Trump named Crypto Person of the Year! BTC down to $87K Football.Fun Interview
Trump named Crypto Person of the Year! BTC down to $87K Football.Fun Interview
144 days agoDEGENZ LIVERug Radio
Podcast1 hr 6 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider shorting Bitcoin (BTC) if its price rallies back to the $88,000 level, as this former support may now act as strong resistance. Investors should avoid the Pippin (PIPPIN) token due to signs of extreme price manipulation and also be cautious with Axelar (AXL) following the acquisition of its core development team. A potential opportunity exists in the upcoming football.fun (FUN) ICO on the Legion and Kraken platforms, which is viewed as having a fair entry valuation for a project with existing revenue. The FUN token is designed to directly benefit from platform success, with 40% of all revenue being used for token buybacks. Finally, monitor the growing trend in privacy coins, as assets like Zcash (ZEC), Monero (XMR), and Dash (DASH) are showing significant strength.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The price was noted at $87,300, down 0.7% but described as "face-melting rally off of last night's lows."
  • A potentially bullish technical pattern, a "double bottom", was identified, with one host calling it "the most important double bottom of our lives."
  • MetaMask has expanded its wallet to allow users to buy, send, and receive Bitcoin directly.
  • A host mentioned a potential short-selling opportunity, stating that "anything above 88K becomes an okay short now," as $88k was a previous support level that has now been broken.
  • The sentiment around a "Santa Rally" was mentioned as being back on after the recent price bounce.

Takeaways

  • Mixed Sentiment: There's short-term bullishness due to the bounce off the lows (the "double bottom"), but also a bearish perspective suggesting that a rally back to the $88,000 level could be an opportunity to short (bet against) the price.
  • Key Price Level: $88,000 is a critical level to watch. A failure to break and hold above it could confirm the bearish view, while a strong move above it could invalidate the short thesis and support the "Santa Rally" narrative.
  • Ecosystem Development: MetaMask's integration of Bitcoin is a significant development, making it easier for a large user base to interact with BTC.

Pippin (PIPPIN)

  • This token was described as an "AI token from late 2024" that has seen its market cap surge to $500 million.
  • The hosts expressed extreme caution, labeling the price action as "pure manipulation."
  • It was reported that 80% of the token supply is "bundled" or held by a small group of wallets. This group is believed to have "scooped up 80% of the supply and it's been driving this price action up."
  • The hosts speculate that the strategy is to pump the price to a higher valuation, possibly $1 billion, and then "dump on" new buyers.

Takeaways

  • High Risk / Warning: The discussion strongly warns against buying Pippin. The price increase is not seen as organic but as a coordinated manipulation.
  • Potential Short: While a potential short trade was mentioned, the hosts also emphasized the need to "be careful" due to the extreme volatility and manipulation. This is a very high-risk trade.
  • Investor Awareness: This serves as a case study in identifying manipulated assets. A highly concentrated or "bundled" supply is a major red flag for retail investors.

Axelar (AXL)

  • The company Circle announced it is acquiring Interop Labs, the team that created the Axelar network.
  • Crucially, the acquisition does not include the Axelar (AXL) token or the foundation. The token and protocol will be turned over to the community.
  • The hosts see this as a major blow to the "app token" investment thesis, where the team can get acquired and paid, while the token they created is left behind.
  • The AXL token was noted to be selling off and trading back near its all-time lows, with hosts questioning if it "should be worth much more than zero at this point."

Takeaways

  • Bearish Sentiment: The sentiment on AXL is extremely negative. The departure of the core development team is seen as a fundamental blow to the token's value proposition.
  • Wider Market Risk: This event highlights a significant risk for investors in "app tokens." It's important to understand what happens to the token in an acquisition scenario, as token holders may not benefit from the deal.

football.fun (FUN)

  • This is an upcoming Initial Coin Offering (ICO) for a fantasy sports platform that has already generated $95 million in volume and $10 million in revenue.
  • The ICO is being conducted at a $60 million fully diluted valuation (FDV), which the hosts described as a "quite fair entry price."
  • The ICO is available on the Legion and Kraken platforms, with the Token Generation Event (TGE) planned for January 2026.
  • Tokenomics: The project plans to use 40% of its platform revenue for ongoing buybacks of the FUN token, creating a direct link between platform success and token value.
  • Token Utility: The FUN token will provide in-game perks like fee rebates and will be required to participate in new athlete "draft games," which was compared to the "Pump.fun of sports."
  • Airdrop: A 4% Genesis airdrop is planned for the platform's power users.

Takeaways

  • Potential Opportunity: The hosts view this ICO positively due to the company's existing revenue, a "fair" valuation, and a clear utility and value accrual mechanism for the token (revenue-sharing buybacks).
  • Trading Considerations: An investor noted that the ICO has a 50% unlock at launch with the rest vesting for a year. From a short-term trading perspective, the token would need to double in price (a "2X") for an investor to break even on their initial investment after selling the unlocked portion.
  • Long-Term Play: The project's structure, including vesting and revenue buybacks, is designed to attract long-term holders who believe in the platform's growth.

Investment Themes & Other Assets

  • Tokenized Equity:
    • This was described as potentially the "biggest unlock for crypto in 2026."
    • This model, where a token represents a share of equity in the company, could solve the problem seen with Axelar (AXL), where token holders are left behind in an acquisition.
    • The hosts are excited to see projects like Rainbow Wallet and potentially Polymarket explore this structure.
  • Privacy Coins (ZEC, XMR, DASH):
    • Zcash (ZEC) was highlighted as a top performer, up 600% year-to-date.
    • The discussion suggests a bullish narrative around privacy coins, with Monero (XMR) and Dash (DASH) also mentioned as part of this trend.
  • Ethereum (ETH):
    • Price was noted at $2,900, down 3.5%.
    • A bullish data point was that BitMine bought 102,000 ETH last week.
    • However, one host expressed a short-term bearish view, stating ETH is "not looking so great to me here now."
  • Solana (SOL):
    • Price was noted at $128, down 1.5%.
    • A bullish ecosystem development is that the Ando protocol announced tokenized stocks and ETFs are coming to Solana.
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Episode Description
Crypto majors were very red to start the week; btc -3% at $87,200; eth -6% at $2,950, bnb -2% at $868, sol -3% at $128. Xdc (+4%), cc (+3%) and sky (+2%) led top movers. Jpmorgan launched a tokenized money-market fund on ethereum, using onchain rails to settle fund shares. The senate punted the crypto market-structure markup to next year, delaying near-term progress on a major u.S. Framework bill. Coinbase and robinhood joined the new u.S. ‘tech force’ aimed at recruiting top engineers to build ai infra for the government. Metamask expanded beyond ethereum by adding native bitcoin support, letting users buy, send, and receive btc inside the wallet. Paypal applied for a bank charter in utah as its next potential step into the traditional banking system. Trump said he would “look at” pardoning samourai wallet developer keonne rodriguez, directing the attorney general to investigate the request ahead of his prison reporting date. Grayscale argued quantum computing was unlikely to move crypto valuations in 2026, while warning chains still needed long-term post-quantum upgrade planning. Bittensor (tao) completed its first halving event with issuance dropping from 7,200 tokens/day to 3,600.
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