How to Build Through Bull & Bear Markets With Konstantin Richter | Permissionless IV Fireside Chat | Bonus Episode
How to Build Through Bull & Bear Markets With Konstantin Richter | Permissionless IV Fireside Chat | Bonus Episode
312 days agoEmpireBlockworks
Podcast23 min 25 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Monitor the upcoming Circle IPO, as its performance is expected to be a key indicator for the entire crypto industry's valuation and public market appetite. A major long-term opportunity is the institutional adoption of crypto, with a predicted 10x increase in on-chain volume by the end of 2026. To capitalize on this trend, consider investing in U.S.-based companies that provide essential infrastructure like staking and custody services. Expect Fortune 500 companies to launch branded stablecoins, which will drive value to the underlying Layer 1 and Layer 2 blockchains they choose to build on. Finally, watch for the emergence of innovative products like a Staking Index Token, which could simplify earning yield from across the crypto ecosystem.

Detailed Analysis

Circle (USDC)

  • The upcoming Circle IPO was highlighted as a major catalyst for the crypto industry. The speaker noted that the valuation "multipliers look amazing."
  • It is predicted that a successful IPO from Circle will create a wave of pressure and opportunity for other private crypto companies to go public, either through traditional IPOs, SPACs, or reverse mergers.
  • The sentiment around institutional crypto products is seen as very positive, and Circle's public offering is viewed as a key test of that appetite.

Takeaways

  • The Circle IPO is a significant event to monitor. Its performance could serve as a bellwether for the entire crypto industry's valuation and public market readiness.
  • A successful debut could signal a "risk-on" environment for crypto-related equities and may lead to other major private companies (like the speaker's own, Blockdaemon) pursuing public listings. This could unlock significant value for early-stage investors in the private crypto space.

Katana (KAT)

  • Note: This information was presented in a podcast advertisement.
  • Katana is described as a new, purpose-built blockchain for DeFi users, not a general-purpose chain.
  • It is incubated by Polygon Labs and GSR, and aims to generate "deeper liquidity and higher yield."
  • It is launching with an ecosystem of partners including Morpho, Sushi, Vertex, Lombard, Chainlink, and Yearn.
  • The ad mentioned a pre-deposit campaign before the mainnet opens, where users can deposit funds to earn rewards in KAT tokens.

Takeaways

  • Katana is a new Layer 1 project to watch for those specifically interested in the DeFi space. The backing by Polygon Labs and partnerships with established DeFi protocols like Chainlink and Yearn provide some initial credibility.
  • For investors with a high risk tolerance, the pre-deposit campaign represents an early opportunity to acquire KAT tokens.
  • As with any new and unaudited project highlighted in an advertisement, investors should exercise extreme caution, conduct their own thorough research, and understand that this is a high-risk, high-reward opportunity.

Investment Theme: Institutional Adoption & Infrastructure

  • The core of the discussion focused on connecting large institutions like JP Morgan and Bank of New York to Web3 through infrastructure services like staking, wallets, and nodes.
  • While institutional interest is high, the speaker clarified that most of the real-world volume so far has been concentrated in Bitcoin ETFs. The broader adoption is still "slowly building up."
  • A key prediction was made: the speaker expects a 10x increase in volume across institutional staking, wallet usage, and on-chain transactions by the end of 2026.

Takeaways

  • Patience is Key: The narrative of institutional adoption is playing out, but the most significant capital deployment is still on the horizon. The 2026 timeline suggests that this is a long-term investment theme, not a short-term trade.
  • "Picks and Shovels" Play: The companies providing the essential, compliant infrastructure for institutions are best positioned to benefit from this future wave of adoption. While Blockdaemon is private, this thesis applies to public companies offering custody, staking-as-a-service, and institutional-grade API access to crypto.
  • Focus on U.S. Domiciled Companies: The speaker emphasized the growing importance and advantage of being a U.S.-based crypto company, especially as regulatory clarity improves. He mentioned a push to "make America's stake again," ensuring that network revenues are generated and captured within the U.S. economy.

Investment Theme: Stablecoins

  • The stablecoin model was described as "absolutely massive" and a major area of focus for traditional finance.
  • The speaker predicts that a common crypto strategy for Fortune 500 companies in the near future will be to launch their own branded stablecoins for payment networks and other use cases.

Takeaways

  • The stablecoin market is poised for significant expansion beyond its current crypto-native scope.
  • This trend could create investment opportunities in the underlying Layer 1 and Layer 2 blockchains that will host these new corporate stablecoins. The choice of which "pipes" (e.g., Optimism-based stacks, ZK-based stacks) institutions use will be critical.
  • Investors should monitor large payment and financial companies for announcements regarding stablecoin initiatives, as this could become a significant new business line for them.

Investment Theme: Tokenized Assets & New Products

  • The speaker discussed the future possibility of tokenizing company equity and conducting an "IPO on chain," hypothetically on a decentralized exchange like Uniswap.
  • A new product concept from Blockdaemon was revealed: a Staking Index Token. This token would aggregate yield from the best staking protocols, providing diversified, liquid exposure to staking rewards while abstracting away the complexity for the end-user.

Takeaways

  • The Future of Finance: Tokenizing real-world assets like equity remains a powerful, albeit long-term, crypto narrative. While the legal frameworks are still developing, it points to the potential for decentralized exchanges and blockchain infrastructure to play a much larger role in capital markets.
  • Watch for Staking Innovations: Products like a Staking Index Token could be a game-changer for retail investors. It would simplify the process of earning yield and could attract significant capital by making staking more accessible. Investors should keep an eye out for the launch of such products from major infrastructure providers.
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Episode Description
This week, we're excited to share with our community a bonus episode from PERMISSIONLESS IV, which just took place this past week in Brooklyn, NY. This is a Fireside Chat with Yano and Konstantin Richter of Blockdaemon and it brings all the alpha for builders and investors in the space! -- Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire?utm_source=podcasts -- Follow Konstantin - https://x.com/konstantin11 Follow Jason - https://x.com/jasonyanowitz Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod -- Join the Empire Telegram: https://t.me/+CaCYvTOB4Eg1OWJh -- Katana is a DeFi-first chain built for deep liquidity and high yield. No empty emissions, just real yield and sequencer fees routed back to DeFi users. Pre-deposit now: Earn high APRs with Turtle Club [https://app.turtle.club/campaigns/katana] or spin the wheel with Katana Krates [https://app.katana.network/krates] -- CHAPTERS 00:25 - Intro01:00 - Operating In Crypto Throughout The Years02:50 - Navigating Narratives05:09 - Blockdaemon's Business Model08:49 - Balancing Where Industry Is Today VS Tomorrow12:49 - IPO Strategies For Blockdaemon17:35 - Institutional Outlook Over Next 12 Months 21:20 - US As Crypto World Leader -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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Empire features interviews with top crypto founders to get the real stories that aren’t shared elsewhere. Empire is your look behind the curtain of the crypto industry. We release two episodes per week: guest interviews on Monday and a weekly roundup on Friday.