Missed The Crypto Bottom? Here's Exactly What I'm Buying Now
Missed The Crypto Bottom? Here's Exactly What I'm Buying Now
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Dollar-cost average into Bitcoin (BTC) on pullbacks below $73,000 to target the $81,000 resistance level, but exit your position if weekly closes fall under $70,000.

Capitalize on explosive Layer-2 activity by building exposure to Ethereum (ETH) alongside Robinhood Chain ecosystem leaders like Uniswap (UNI) and the high-revenue launchpad token PONS (PONS).

Traditional brokerage investors seeking amplified crypto upside can buy Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) like MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Hyperliquid Strategies (PER), which are actively outperforming underlying spot tokens.

Take a long position in Monero (XMR) near its $500 retest level to capture growing macro demand for Privacy Coins, placing a strict stop-loss around $480 to limit downside risk.

Avoid deploying capital into lagging assets such as Arweave (AR), VeChain (VET), and Aether (AETH) until they decisively break out above key multi-month resistance levels.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Macro liquidity is inflecting upwards following the end of quantitative tightening (QT), providing fundamental support for a new bull cycle alongside debt-driven inflation narratives.
  • Geopolitical friction (such as the Iran conflict) and potential oil-driven inflation are behaving as tailwinds rather than headwinds, as the market anticipates the U.S. government will print money and stimulate growth rather than aggressively raise rates.
  • Price rejected a major breakdown toward $49,000 and is now challenging key resistance and the 50-week moving average.
  • Key resistance is present around the $81,000 zone, with the weekly breakout level anchored at $67,000.

Takeaways

  • Maintain a bullish risk-on stance as long as price holds above the $71,000$73,000 support area.
  • Look to Dollar-Cost Average (DCA) or add leverage long positions on pullbacks into the lower $70,000s (specifically under $73,000).
  • Treat weekly closes below $70,000 or a breakdown below $67,000 as an invalidation of the strong bull trend, triggering an exit across crypto exposure.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Benefiting directly as the base settlement layer for explosive Layer-2 activity, most notably the newly surging Robinhood Chain.
  • The ETH/BTC ratio appears to be breaking out of a downtrend diagonal that has persisted since 2017.
  • Derivatives platforms are offering up to 4.7x leverage on ETH trading pairs.

Takeaways

  • Watch the ETH/BTC pair for confirmation of a multi-year trend reversal, which could signal extended outperformance of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin.
  • Use ETH as a fundamental proxy for growing on-chain trading volumes and Layer-2 adoption.

Robinhood Ecosystem & Associated Tokens

  • Robinhood Chain (an Ethereum L2) is rapidly capturing market share from Solana, reaching nearly $1 billion in 24-hour DEX volume and handling 47% of automated trading bot volume.
  • Positioned as a major retail onboarding hub and a primary venue for trading tokenized Real World Assets (RWAs) such as tokenized U.S. equities (e.g., Apple, NVIDIA).
  • PONS (PONS) has emerged as the leading meme coin deployer/launchpad on Robinhood Chain, generating up to $4.87 million in 24-hour fees and utilizing 80% of fees to buy back and burn its token supply (nearly 30% burned to date).
  • PONS trades at a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of roughly $290 million, compared to its Solana competitor Pump.fun at a $3.6 billion FDV.
  • Uniswap (UNI) is acting as the core decentralized exchange infrastructure capturing immediate liquidity flows on Robinhood Chain.

Takeaways

  • Consider selective exposure to dominant revenue-generating infrastructure on Robinhood Chain (such as PONS or UNI), while accounting for high volatility and recent vertical price runs.
  • Monitor weekend pricing discrepancies on tokenized equities (e.g., AMC, NVDA) paired with meme coins, as mispricings often present arbitrage opportunities when par pegging mechanisms resume on weekdays.
  • High risk warning: PONS has experienced massive upward runs and could pull back 20% to 40% during market consolidations.

Solana (SOL)

  • Implemented a major tokenomics update designed to reduce validator issuance and double disinflation to 30% to bolster the token's "moneyness."
  • Experiencing stiff competition and loss of market share to Robinhood Chain in areas such as DEX trading volume, meme launchpad activity, and automated bot volume.
  • Price action off recent lows near $98 has shown relative weakness and frequent retracements.

Takeaways

  • Maintain a neutral-to-cautious view on SOL relative to newer execution environments; focus on whether Solana can defend its status as the primary retail trading hub against Robinhood Chain.

Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) & Levered Equities

  • Digital Asset Treasuries are functioning as high-beta, levered exposure vehicles to their underlying cryptocurrencies during market uptrends.
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) is up 32% (outperforming BTC's 22% move).
  • Hyperliquid Strategies (PER) gained 76% (outperforming Hyperliquid's token HYPE at 47%).
  • Forward Industries (FWDI) advanced 42% (outperforming SOL's 34%).
  • Bitminer (BMNR) gained 32% relative to ETH's 31%.

Takeaways

  • Traditional brokerage accounts can utilize DAT equities (MSTR, PER, FWDI, BMNR) as liquid, leveraged proxies for spot tokens without using on-chain margin.

Privacy Coins: Monero (XMR) & Zcash (ZEC)

  • Political shifts toward wealth taxation, asset scrutiny, and redistributive policies are driving renewed macro interest into non-custodial privacy preservation assets.
  • Zcash (ZEC) and Monero (XMR) are exhibiting constructive high-timeframe chart structures that held up well throughout broader market pullbacks.
  • Monero (XMR) retested major breakout resistance around $500, presenting a high-timeframe long setup.

Takeaways

  • Consider long positions on XMR near the $500 retest level.
  • Set strict trade invalidations and stop-losses on XMR just below $503 or around $480 to protect capital if the breakout fails.

Altcoin Technical Screenings: AR, VET, AETH

  • Arweave (AR): Remains in a neutral/bearish posture below its $2.80 bear-market resistance; requires a decisive breakout above $4.20$4.80 to confirm a sustainable bullish reversal.
  • VeChain (VET): Currently weak below key breakdown levels; conservative entries require a breakout above $0.013 to show demonstrable strength.
  • Aether (AETH): Shows a persistent downtrend with no confirmed higher highs on the weekly timeframe; statistically unfavourable for long entries until clear structure forms above $0.08.

Takeaways

  • Avoid bottom-fishing in lagging assets like AR, VET, and AETH until weekly price structures breach key multi-month resistance levels. Focus capital on market leaders exhibiting clear momentum.
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Video Description
Bitcoin ran 25% off the lows and the treasury stocks are outrunning the coins again. Full trade setups, Solana + Ethena tokenomics, and the DAT trade: MSTR, BMNR, FWDI, PURR. Trade $50, Get $25 Free: https://kalshi.com/p/elliotrades Get up to 640 USDT in SUPER: https://weex.com/events/promo/ellio-super-campaign?vipCode=wubo&qrType=activity ➡ X: https://x.com/elliotrades ➡ Instagram: https://instagram.com/elliotrades ➡ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@elliotwainman ➡ Stream Clips: https://x.com/ellioclips Business inquiries: partners@elliotrades.tv DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice! This is an entertainment and opinion-based show. I am not a financial adviser. Please only invest what you can afford to lose, and we encourage you to do your own research before investing. DYOR
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