Why I’m Still BULLISH on Crypto While AI Stocks Bleed
Why I’m Still BULLISH on Crypto While AI Stocks Bleed
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Keep Bitcoin (BTC) exposure conditional: holding above $80,000 supports the near-term case, while a sustained break below it is a warning; a reclaim of $84,000 could open a move toward $90,000+.
  • Consider Hyperliquid (HYPE) as a higher-risk crypto position; the host favored it, but gave no price target or timeframe.
  • Maintain cash for potential declines rather than chasing beaten-down AI and semiconductor stocks; the discussion offered no clear buy signal after the sharp sell-off.
  • Treat altcoins as especially vulnerable if BTC loses support, and avoid interpreting the cited chart levels as guaranteed entry points.
Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The host described Bitcoin as resilient despite broad risk-off conditions, including falling AI stocks, hot CPI, uncertainty about interest rates, and geopolitical and quantum-related concerns.
  • Bitcoin was trading above $80,000 in the discussion. The host said repeated rebounds near that level suggested support, but warned that losing it could mean “lights out” in the short term.
  • The host viewed a move back above $84,000 as a bullish signal. A guest chart analyst cited by the host saw a reclaim of that level as opening the possibility of $90,000+; this was a conditional view, not a guarantee.
  • The host said he was net long Bitcoin but also holding substantial cash in case prices fell further.

Takeaways

  • The discussion’s key levels were $80,000 for near-term support and $84,000 for a bullish reclaim. The host said a weekly close above $80,000 would be preferable and viewed a brief dip toward the 50-week moving average—then near $78,000—as less concerning than a sustained break below support.
  • The bullish case rests on Bitcoin holding up despite negative news; the host also acknowledged a technical downtrend and said the level could still fail.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum was mentioned as an example of a major crypto asset that investors could hold through a brokerage account or a market proxy rather than directly in a personal wallet.
  • No separate price view or investment thesis for Ethereum was given.

Takeaways

  • The transcript offers no Ethereum-specific signal. The brokerage-versus-self-custody suggestion was the host’s personal approach, not a detailed assessment of Ethereum.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • The host said he was net long Hyperliquid and described it as one of the crypto assets he was most interested in.
  • His thesis was that Hyperliquid could benefit from the overlap between crypto, traditional-finance trading, and tokenization.

Takeaways

  • Hyperliquid was presented as a preferred crypto position by the host, but no price target or timing was given. The broader risk-off conditions discussed for crypto still apply.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • A cryptography expert cited in the discussion described Zcash as designed with privacy and a quantum-related plan in mind.
  • The host said the market appeared to be digesting the latest quantum news and argued that investors should watch market behavior rather than react to alarming claims alone. He also cautioned against advice to move funds into a particular “bunker mode.”

Takeaways

  • The transcript presents Zcash as one project to consider in the debate over crypto and quantum risk, not as a proven solution. The host’s view was that the news had not yet materially disrupted Bitcoin’s price range.

Other Crypto Assets

  • Bittensor (TAO): The host described it as chopping in a range and still substantially above its recent lows; no recommendation or target was given.
  • Lighter: The host said its price action had been “very brutal” but suggested that further weakness could make dip-buying levels more attractive. No ticker or price target was specified.
  • Arbitrum (ARB): The host noted that it had bounced and reclaimed key levels, while cautioning that altcoins can fall quickly in a risk-off market.
  • Starknet (STRK): The host said it had retraced heavily and was approaching a prior key level around $0.06. He mentioned privacy as a possible investment theme.
  • Derive: Described as a leader in crypto options, with the host noting that it had a smaller market capitalization than Hyperliquid. He said options adoption in crypto had been inconsistent.
  • Injective (INJ): The host called attention to its strong recent move but said it had failed to hold a breakout level, a potential warning sign.
  • Super (SUPER): The host said it was holding a range, citing $0.1875 as a level he wanted to see hold and $0.15 as a broader market-structure level. He also said the project had not yet released much, making the price performance notable.
  • VVV: The host said it had broken above a prior high around $21.50 and was still holding above that level. He said the setup would look more attractive if Bitcoin recovered, but that VVV could fall if Bitcoin weakened.

Takeaways

  • The host’s broad view was that altcoins could perform well if Bitcoin reclaimed $84,000, but he emphasized that they can decline sharply if Bitcoin loses support.
  • The chart levels and commentary are the host’s observations, not guarantees or uniform recommendations across these projects.

AI Stocks and Semiconductor ETFs

  • The host described a sharp sell-off across AI-related stocks, technology shares, and semiconductors, alongside weakness in the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), the Magnificent Seven, and a technology-software ETF.
  • He said the leveraged semiconductor bull ETF SOXL had fallen nearly 50% in a few days and almost 70% from its June high.
  • The host said he and his team had made money shorting NVIDIA (NVDA) and SOXL earlier, but explicitly said he was not recommending shorting after such large declines.

Takeaways

  • The host framed the sell-off as a broad risk-appetite shift rather than a problem isolated to one company.
  • After the steep drops discussed, the transcript does not provide a specific buy or short recommendation for AI stocks or semiconductor ETFs.

CoreWeave (CRWV)

  • The host pointed to CoreWeave’s reported borrowing cost of 15% as a sign of credit stress, saying investors were demanding expensive financing.
  • He described CoreWeave as one of the day’s biggest stock losers and raised the possibility that stress in AI-related businesses could spread to other companies.

Takeaways

  • The discussion highlights financing costs and access to credit as risks to watch for AI infrastructure firms. The host described CoreWeave’s price action as weak but did not give a target or a specific trade recommendation.

Nebius (NBIS)

  • The host said Nebius had commitments from customers to buy cloud compute, but questioned what could happen if those customers—particularly AI companies—lacked the funds or financing to meet their commitments.
  • He also noted that Nebius was falling alongside other AI-related names.

Takeaways

  • The key issue raised was customer funding and the reliability of future spending commitments. The transcript does not give a valuation or price target for Nebius.

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • The host said MicroStrategy was facing possible removal from MSCI indexes, a concern he had previously raised.
  • He observed that Bitcoin had not fallen much in response to the news, suggesting the market was not reacting strongly at that point. A viewer in the chat said the relevant MSCI rules were not finalized; the host said he would look into it.
  • The host also said MSTR had not approached its May high, unlike Bitcoin, illustrating its relative weakness in the period discussed.

Takeaways

  • The possible index change was a stated risk, but its status was uncertain in the discussion. Investors should distinguish MSTR’s price performance from Bitcoin’s rather than assume they will move alike.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The host said HOOD had been “smacked” and that his options positions were down significantly.
  • He remained bullish on the company over the longer term and cited $93 as a level he wanted to see hold.

Takeaways

  • The host’s positive view was not matched by short-term price strength. The $93 level was presented as a chart reference, not a price target.

Coinbase (COIN)

  • The host said he was not enthusiastic about Coinbase as a crypto-stock investment.

Takeaways

  • No specific catalyst, price level, or alternative valuation case was provided.

Circle (CRCL)

  • Circle was mentioned in a brief chart review, where the host described its price action as looking poor.

Takeaways

  • The transcript provides no further company analysis or price target.

SpaceX (Private)

  • The host noted that SpaceX had rejected the $150 level after previously rising roughly 17–18% following a breakout above it; he said the subsequent move below the level was followed by a quick decline of about 6%.
  • A former SpaceX employee and space-industry founder predicted that Tesla and SpaceX would merge, arguing that they fit into a broader effort to advance robotics and make humanity multi-planetary. The host said he did not have a firm view on the timing.
  • The guest said SpaceX had stopped selling commercial Falcon 9 launches, arguing that the company would prioritize its own needs. He also described SpaceX’s work on in-space computing as primarily supporting its internal robotics and settlement goals.

Takeaways

  • SpaceX’s $150 level was discussed as a trading reference, not a formal valuation or target. The merger idea was the guest’s prediction, and the transcript did not establish that a merger was agreed or imminent.
  • The guest’s broader investment argument was that owning launch capacity could be a competitive advantage in the space industry.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The host described the Roadster demonstration as exciting but did not offer a specific Tesla stock recommendation.
  • The space-industry guest predicted that Tesla and SpaceX would merge, reasoning that electric vehicles, robotics, and space technology could support a shared long-term mission.
  • The guest also cautioned that the Roadster’s propulsion demonstration could make the vehicle appear to be something more than a conventional car.

Takeaways

  • The potential Tesla-SpaceX combination is speculation, not a confirmed corporate event. The transcript offers no Tesla price target or timeline.

Phantom Space and Space Infrastructure

  • The guest described Phantom Space, which he co-founded, as developing Daytona, a small launch vehicle intended to carry roughly one metric ton to orbit, and Phantom Cloud, a concept for distributed computing and data processing in orbit.
  • He argued that launch capacity and spectrum are key industry bottlenecks, and said launch is difficult to scale because it requires specialized talent, substantial capital, and access to suitable launch sites.
  • He estimated that large data centers in space could be 20 years away or more, if they become practical at all, citing constraints around solar-power conversion and heat removal. He considered more modest in-space computing applications closer at hand.
  • The guest advised evaluating a space company’s team, ability to execute, product profitability, and cost control. He also said investors may need to wait 15–20 years for the industry’s potential to develop.

Takeaways

  • The guest presented space infrastructure as a long-term opportunity, but emphasized that execution and access to launch capacity matter more than financing momentum alone.
  • Risks specifically raised included high capital needs, limited launch sites, specialized labor, technical constraints, and long development timelines. He warned that companies that raise and spend large amounts can still fail.

AI Infrastructure and Private AI Companies

  • The host connected weakness in AI infrastructure stocks to questions about the revenues and financing of OpenAI and Anthropic.
  • He said spending commitments by AI companies support demand projections for cloud-compute providers, and warned that problems raising or spending money could affect companies supplying that capacity.
  • He also discussed the possibility that larger players such as SpaceX or a potential Tesla-SpaceX combination might acquire distressed AI infrastructure or memory companies. This was presented as speculation.

Takeaways

  • The discussion suggests watching whether AI companies can fund their commitments and whether infrastructure providers can secure customers and credit. The transcript does not identify a specific acquisition target or recommend investing in either OpenAI or Anthropic.

Cash, Custody, and Portfolio Risk

  • The host said he was holding a substantial amount of cash while remaining net long Bitcoin, Hyperliquid, and the broader crypto market.
  • He described maintaining a portfolio that could adapt to market conditions as his preferred approach.
  • He also favored keeping a large share of long-term crypto exposure in brokerage accounts or market proxies rather than in personal wallets, citing reported ledger issues and a crypto-related kidnapping case discussed on the show.

Takeaways

  • The host’s approach combined exposure to crypto with cash available for potential declines. His custody preference was a personal opinion, not a guarantee of safety; the transcript did not compare the risks of brokerage custody and self-custody in detail.
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Video Description
Here's why I’m still bullish on Bitcoin and crypto as AI stocks sell off... BTC’s key levels, institutional adoption, Tesla and SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings, plus space investing with SpaceX founding team member Jim Cantrell. Trade anything on Liquid and get 10% off trading fees: https://liquid.trade/r/ellio Trade $50, Get $50 on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/p/elliotrades Deposit $100, unlock up to $4,000 in bonuses on WEEX: https://www.weex.com/events/promo/elliotrades-deposit-trade?vipCode=wubo&qrType=activity Follow my public trading journey on fomo: https://fomo.family/r/elliotrades --- X: https://x.com/elliotrades Instagram: https://instagram.com/elliotrades Stream Clips: https://x.com/ellioclips Business inquiries: partners@elliotrades.tv
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