Former Barclays CEO’s Big Bet on Hyperliquid’s Explosive Growth |  Bob Diamond & David Schamis
Former Barclays CEO’s Big Bet on Hyperliquid’s Explosive Growth |  Bob Diamond & David Schamis
241 days agoForward GuidanceBlockworks
Podcast45 min 15 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

To invest in the rapidly growing decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, U.S. investors can look to the upcoming NASDAQ-listed company, Hyperliquid Strategies, Inc., which is designed to hold the HYPE token. The platform's significant cash flow is used to buy back HYPE tokens daily, directly linking its revenue to the token's value. For broad exposure to the AI and semiconductor theme, consider the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH). Alternatively, the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) offers more targeted exposure to chip design innovators. For a foundational digital asset holding, investors can gain exposure to Bitcoin (BTC) through a spot Bitcoin ETF or by purchasing it directly on an exchange like Coinbase.

Detailed Analysis

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • Hyperliquid is described as a decentralized, on-chain perpetuals exchange (DEX) that is experiencing explosive growth. The speakers call it "the most exciting and probably fastest growing crypto exchange in the world."
  • It was built in less than three years by a team of 10 with no external venture capital.
  • The platform is generating significant free cash flow, estimated at $1 billion to $1.5 billion on an annualized basis.
  • It has become a dominant player in the perpetual swaps ("perps") trading market, stealing market share from competitors.
  • The native token, HYPE, is the only token in the crypto top 10 that has been around for less than a decade, which is attributed to the platform's success and growth.
  • Tokenomics & Buyback: A key feature is the token buyback program. The protocol automatically uses 99% of its free cash flow to buy back HYPE tokens from the market every day. This creates a direct link between the platform's revenue and the token's value, a feature rare in the crypto space.
  • Innovation:
    • Permissionless Integration: Other platforms, like the Phantom wallet, can integrate Hyperliquid's trading features without needing to ask for permission, enabling rapid ecosystem growth.
    • HIP3: This feature allows others to use Hyperliquid's technology to create their own specialized perpetuals exchanges. An example use case mentioned is creating a market for pre-IPO equities, which could improve price discovery for private companies.
  • Accessibility: The Hyperliquid exchange and the HYPE token are currently not available to investors in the United States, creating a "scarcity problem" for a large market.

Takeaways

  • The speakers are extremely bullish on Hyperliquid and its HYPE token, viewing it as a high-growth investment with "real appreciation ahead of it."
  • The daily buyback mechanism funded by platform fees is a powerful driver for the token's value, creating a "yield generating" aspect and a direct claim on the platform's cash flows, similar to how a company's stock buyback works.
  • The valuation is considered "compelling" and not "sky high" compared to other crypto companies like Coinbase, partly due to its inaccessibility in the U.S.
  • Hyperliquid Strategies, Inc. is a new company, backed by the speakers and major firms like Paradigm, that will be publicly listed on the NASDAQ. Its purpose is to buy and hold HYPE tokens, providing U.S. investors with a way to gain exposure through a traditional brokerage account. This could be a primary way for the general public in the U.S. to invest in this opportunity.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin is mentioned as an established asset whose value proposition as "digital gold" is now well-understood.
  • One of the speakers first bought Bitcoin in 2015 and noted that a small allocation (0.5% to 1%) in 2017 would have been a very wise investment in retrospect.
  • The speakers still see it as a foundational investment for those new to crypto.
  • For new investors, buying a Bitcoin ETF (like those from BlackRock) is mentioned as a simple and perfectly fine way to get exposure.
  • However, they also encourage new investors to consider opening an account on an exchange like Coinbase to buy Bitcoin directly to get the "full experience" of holding the asset.

Takeaways

  • The sentiment towards Bitcoin is bullish and it is viewed as a core holding in a digital asset portfolio.
  • Investors have two main paths for exposure:
    • Indirectly through regulated products like Bitcoin ETFs in a standard brokerage account.
    • Directly by purchasing BTC on a cryptocurrency exchange.
  • The discussion implies that while Bitcoin is a solid investment, the more explosive, near-term growth opportunities may lie in newer, innovative projects like Hyperliquid.

VanEck Semiconductor ETFs (SMH & SMHX)

  • This section is based on a sponsorship message within the podcast.
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):
    • Described as the largest semiconductor ETF with over $23 billion in assets.
    • It invests across the entire semiconductor sector, from chip design to manufacturing.
    • The ad claims its unique construction has helped it outperform its closest ETF competitor.
  • VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):
    • A newer, more specialized ETF that focuses exclusively on "fabless" semiconductor companies—those that design chips but do not manufacture them.
    • This ETF targets innovators designing the core components of AI infrastructure, such as high-bandwidth memory, power management chips, and custom accelerators.

Takeaways

  • For investors looking to gain exposure to the broader semiconductor and AI theme, these ETFs are presented as potential investment vehicles.
  • SMH offers broad exposure to the entire semiconductor industry.
  • SMHX offers more targeted exposure to the high-growth, design-focused part of the AI supply chain, which may carry different risk/reward characteristics.
  • As with any investment, investors should do their own research on these funds.
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Episode Description
In this episode, Founders of Atlas Merchant Capital Bob Diamond and David Schamis discuss their journey from traditional finance to digital assets. They discuss Hyperliquid’s explosive growth, permissionless financial rails, and the innovation of perpetual swaps. We also cover the unique token model with daily buybacks, how Atlas is bringing access to U.S. investors through a new treasury vehicle, and the broader macro backdrop of debt, stablecoins, and institutional adoption of blockchain. Enjoy! __ Follow Bob: https://x.com/rediamondjr Follow David: https://x.com/dschamis Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance __ Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:54) Backgrounds: Skeptics to Believers (09:14) Hyperliquid Innovations (15:19) VanEck Ad (16:07) The Case for Perps (18:49) Blockchain Benefits (21:43) Public vs Private Blockchains (24:36) Atlas Value Proposition (33:06) VanEck Ad (33:47) Real Cash Flow & Valuation (36:37) Turning Point for Finance? (40:16) US Debt & Stablecoins (44:07) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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