Updating My Entire $1 MILLION Crypto Portfolio
Updating My Entire $1 MILLION Crypto Portfolio
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Wait on AI and semiconductor stocks rather than trying to catch the sell-off; the speaker sees room for further volatility and advises waiting for trends to stabilize.
  • For Bitcoin (BTC), keep stablecoin reserves and use gradual dollar-cost averaging on sharp down days; the speaker sees possible downside into the low $70,000s or high $60,000s, with a more bullish signal above $82,000, especially $87,000.
  • Zcash (ZEC) was the speaker’s highest-conviction idea: consider staged spot accumulation around $1,100–$1,300, with possible bids at $850–$1,000; a sustained break below $850 would weaken the setup.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Pump.fun (PUMP) were longer-term, higher-risk convictions, but no entry prices or targets were provided; size cautiously given regulatory exposure and dependence on continued activity and revenue.
Detailed Analysis

AI stocks and semiconductor sector

  • The speaker described the AI trade as having sharply reversed after the midterm results and said it was not yet the place to buy. They cautioned that investors should let broken upward trends play out before trying to catch a rebound.
  • The speaker reported NVIDIA (NVDA) down 15% from earlier in the week, Micron (MU) down 34% since Halloween, and SanDisk (SNDK) down 44% from the prior week.
  • The speaker also cited the leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL as down 86% from May and 60% from the prior week. They pointed to hedge funds’ leverage in the AI trade as a source of strain.
  • Their longer-term view was that AI would survive, but the discussion emphasized the risk of further volatility and waiting for the market to stabilize.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s approach was to wait rather than buy immediately after a sharp break in the AI trade.
  • The cited declines are the speaker’s figures; they are not price targets or assurances that the assets have bottomed. The speaker specifically noted that leveraged positions can magnify losses.

Korean equities (KOSPI)

  • The speaker said South Korea’s KOSPI index was down nearly 14% amid the market sell-off.
  • The index was cited as evidence of the broad market stress, not as a specific investment recommendation.

Takeaways

  • The transcript offers no individual Korean stock picks or entry levels. The KOSPI mention supports the speaker’s broader caution about market-wide volatility.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The speaker said Bitcoin’s outlook had weakened after it failed to reclaim $87,000 and lost a key support level. They characterized recent price action as showing bearish signs, while noting Bitcoin held above $75,000 during the broader market sell-off.
  • They said a durable move above $82,000, and especially above $87,000, would make the chart more bullish.
  • The speaker expected a possible move into the low $70,000s or high $60,000s. They said a sustained break below the prior low could signal a longer recovery and be “secularly bearish.”
  • Bitcoin made up 25% of the speaker’s high-conviction bucket, not necessarily 25% of their total crypto portfolio. They also said they would hold stablecoins to deploy during major sell-off days.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s stated plan was to use dynamic dollar-cost averaging, deploying stablecoins during sharp down days rather than investing the entire allocation at once.
  • The levels cited are the speaker’s chart-based observations, not guaranteed support or price targets.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • The speaker’s strongest conviction was in Zcash, which they favored for privacy and perceived quantum resistance. They argued that privacy could become more valuable amid hacking concerns and potential fears about wealth taxes. These are the speaker’s views, not established assurances about Zcash’s technical security.
  • They said Zcash held up relatively well during the market sell-off and viewed its chart and performance against Bitcoin as bullish.
  • The speaker described $1,100–$1,300 as an accumulation area, said they would prefer not to see Zcash fall much below $1,100, and identified $850–$1,000 as a lower range where they might place bids. A sustained break below $850 would make the setup “very dicey” in their view.
  • They identified $1,330 as a level that could prompt them to enter a perps long; below that, they said they would focus on spot purchases.
  • The speaker gave hypothetical relative-value scenarios: if Zcash reached 10% of Bitcoin’s value, they estimated a price around $7,500, or roughly 7x from the level they were discussing; at 20% of Bitcoin’s value, they estimated nearly 15x. They said this was a months-to-years idea, not a short-term trade.
  • Zcash was a larger part of their high-conviction allocation than Bitcoin.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s approach was to accumulate in stages and treat Zcash as a longer-term, high-conviction position.
  • The relative-value scenarios are speculative, and the speaker acknowledged uncertainty about the technical risks they discussed. The transcript does not establish that the cited levels or upside scenarios will occur.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • The speaker described Hyperliquid as a potential beneficiary of the New York Stock Exchange integrating with it, and as infrastructure for trading across financial markets.
  • They said HYPE had sold off after political developments and raised the possibility that regulatory concerns could be weighing on it. They also noted that a project requiring active management or operating more like a business could be more exposed to an unfriendly government than a decentralized network such as Bitcoin or Zcash.
  • Despite those concerns, the speaker viewed the sell-off as a possible long-term opportunity and assigned HYPE 15% of their high-conviction bucket.

Takeaways

  • The speaker saw potential upside from institutional integration but also highlighted regulatory and political exposure.
  • Their view was long-term and conditional; the transcript provides no specific HYPE entry price or price target.

Pump.fun (PUMP)

  • The speaker argued that Pump.fun was widely disliked but had a durable business, citing revenue of over $1 million a day on many days and periods of over $2 million a day when the market strengthened.
  • They said Pump.fun used a large portion of fees to buy back and burn its token. They viewed the token’s valuation as low relative to Hyperliquid, while acknowledging the negative sentiment around the project and its association with meme coins.
  • The speaker described PUMP as a major part of their high-conviction allocation.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s thesis depends on continued revenue and token buybacks. Investors would need to assess whether those activity and revenue levels persist; the transcript does not provide a PUMP price target.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana was named as one of the established crypto projects the speaker thought could be among the sector’s long-term leading assets.
  • The speaker did not provide a specific SOL allocation, price level, or detailed near-term thesis.

Takeaways

  • SOL was presented as a potentially durable major asset, but the discussion gives little basis for a more specific trade or valuation view.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum was named alongside Solana as an established project that had proven itself and could remain among crypto’s leading assets.
  • The speaker did not give an ETH price target or specific allocation.

Takeaways

  • The mention reflects a broad long-term view, not a specific entry recommendation.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR)

  • The speaker described NEAR as a privacy- and AI-related project, highlighting NEAR Intents as a way to trade assets and perps privately.
  • They called NEAR an established project that had been building since 2017, but said its token still needed to prove itself. They viewed it as a smaller, higher-risk position and described it as a few percent of their crypto exposure—much less than Zcash.

Takeaways

  • NEAR was a smaller thematic position in the speaker’s portfolio, not a substitute for their larger Zcash thesis.
  • The speaker’s main risk caveat was that NEAR’s token still had to prove its value.

Derive (options protocol)

  • The speaker said Derive was targeting the large options market and argued that, in their view, investors should own the leading on-chain options protocol—judged by measures such as volume, notional value, total value locked, and revenue.
  • They did not give a price target or a specific Derive allocation.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s thesis is tied to growth in on-chain options trading and Derive maintaining a leading position. That makes continued adoption and competitive standing central to the idea.

Athena (ENA)

  • The speaker said they were interested in Athena and assigned it 1.5% of their crypto exposure.
  • No detailed rationale, entry price, or target was provided in this segment.

Takeaways

  • The stated allocation was small. The transcript does not provide enough detail to assess a specific catalyst or valuation.

Kinetiq (name as stated in transcript)

  • The speaker said they were interested in Kinetiq and assigned it 1% of their crypto exposure. They also mentioned holding a spot position through their trading platform.
  • No price target or further investment thesis was provided.

Takeaways

  • This was presented as a small position; the transcript does not provide enough information for a more detailed investment case.

Additional crypto watchlist

  • Lighter was described as the next-best perps platform after Hyperliquid.
  • Pepe (PEPE) was the meme coin the speaker most hoped would recover and the one they thought had a chance of returning, but they said it was not in their current portfolio.
  • Arbitrum (ARB) was mentioned as infrastructure behind Robinhood’s chain; the speaker said Robinhood’s prominence could help renew interest.
  • Aerodrome (AERO) was described as a potential major decentralized exchange for Robinhood’s chain.
  • Venice (VVV) was described as a private AI application with a token. The speaker liked it but kept it on the watchlist rather than treating it as a core holding.
  • Ondo (ONDO) was mentioned in connection with BlackRock and real-world-asset tokenization.
  • Uniswap (UNI) was described as a major decentralized exchange token that could benefit if activity returns to Ethereum, Arbitrum, or Robinhood’s chain.
  • Chainlink (LINK) was named on the watchlist without a detailed thesis.
  • Worldcoin (WLD) was discussed as a possible way to distinguish humans from bots using biometrics. The speaker said it could become significant if computers make that distinction increasingly difficult, while acknowledging that this future use case had not yet played out.
  • Canton, Syrup, Quant (QNT), Injective (INJ), and Bittensor (TAO) were also named on the watchlist without detailed investment cases.
  • Telegram was described as the speaker’s favorite application, with the hope that it would eventually “put it together”; no specific investment or token thesis was provided.
  • Super (SUPER) was mentioned in connection with an unreleased product the speaker said the team was developing. The speaker gave no launch timeline or investment details.

Takeaways

  • These were mostly watchlist ideas, not equivalent to the speaker’s higher-conviction positions. Several were mentioned without a supporting thesis, allocation, or price level.
  • Thematic exposure includes privacy, AI, tokenized real-world assets, decentralized exchanges, and derivatives trading. The speaker emphasized sizing smaller bets to limit the damage if higher-risk projects fail.

Stablecoins and perpetual futures (perps)

  • The speaker treated stablecoins as a reserve for future purchases, particularly during large market sell-offs. They described using dynamic DCA rather than deploying all available cash at once.
  • They said perps trading made up half of their “zero infinity” high-risk bucket—the portion intended for high-risk, high-reward trades. They also acknowledged being addicted to perps trading and said that bucket often remained in stablecoins when they were not in a position.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s framework separates more established, high-conviction holdings from speculative positions that could lose most or all of their value.
  • They explicitly described the perps bucket as high risk. Their approach is a personal strategy, not a general recommendation to use leverage or trade derivatives.

Tesla (TSLA) options example

  • Tesla was used only as a hypothetical example of an options trade: an option to buy Tesla for $1,000 in 2028. The speaker used it to explain how options can provide exposure with a notional value larger than the cash invested.
  • No Tesla recommendation or price outlook was given.

Takeaways

  • The example was educational, not a stated investment thesis. The speaker’s broader point was that leverage can amplify exposure in derivatives.

Crypto market and regulatory outlook

  • The speaker argued that crypto was unlikely to disappear and viewed the current sell-off as potentially temporary rather than an extinction event.
  • They cited political uncertainty, possible changes to crypto legislation, and the possibility of renewed regulatory pressure as risks. They also argued that continued business activity in the United States and institutional involvement could support crypto over time.
  • The speaker expected that a small number of major projects could eventually capture much of the crypto market’s value, comparing that possibility to the concentration of value among a few large companies in the stock market.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s broad strategy was to keep reserves, accumulate selected projects gradually, and limit exposure to speculative bets.
  • The discussion’s central risks were further market declines, political and regulatory uncertainty, and the possibility that high-risk tokens lose most or all of their value.
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Video Description
I’m breaking down my entire $1,000,000 crypto portfolio, revealing exactly what I’m buying, trading, and holding heading into the next crypto bull market. Follow my trades + get 10% off fees on Liquid: https://liquid.trade/r/CTN — trading competition dropping soon, sign up now to get in. ➡ X: https://x.com/elliotrades ➡ Instagram: https://instagram.com/elliotrades ➡ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@elliotwainman ➡ Stream Clips: https://x.com/ellioclips Timestamps: 0:00 My $1 Million Crypto Portfolio 4:41 How I Divide My Portfolio 8:42 My Top Picks 14:26 Smaller Altcoin Bets & Watchlist 19:39 How to Follow My Trades 20:18 My Buy Levels & Accumulation Strategy Business inquiries: partners@elliotrades.tv DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice! This is an entertainment and opinion-based show. I am not a financial adviser. Please only invest what you can afford to lose, and we encourage you to do your own research before investing. DYOR
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