Question of the day: did the election just mark the low? Last night Bitcoin swept the October low ($76,195) to $75,649 and ripped 7% in one session.
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#Bitcoin #BTC #investing
CHAPTERS
0:00 We are live: back above $80,000 after the midterms
0:22 Under the October low, but the short-term signals say rally
0:40 Why Bitcoin rallies with the blue team winning
2:41 QQQ: $683.50 holds it, $700 on a close matters
3:30 QQQ monthly: bearish engulfing, a rally to the red 5 EMA
4:16 S&P futures: the 7,575 low on a weekly close is everything
5:30 Detrick: split Congress 15.1% vs a Democrat majority 6.7%
6:57 Republican president, Democrat Senate: the worst combination
7:12 Bitcoin: daily, 6h, 12h and 4h bullish divergence confirmed
7:33 Reclaim $78,700 and every moving average above $80,000
8:00 Above $80,000 there is no daily silver cross down
8:43 The ugly stat: no green November after breaking the October low
9:10 Still a lower high: $81,900 on a daily close is out of the woods
9:41 My line in the sand stays $75,000 on a weekly close
10:00 The Daily Hundred: $100 of Bitcoin on Coinbase, filled live
10:17 Coinbase trading competition: the categories, then it ends on air
11:37 Two-day: hidden bullish divergence; $80,369 reclaims everything
12:19 A daily close above $81,900 flips my short-term bias to bullish
13:11 The 5-day silver cross: the biggest signal on the board, Friday
13:48 A 5-day close above $80,450 = a real major low attempt
14:00 A dip to $78,000 or $79,000 would be a buy for me
14:33 Stochastic: daily turned from the extreme zone, first since September
15:14 Range play: the range low is in; the middle, not a breakout
16:10 Reverend Ribbons: reclaim the $80,000 mid band, target $83,000 to $83,400
17:21 Kalshi November: $82,500 at 79c, $85,000 at 57c, $87,500 at 40c
18:11 Below $75,000 at 49c: I want the closures first
18:55 Golden cross roadmap: day 57, +2.3% vs a +20% median
19:55 Gold: a bounce to $4,100 to $4,170, still bearish
21:45 Every November under the October low, chart by chart
24:08 Has a red October ever had a green November? Once, 2014
24:37 MicroStrategy: $155 is the lower high that matters
26:27 Ethereum: $24.30 reclaims, $25.85 target, then a higher low
28:45 The next 10 days: up to $83,000 to $84,000 if the closes land
29:44 S&P: a 5% correction already; 7,819.5 is the reclaim
32:27 Zcash: the range low at $1,120, $1,380 breaks it out
34:30 Hype: $81 mid-range higher low, $95 top, $75 if it breaks
36:12 The two numbers for tonight: $80,000 daily, $80,343 two-day
40:47 Blue or red, the stock market goes up
41:23 The low was in last week? The low was literally yesterday
42:55 Tesla: $375 low, $413.15 confirms, $300 to $315 if it fails
47:33 Nasdaq: the swing low for the month; 30,178 is the line
50:02 Datadog: data-center names cooked; a bounce, not a reversal
55:16 Reverend Ribbons: the next mid-band reclaim is usually the big one
56:47 Short-term bias flips bullish if it all confirms tonight
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1:05:36 Diversifying: I bought more IBB and XBI
1:07:01 Sell the losers: tax-loss harvesting time
1:15:31 Palantir: a $160 bounce, the next low $144 to $145
1:16:21 November view: zero green Novembers after the October low, until $81,900
1:19:04 If the closures fail: below $70,000 and an ugly 2 to 4 months
1:22:53 Coinbase stock: at the one-year lows, bearish
1:23:54 If Bitcoin bottomed, the strong alts bottomed; Link needs $14.38
1:26:03 Marvell and Intel: semis hit, $150 then $175 to $180
1:28:50 Free courses: TA 101, Options 101, Central Command
1:29:42 THE SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK: close above $80,000; $81,900 ends the downtrend
1:30:38 Two-day $80,350, three-day Thursday, five-day Friday; $81,900 next week
DISCLOSURES
General market commentary, not personalized investment advice. I am not a registered investment adviser. I may hold positions discussed. Trading carries substantial risk of loss. Some links are affiliate links.