380 is the pivot
47:19 Nvidia: 125 to 140 if 153 fails
49:48 Bitcoin bounce targets
51:41 Google: if 272 breaks, 235
54:50 Intel: a bounce to $70 to $75
56:29 CAPR: a biotech chart
58:17 Telenor
1:00:05 Bitcoin's yearly and six-month charts
1:00:35 Gold vs the debt doom loop
1:02:49 GDXD and leveraged inverse ETFs
1:04:58 The moon: a bear moon into Nov 24
1:07:42 Gold by year end
1:09:11 GameStop, again
1:11:28 SOXS and the semiconductors
1:13:36 HYPE: a leg to $60?
1:17:45 Zcash: $800 for the big bounce
1:21:02 Sign-off: the November low window
DISCLOSURES
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