Quadrillions: You’re Already Late | Mike Belshe, Justin Peterson & Eric Saraniecki
Quadrillions: You’re Already Late | Mike Belshe, Justin Peterson & Eric Saraniecki
171 days agoEmpireBlockworks
Podcast56 min 48 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Institutional adoption is accelerating the shift towards 24/7 financial markets built on blockchain technology. The most immediate and high-potential opportunity is the tokenization of U.S. Treasuries, which unlocks new efficiencies and round-the-clock trading. Established financial firm TradeWeb (TW) is a key public company to watch as it strategically builds an on-chain financing market for U.S. Treasuries. Expect a massive proliferation of new stablecoins over the next 12 to 18 months as more institutions compete in this growing market. Investors should focus on the "picks and shovels" infrastructure enabling this trend, while avoiding "wrapped" asset projects that lack institutional appeal.

Detailed Analysis

Investment Theme: Institutional Adoption of Crypto & Blockchain

  • The podcast highlights a significant acceleration in institutional adoption of crypto and blockchain technology. Traditional financial firms were "caught a little bit off guard" by positive regulatory developments in 2025 and are now scrambling to participate.
  • A key driver is the realization that blockchain rails can be used for more than just crypto speculation. The focus is shifting towards the utility of the technology for traditional assets, particularly in creating 24/7 markets.
  • The speakers believe we are moving out of a "messy middle" phase of simply wrapping assets towards a future where capital markets natively operate on-chain.

Takeaways

  • The trend is real and accelerating: Major financial institutions are no longer experimenting in labs; they are actively building and launching products on-chain. This provides a strong tailwind for the entire digital asset ecosystem.
  • Focus on infrastructure: The companies building the underlying "plumbing" for this transition—privacy-focused blockchains, qualified custodians, and institutional-grade trading platforms—are well-positioned to benefit. This is a "picks and shovels" investment thesis.

Investment Theme: Stablecoins

  • Stablecoins are described as a key area of focus for institutions. They are realizing the underlying business model—earning yield on the Treasuries that back the stablecoins—is highly attractive and want to participate.
  • A "massive proliferation" of new stablecoins is expected over the next 12 to 18 months as more players enter the market, which will likely be followed by a period of consolidation.
  • The success of a stablecoin is not just about its brand, but about its "back end" infrastructure: the ability to create, redeem, and store the asset 24/7 against its underlying collateral (like Treasuries).
  • PayPal (PYPL) is mentioned as an example of a traditional company that struggled to compete with crypto-native firms like Circle (USDC), highlighting that innovation and integration are key to winning in this space.

Takeaways

  • The stablecoin market is set for massive growth and competition. This creates opportunities not just in holding stablecoins for yield, but in investing in the companies and networks that facilitate their issuance, trading, and redemption.
  • The interplay between government bonds and stablecoins is a critical trend to watch. The ability to seamlessly move between a tokenized treasury and a stablecoin 24/7 is seen as a killer application that will "overwhelm the market."

Investment Theme: Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWAs)

  • The discussion differentiates between two types of tokenization:
    • Wrapped Assets: Creating a token that is a "claim" on an asset held elsewhere. This model is viewed as a temporary, "messy middle" solution that is likely "dead man walking" for institutional scale. It introduces counterparty and liquidity risks that large institutions are unwilling to take on in size (e.g., above single-digit billions).
    • Native Digital Assets: Issuing the actual, legally-binding asset directly on a blockchain. This is considered the true innovation with massive potential.
  • U.S. Treasuries are the first major asset class seeing this "native" tokenization. The ability to have the "real digital treasury on-chain" is a game-changer, unlocking 24/7 trading, higher velocity, and new use cases like intraday repo markets.
  • Equities are seen as a more challenging asset to tokenize. The speakers believe incumbents with existing distribution networks (NASDAQ, etc.) are more likely to succeed than new startups trying to build a market from scratch. The initial value in tokenized equities may come from new structuring possibilities (e.g., hyper-efficient ETFs, customized portfolios) rather than just trading existing stocks.

Takeaways

  • Not all tokenization is created equal. Investors should be cautious about projects based on "wrapped" assets, as they may not achieve institutional scale. The real long-term value is in platforms that can issue and manage native digital securities.
  • Tokenized Treasuries are the immediate, high-potential opportunity. This trend will benefit platforms enabling this activity and could dramatically increase the overall demand for and velocity of U.S. government bonds.
  • Tokenized equities are a longer-term play. While promising, success will depend on solving the "chicken and egg" problem of market liquidity and distribution.

TradeWeb (TW)

  • TradeWeb is presented as a massive, established institutional player in traditional finance ($22 billion company) that is making a serious and strategic move into digital assets.
  • Their crypto strategy is client-centric, driven by demand from crypto trading firms who need to finance their positions over the weekend when traditional banking rails are closed.
  • They partnered with the Canton Network to complete the first on-chain financing of U.S. Treasuries against USDC. They chose Canton specifically for its built-in privacy, a feature they consider paramount for institutional clients who cannot have their trading activity broadcast publicly.
  • Their goal is to build out a scalable 24/7 over-the-counter (OTC) market for both traditional and crypto instruments.

Takeaways

  • Incumbent Embracing Innovation: TradeWeb is an example of a traditional finance giant that is not being disrupted but is actively leveraging blockchain to enhance its services. This could be a significant new growth vector for the company.
  • Validation for the Space: TradeWeb's serious investment and client-driven approach provide strong validation for the utility of blockchain in mainstream capital markets, particularly for solving real-world problems like weekend liquidity.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin is increasingly viewed by institutions as a "high quality liquid asset," similar in function to Treasuries for use in lending and as collateral.
  • The speakers note that early crypto adopters who held their Bitcoin have now "become the institutions" themselves, controlling significant capital.
  • A potential long-term weakness for institutional use is its lack of privacy. The transparent nature of the Bitcoin blockchain, where all past transactions are visible, is a feature that many institutions and even retail users dislike.

Takeaways

  • Maturing Asset: Bitcoin's role is evolving from a purely speculative asset to a recognized form of institutional-grade collateral.
  • Privacy is a Headwind: While Bitcoin is the market leader, its transparent ledger could limit its adoption for certain institutional use cases where confidentiality is required. This may create opportunities for privacy-enabled networks and assets over the long term.

BitGo (Private Company)

  • BitGo is a key infrastructure player focused on providing qualified custody for digital assets.
  • Their core thesis is that the market needs a clear separation of duties between exchanges (where trading happens) and custodians (where assets are held safely), similar to traditional finance. This structure is crucial to protect the market from collapses caused by exchange hacks or credit failures.
  • They are in the final stages of securing an OCC (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency) charter, which would allow them to connect directly to the Federal Reserve, a major step in bridging traditional finance and crypto.

Takeaways

  • Market Structure is Key: As the crypto market matures, the demand for regulated, qualified custodians like BitGo will grow significantly. Institutions require this level of security and fiduciary care before deploying large amounts of capital.
  • A Critical "Picks and Shovels" Player: BitGo represents the essential infrastructure needed for the institutional adoption theme to play out. While a private company, its strategy highlights the importance of the custody sector for investors.
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Episode Description
In this episode, we cover institutional crypto adoption, stablecoins’ interplay with treasuries and 24/7 repo financing on Canton, the risks associated with wrapped assets and stablecoin fragmentation, and 2026 expectations for broader, client-driven OTC and onchain activity.   -- Quadrillions brings together the voices defining the next era of finance. From institutional rails to stablecoins and privacy, the series dives into how traditional markets, crypto innovation, and regulatory frameworks are converging to bring the full force of capital markets onchain. Join hosts Jason Yanowitz, Yuval Rooz, and Eric Saraniecki for deep dives with special guests Shaul Kfir, Don Wilson, Mike Belshe, Justin Peterson, Acting Chair Caroline Pham, Eli Ben-Sasson, and more. Produced by Blockworks and Canton Network. For more information, check out https://quadrillionspod.com/ -- Follow Canton: https://x.com/CantonNetwork Follow Tradeweb: https://x.com/Tradeweb Follow Mike: https://x.com/mikebelshe Follow Eric: https://x.com/wesarn_real Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (1:38) Tradeweb's Origin Story (3:58) The State of Institutional Crypto Adoption (8:23) Where is the Most Growth Right Now? (10:26) Consolidating Stablecoins (15:23) Tradeweb's Crypto Strategy (18:32) What Does Crypto Solve Today? (23:37) The Next 100x Growth Opportunity (27:56) Bringing RWAs Onchain (31:25) The Role of Custodians (35:03) Canton's Go-to-market Strategy (38:31) Tokenized Equities (44:02) The Need For Privacy (49:23) Crypto Adoption Going Forward -- Disclaimer: “Quadrillions” is a mini-series produced by Blockworks, and is sponsored by Canton Network. Nothing on this show is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. It’s for informational purposes only, and the views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice or necessarily the views of Blockworks. Our hosts, guests, and the Blockworks team may hold positions in companies, funds, or projects discussed, including those related to Canton Network.
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