Bitcoin's daily corrective setup fires on any close under $82,692 tonight, and the daily 55 at $79,489 is its target: 82% touched it inside 10 days.
The 2-week 5 EMA sits $345 from that same line, and 59% of its 39 disconnects since 2012 reconnected inside the next bar; also inside: the overbought weekly voided by its own rule, golden cross day 34, CPI Wednesday with the odds, and the Kalshi board.
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Educational content only. Not financial advice. No personalized recommendations. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #Kalshi
CHAPTERS
0:00 We are live: a corrective week, then the turn late next week
0:32 CPI Wednesday, PPI Thursday, the Fed in two weeks
0:57 Good mornings
1:21 Remembering Giles
2:23 Selling long-dated puts: the premium-decay lesson
6:19 Catching up with chat; the soundboard
8:03 The daily corrective setup fires on a close under $82,700
9:01 The target: the 55 EMA at $79,600, 82% inside 10 days
10:35 After the 55 is tested: 1, 5, 10 and 20 days out
12:12 The 2-week 5 EMA disconnect: the reconnect near $80,000
13:38 Trending higher lows: why a close under the May high is not bearish
16:18 The weekly close, $75,000, and the 200-day
18:08 After the 2-week reconnect: 4 and 6 bars out, $90,000 by late October
20:02 Golden cross day 34: day 40 is the step
21:37 Revin Ribbons: the 2-week neutral zone, $88,000 next
22:31 Daily ribbons: $81,900, then $80,350
23:46 The October sale: lifetime before Nov 1, code LIFETIME
25:05 Kalshi: $87,500 at 48c, a $40 position, $90,000
25:54 The monthly mid-band reclaim: $91,600, then upper band one
27:53 Kalshi: $50 in volume, up to $500 credit
28:39 The 15-minute markets are a gamble
30:00 When will Bitcoin cross $130,000?
31:25 Super chats begin
31:37 Coinbase: Bitcoin options coming in November; the Daily Hundred
32:37 NEAR
34:58 The range video
35:26 Short gold at $4,200?
37:42 VVV
38:44 'You promised 1 million'
40:22 Tether dominance
41:54 KEEL
44:07 CASHCAT
45:29 PONS
47:39 Luffy's chart
50:39 Leverage vs altcoin volatility: the question
53:56 HOOD daily
54:49 Steven Shickman's chart
59:12 Covered calls at the $50 strike: the lesson
1:01:14 Chris Vela's chart
1:02:50 BMNR
1:05:05 RKLB
1:06:30 UMAC
1:07:03 ZIM
1:08:29 DPZ long-term
1:10:55 Bitcoin vs Nvidia
1:12:33 Is Bitcoin going to zero today?
1:12:46 TWST
1:13:45 'Sell everything'
1:18:01 Ben's chair
1:18:17 FIGR
1:19:38 USAR to zero?
1:24:05 Ethereum
1:26:06 'Who are you getting mad at?'
1:28:02 DJ Z's chart, average $2.20
1:29:19 Crypto Rect's chart
1:30:32 MTE
1:31:50 TSM
1:33:14 HPE
1:35:33 Frog coins on NASDAQ
1:38:51 HYPE vs BTC
1:39:59 IMNM
1:41:16 ZETA
1:42:52 AVGO
1:45:02 Protecting a stock you own: covered calls vs puts
1:46:59 DDOG to $275?
1:51:18 ORCA
1:52:20 AMC
1:54:12 BASE, the last one
1:54:57 Sign-off