Question of the day: does November hold the October low ($76,195)? That is the whole month: Novembers that held it went 90%
green, the ones that broke it 0%.
🟪 LIFETIME ACCESS, STILL OPEN: 20% off every lifetime indicator plan with code NOVEMBER until TradingView's change takes effect (Krown Pivots, the LTI Tool, the Trading Bible - $1,497)
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/
🟨 KALSHI: Prediction Markets - Trade $50 In Volume, Get Up To $500 In Trading Credit
→ https://kalshi.com/r/erickrown
📗 FREE: My Complete TA Ultimate Beginners Program (moving averages, crosses, trending higher lows, from scratch)
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/ta101
🔵 COINBASE: $250 Deposit Bonus + 80% Trading Fee Reduction
→ https://coinbase.com/aff/krown
📈 TRADINGVIEW: the charts in this video (affiliate link)
→ https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=11546
⬛ Build Your Own AI Trading Agent For FREE — Full Tutorial
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/cpro
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
#Bitcoin #BTC #investing
CHAPTERS
0:00 We are live: November is open; streams run an hour earlier now
0:20 Week 1 of November reveals the direction, by day 7
1:35 Wrecked or rich? $100,000 by December?
2:06 Seasonality flipped: Aug, Sep and Oct all ran opposite
5:21 DXY at the top of a channel: not a correlation I trade
5:57 The charts: the new bi-monthly open
6:12 The $78,500 test came on day one ($78,762)
6:43 The biggest bear case: the high is in; my line is $75,000
7:34 Hopium lives above the October low: the data
7:51 Held the October low: 90% green Novembers, near +20%
8:22 All Novembers: 80% green week 1, 60% the first half
8:38 The October low is last week's low, $76,141
9:14 If it breaks: the mid $60,000s, a red rest of the year
10:05 Tomorrow's midterms: the unrest matters, not the result
12:39 The 5-day silver cross: the low by day 5, always by day 10
14:04 Days 15 to 20: 83% green; day 30: a +32% median
14:38 Day 5 was the low so far, and it is the October low
15:25 Golden cross roadmap: negative on day 55
16:00 The bad: monthly ribbons rejecting the mid band
16:19 Is the November high already in?
17:12 Monthly stochastic: the pivot dropped to near $62,000
18:01 Monthly MACD; the red 5 EMA at $76,500 must hold
18:53 The Daily Hundred: $100 of Bitcoin on Coinbase
19:26 Coinbase trading competition: up to $2 million
20:22 Kalshi November ladder: $82,000 at 55c
20:41 Kalshi: under $72,500 a coin flip, under $75,000 at 76c
21:53 November 7: the setups converge
22:24 Gold: extremely bearish, lower highs under $4,300
24:43 The 200/377 EMA cross on the 12-hour: the eye test
27:14 The three indicators I actually use
27:47 TradingView update: pushed back; lifetime honored in writing
28:24 The 20% code is NOVEMBER while lifetime access lasts
29:14 ENA: bearish under 29.5 cents
33:40 Circle: a bounce to $79 to $80, then $60
34:33 SPY held the 5 EMA, NASDAQ did not
37:16 ZEC: the range; $1,050 is the bottom
38:25 Immigration: make legal easy, zero benefits
40:11 VVSMF and SOX: semis resolve lower
42:00 QQQ: $666 is my corrective target
43:29 Bitcoin's range this week: $76,100 to $80,000
46:22 BE: relative strength; $186 to $218
48:20 BMNR: toward $19 under $25
49:28 Ethereum: the daily 200 simple at $2,161
50:20 COIN: $139 holds or $115 next
52:21 BNB after the hack: $675 is the pivot
54:01 VVV: $19 under $21.16
55:30 You do not need to be perfect to make money
58:04 HYPE: a bounce near $83, then lower; $89 reclaims
1:00:03 Brazil's biggest exchange hacked; the witches
1:00:34 MRVL: a bounce near the weekly 55 or $163
1:01:42 Costco: the best chart of the day
1:03:21 GOOG: a $270 retest, a bounce, then lower
1:05:59 TSM: $385 to $373 before the major bounce
1:07:29 Divergence from October 8? Too many bars apart
1:09:27 Unsexy diversified ETFs for the win
1:10:06 HOOD: a bounce to $91 to $93, then the range low
1:10:56 PWR: a bullish $522 to $722 range
1:13:06 XRP: held $1.25 on the monthly
1:17:09 Tax-loss harvesting season: how I do it
1:18:56 The Krown PCR: the cyan triangle near the lows
1:20:20 CAT: a $650 to $700 bounce, then lower
1:21:40 Solana: $75 to $80 if Bitcoin follows through
1:24:59 Intel: a $75 bounce, then $45 to $50
1:26:05 Bitcoin on the weekly 21; IBIT held the bi-monthly 5
1:27:12 ANIC, the worst chart of the day: buy the indices
1:28:39 Oil: $92 to $94 is the bounce zone
1:30:07 Micron: $780 this month; $740 is the line
1:32:08 LINK: held the September low; $10.65 is the line
1:39:13 VWCE: a dip to 166 is an opportunity
1:40:53 The November open sits 1.3% over the October low
1:47:25 Kalshi election markets: the LA mayor race
1:50:25 Kalshi 2024: right on Trump, wrong on two states
1:53:48 Sign-off: back tomorrow
DISCLOSURES
General market commentary, not personalized investment advice. I am not a registered investment adviser. I may hold positions discussed. Trading carries substantial risk of loss. Some links are affiliate links.