Bitcoin's correction target held: Thursday's low $79,694 sat on the daily 55 and the day closed $82,131. Tonight the daily and 10-day bars close together.
New studies: Thursday's reversal day in the table (118 cases, no edge in the candle), the back half of October after a red first half (six Octobers, -1.6% median; every red-start month since 2011), the stochastic bearish cross over 80 on his settings across every timeframe (the weekly prints Sunday), and the back half of October after a red first half; plus golden cross day 38 and Kalshi's overnight move on the Fed.
🟪 OCTOBER SALE: 20% off every lifetime indicator plan with code LIFETIME until noon PT Oct 31 (Krown Pivots, the LTI Tool, the Trading Bible - $1,497, the code still takes 20%)
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/
🟨 KALSHI: Prediction Markets - Trade $50 In Volume, Get Up To $500 In Trading Credit
→ https://kalshi.com/r/erickrown
📗 FREE: My Complete TA Ultimate Beginners Program (moving averages, crosses, reversal days, from scratch)
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/ta101
🔵 COINBASE: $250 Deposit Bonus + 80% Trading Fee Reduction
→ https://coinbase.com/aff/krown
📈 TRADINGVIEW: the charts in this video (affiliate link)
→ https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=11546
⬛ Build Your Own AI Trading Agent For FREE — Full Tutorial
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/cpro
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
Educational content only. Not financial advice. No personalized recommendations. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Live #Kalshi
CHAPTERS
0:00 Countdown: live in ten minutes
10:27 We are live: higher-timeframe setups, new studies
11:33 New things on the board today
15:24 SPY: a close under 7,750 opens 7,600
16:25 NASDAQ: the 29,500 target, 28,800 the line
17:09 Bitcoin: the higher timeframes matter more
17:23 The weekly stochastic: a bearish cross from over 80
18:09 Every cross since 2018: local lows, the rally not done
18:24 Jun 2025: +20% in a month
19:05 Dec 2023: +18.7% in two weeks
19:20 Jan 2023: +41.5% in six weeks
19:59 Sep 2021: +43% in 42 days
20:47 Another 20% from here: $95,000 to $100,000
21:27 The bear case gets its fair share
21:43 A red October: the low lands on the 15th
22:41 The back half after a red first half: 33% green, six cases
23:57 Yesterday's low as the low; under $79,700 the $76,500 gap
25:04 Trending higher lows: TA 101 is free
25:39 The October sale: TradingView's November 1 rule, lifetime honored
27:17 Kalshi: the Fed hold repriced 70c to 87c
28:24 FOMC is the last week of October
28:57 Kalshi: trade $50, up to $500 credit
29:09 Golden cross day 38: the median path is +18%
29:43 This cross undershoots: the play on the other side
30:50 +15% from here puts Bitcoin over $90,000
33:03 The weekly close: the CME 5 EMA at $81,678
34:11 Super chats
35:53 LINK
38:00 TIA
39:53 DOGE and the chart requests
41:53 Short setups and stop losses
44:53 More requests
50:11 The 2-day timeframes
52:08 Entries at 103.25
59:53 HYPE: moving stops up
1:00:53 Index funds beat most managers
1:02:53 SPY and the quarterly
1:04:53 A clean setup: the weekly line
1:09:47 DCA questions
1:11:53 Bearish engulfing and divergence
1:15:03 Solana: yesterday's low must hold
1:18:53 Grateful for the community
1:21:53 Bitcoin to $92,000 to $95,000? Leveraged ETFs
1:23:53 Three lower highs
1:25:53 Oil and gas
1:28:53 Worst chart of the day
1:31:53 SOXS: a pullback
1:33:53 IBIT: what close turns bearish
1:35:53 This week's low at 111
1:37:53 The CTA exam
1:39:53 Palantir
1:41:53 Correlation is not causation
1:43:53 Truth, acceptance and the Gulag Archipelago
1:48:53 Range highs and trending higher lows
1:51:25 The line in the sand: three closes
1:54:53 A documentary and a tangent
1:57:32 Wrapping up: the 4-hour 200 SMA and $82,800
1:58:02 Breakdown only under $79,700; higher a month out
1:58:20 A long with a stop at yesterday's low
1:59:20 Sign-off