Inside Lighter’s Plan to Overtake Hyperliquid | Vladimir Novakovski
Inside Lighter’s Plan to Overtake Hyperliquid | Vladimir Novakovski
109 days agoEmpireBlockworks
Podcast54 min 21 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider an investment in Lighter (LIT), a high-growth decentralized exchange on Ethereum with strong institutional backing from Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD). The platform is positioned to capture market share from its main competitor, Hyperliquid, due to its superior technology and strategic advantage of being built on Ethereum. This investment is a direct play on the convergence of traditional finance and DeFi, as Lighter is already enabling trading of tokenized stocks like NVDA and HOOD. A significant valuation gap exists, with Lighter at a reported $2 billion FDV compared to Hyperliquid's $24 billion FDV, suggesting substantial upside if it successfully executes its strategy. For a broader, foundational investment in this theme, consider holding Ethereum (ETH), which benefits from the growth of its entire ecosystem.

Detailed Analysis

Lighter (LIT)

  • Lighter is a decentralized perpetuals exchange (perp dex) built as an L2 on Ethereum that uses Zero-Knowledge (ZK) proofs.
  • The founder, Vladimir Novakovski, has a strong background in high-frequency trading (HFT) at firms like Citadel and in machine learning.
  • Bullish sentiment is expressed based on its technology and strategic positioning. The platform is described as having five key competitive advantages:
    • Low Latency: Very fast, with a latency of 200 milliseconds, which is competitive with centralized exchanges. This is achieved through a highly optimized sequencer, made possible by ZK proofs.
    • Low Cost: The exchange can process 500 million orders a day for under $50k USD, allowing them to offer zero-fee trading for retail customers.
    • Secure: Built as an L2 on Ethereum, leveraging the security of the most established L1 blockchain.
    • Verifiable: All actions, including order matching and liquidations, are proven correct using ZK proofs. This builds trust with sophisticated traders like market makers and HFT firms, which in turn provides better liquidity for retail users.
    • Composable: Being on Ethereum allows for native integration with the broader DeFi ecosystem. The vision is for any asset on Ethereum (from L1 or other L2s, like assets on Aave) to be used as collateral on Lighter.
  • The project has received investment from major financial players like Coinbase and Robinhood, signaling strong institutional interest and potential for future partnerships.
  • The founder states that all value created by Lighter products will accrue to LIT token holders and that in a hypothetical acquisition scenario, the acquirer would need to buy the tokens, not just the company's equity.
  • The platform is already offering perps on tokenized equities, including Robinhood (HOOD) and NVIDIA (NVDA).
  • While its current revenue is lower than its main competitor Hyperliquid, the founder argues that its valuation should also factor in its high growth rate (1000x in the last year) and future opportunities.

Takeaways

  • Lighter is positioned as a high-growth "startup" in the crypto space, aiming to capture market share from both centralized exchanges and other perp dexes by offering superior technology.
  • Its foundation on Ethereum is a key strategic advantage, as it's the platform most trusted by the TradFi institutions that are expected to move into DeFi. This could unlock significant growth through tokenized stocks and institutional adoption.
  • The investments from Coinbase and Robinhood are a strong vote of confidence and could lead to significant partnerships that bring new users and assets (like tokenized stocks) to the platform.
  • The valuation gap between Lighter (mentioned as $2 billion FDV) and Hyperliquid (mentioned as $24 billion FDV) could represent a potential opportunity if Lighter successfully executes its strategy and closes the market share gap. Investors are essentially weighing Hyperliquid's current dominance against Lighter's potential for future growth and superior ecosystem integration.

Hyperliquid

  • Hyperliquid is identified as Lighter's main competitor and the dominant perp dex of the current cycle.
  • It was praised as likely the first perp dex that was truly competitive with centralized exchanges in terms of performance and user experience.
  • The platform got a lot right with its product, performance, and innovations like the HLP (Hyperliquid LP token).
  • Bearish sentiment is implied from Lighter's founder, who points out a key strategic difference:
    • Hyperliquid is built on its own L1 blockchain, not on Ethereum.
    • This is presented as a significant disadvantage because TradFi institutions are unlikely to move to a new, standalone L1. They are building on and trust Ethereum.
    • Being on a separate L1 also limits its ability to easily integrate and compose with the vast majority of existing DeFi protocols and liquidity, which reside on Ethereum.

Takeaways

  • Hyperliquid is the current market leader in the on-chain perps space, a position reflected in its high valuation.
  • Its primary risk, as highlighted in the discussion, is its choice to build an isolated ecosystem. If the thesis that "all capital markets are coming on-chain via Ethereum" proves correct, Hyperliquid could be at a long-term strategic disadvantage compared to Ethereum-native competitors like Lighter.
  • Investors should monitor the market share dynamics between Lighter and Hyperliquid. A shift in volume towards Lighter could validate the thesis that being an Ethereum L2 is the superior long-term strategy.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Bullish sentiment is strong throughout the discussion, positioning Ethereum as the foundational settlement layer for the future of finance.
  • It is described as the most secure, decentralized, and reliable L1, which is why it has earned the trust of TradFi institutions like JP Morgan and Robinhood.
  • The vast majority of DeFi's total value locked (TVL) and existing protocols are on Ethereum, making it the center of gravity for liquidity and innovation.
  • Building as an L2 on Ethereum (like Lighter) is presented as the optimal strategy to achieve high performance without sacrificing the security and composability of the main chain.

Takeaways

  • The long-term investment thesis for Ethereum is reinforced. It is seen as the base layer where DeFi and TradFi will eventually merge.
  • The success of innovative L2s like Lighter, which bring high-performance applications to the ecosystem, directly adds value to Ethereum by increasing its utility and transaction demand.
  • Investing in Ethereum can be seen as a bet on the entire ecosystem of applications (like Lighter, Aave, etc.) being built on top of it.

Strategic Partners: Robinhood (HOOD) & Coinbase (COIN)

  • Both Robinhood and Coinbase participated in Lighter's recent funding round.
  • Robinhood:
    • The partnership is driven by Robinhood's active work in tokenizing stocks. Lighter is seen as a key technology partner to bring these assets on-chain.
    • A potential partnership could go two ways:
      1. Bringing tokenized stocks like NVDA and HOOD to Lighter for crypto-native traders.
      2. Bringing Lighter's decentralized perps to Robinhood's massive retail user base.
    • The founder of Lighter has a long-standing personal relationship with the founder of Robinhood, Vlad Tenev, dating back to high school.
  • Coinbase:
    • Their investment is seen as a strategic move to align with leading innovators in DeFi as the industry shifts from centralized to decentralized rails.

Takeaways

  • For HOOD and COIN investors, these companies' investments in a DeFi protocol like Lighter signal a forward-looking strategy. They are not just defending their existing centralized businesses but are actively positioning themselves to be players in the future of on-chain finance.
  • A successful partnership between Lighter and Robinhood could be a major catalyst for both, potentially unlocking a massive new market by bridging the gap between TradFi retail and DeFi derivatives.

Investment Theme: Convergence of TradFi & DeFi

  • A core thesis of the podcast is that the separation between traditional finance and crypto is dissolving. The future is simply "capital markets" that run on-chain.
  • The guest emphasizes that TradFi institutions are no longer skeptical but are actively seeking to understand and incorporate blockchain technology.
  • Tokenized stocks (also known as Real-World Assets or RWAs) are a key element of this convergence, and Lighter is positioning itself as the infrastructure to trade them.
  • The ability to create compliant, on-chain trading environments (e.g., pools for KYC'd participants) within a single order book is a technological solution that can bridge the gap for regulated institutions.

Takeaways

  • This is a long-term, macro investment theme. Projects that facilitate this convergence, like Lighter, are well-positioned to capture significant value.
  • Investors should look for platforms built on trusted infrastructure (Ethereum) with strong institutional partnerships (Coinbase, Robinhood) as key indicators of who might win in this new paradigm.
  • The emergence of on-chain perps for stocks like NVDA and HOOD on Lighter is an early but tangible sign of this trend playing out.
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Episode Description
This week, Lighter Founder & CEO Vladimir Novakovski discusses Lighter’s competitive edge over Hyperliquid, why he chose to be an L2 on Ethereum, and the role of their ZK innovations. We also touch on equity perps, Lighter’s partnership with Robinhood, and why Vlad chose to work in crypto. Enjoy! Follow Vlad: https://x.com/vnovakovski  Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz  Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod  -- Timestamps (00:00) Intro (03:05) Why Vlad Chose Crypto & a Perp DEX (11:37) Competing as a Perp DEX (18:00) Why Be an L2 on Ethereum? (20:37) Unpacking Lighter’s Competitive Edge (25:46) Lighter’s ZK Innovations (32:33) Partnership with Robinhood (38:06) Equity Perps and Advantage Over Hyperliquid (44:11) Lighter Token & Valuation (51:56) What Are People Missing? -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. Apple 🎙️: https://bit.ly/49KooP3   Spotify 🎙️: https://bit.ly/3NoHu60  YouTube 🎥: https://bit.ly/49XeCu6
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