CPI printed hot and Bitcoin sold the print hour (-0.88%); the daily corrective setup is on its way to the 55 line at $79,695, 2.4% below spot.
Inside: what the 23 prior red CPI print hours did next, the 55's touch table (82% inside 10 days, median day 4 = Friday), the 10-day signal that still prints Friday, golden cross day 36, and Kalshi's Fed repricing (a hike 36c).
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#Bitcoin #BTC #CPI #Kalshi
CHAPTERS
0:00 We are live: a short-term correction, the long-term picture intact
1:13 Rate hikes? Kalshi still prices a hold; PPI tomorrow
1:39 Nobody has an edge on the Fed
2:32 Not failing: Bitcoin finishes October higher
3:25 'A 20% drop'? Stats, probabilities and variance
4:19 Below the May high: the trending higher low still holds
4:51 The quarterly: hard to see under $75,000 this quarter
5:33 The target: the daily 55 EMA near $79,800
6:16 The daily higher low at $75,000
6:55 The 2-week reconnect: a little below $80,000
7:33 The 10-day stochastic: 79% green a month later
8:41 What would undo the 10-day signal
9:07 CPI: a quick study, 43% vs 57%, no edge
10:44 Kalshi: the Fed hold repriced from 80c to 67c
11:50 Kalshi: $50 in volume, up to $500 credit
12:02 Midterms on Kalshi
12:33 Kalshi: $87,500 repriced to 41c; another $20; $90,000 at 25c
13:26 Golden cross: inching toward day 40
14:37 Mean reversion on the roadmap
15:19 Why the median and the average matter
16:09 After the 55 test: 70% green the next day
16:44 The 5-day reconnect: +7.5% in ten days, back to the highs
17:59 What is the commotion about?
18:37 Hex, PulseChain and paid shill campaigns
21:18 A $35 corrective target and a monthly breakdown
22:56 Weekly down for longer: a good entry?
23:25 The Daily Hundred: the DCA on Coinbase
24:01 NEXT: $160 or $178 by Friday?
25:26 Everyone gets bearish when it stops going straight up
27:17 INJ daily and weekly
29:29 LINK weekly: where is a good entry?
32:24 Super chats
33:28 XRP daily
36:15 A 4-hour, daily and weekly look
37:50 ZEC daily and weekly
40:40 SOXS: $11,000 and $45
42:37 RKLB: still bearish
44:07 HOOD daily
46:26 Not great on the monthly
48:33 MicroStrategy weekly: the 9 MA cross?
50:48 NASDAQ daily
52:27 NEAR daily and weekly
54:01 PUMP daily
54:19 The October sale: lifetime before Nov 1, code LIFETIME
55:51 PUMP: the corrective target met
59:08 Gold vs Bitcoin: weekly and monthly bounce areas
1:01:20 SOLB on the TSX
1:02:43 CIFR from $10
1:06:40 Already at the daily corrective target
1:09:23 HYPE daily and weekly: the better long-term hold?
1:13:15 GD
1:14:47 QNT the stock
1:17:04 IREN daily and weekly: $34.50 and the macro breakdown
1:18:04 Richard Heart arrested
1:19:37 ORE vs the dollar
1:22:15 Super chats as shilling campaigns
1:23:10 SNDK
1:23:56 IONQ
1:25:40 META daily and weekly
1:26:55 OSS
1:29:41 Capcom on the Japan exchange
1:30:48 Amazon weekly and monthly
1:32:46 Google: help me cope
1:36:04 Markets want to pull back; bullish by the end of next week
1:36:32 Hawaii taxes
1:40:32 Nine years of YouTube: people do not want your opinion
1:43:47 Africa, the Gulf and Asia
1:46:15 Dubai: the good and the bad
1:49:59 Bitcoin vs gold
1:51:12 The 1978 World War II documentary
1:53:38 Ending on that note
1:54:22 Chris Vela's last chart
1:55:05 Sign-off