BTC Dipped to $90K! BTC wipes out 2025 Gains! Monad CoFounder Interview!
BTC Dipped to $90K! BTC wipes out 2025 Gains! Monad CoFounder Interview!
172 days agoDEGENZ LIVERug Radio
Podcast1 hr 2 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider a short-term trade on Bitcoin (BTC), targeting a bounce to the $95,000 - $97,000 range, with a stop-loss if it breaks below $88,000. Given its relative weakness, consider selling rallies in Ethereum (ETH) or exploring a pair trade by going long BTC and short ETH. The Perp DEX sector shows resilience, so look for "buy the dip" opportunities in strong performers like Hyperliquid (HYPER), particularly below the $39 level. For a long-term investment, prepare to participate in the upcoming public sale for Monad (MONAD) on Coinbase, which is designed to favor smaller investors. Lastly, be cautious with CryptoPunks NFTs, as a potential large liquidation could soon drive prices significantly lower.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The market experienced significant weakness, with Bitcoin dipping to a low of $88,000 - $89,000.
  • One of the hosts, Mando, revealed he bought a "decent clip" of Bitcoin during the show, contributing to a price pump from $89,000 to $92,000.
  • Mando's trade is a short-term "bounce trade" with a price target of $95,000 - $97,000.
  • His stop-loss for this trade is set if Bitcoin makes a new low below the $88,000 level.
  • The rationale for the trade is that the market is in a "very deep oversold" condition. A specific technical indicator (1-hour Renko chart RSI) hit a level of fear not seen since the major market bottom in July 2022, which was followed by a 30-40% rally.
  • The hosts noted that major sell-offs in Bitcoin are now making headlines in traditional finance, which can attract new buyers looking for an entry point during periods of "extreme fear".

Takeaways

  • Bullish short-term sentiment: The hosts see the recent dip as a potential short-term buying opportunity due to extreme market fear and oversold technical indicators.
  • Potential Trade Setup: A long position on Bitcoin could be considered, targeting a bounce to the $95k - $97k range.
  • Risk Management: A clear risk level was identified. If Bitcoin breaks below the recent low of $88,000, the bullish bounce thesis would be invalidated.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • While ETH bounced from the low $2,800s to over $3,100, the sentiment from the hosts is not positive.
  • Mando stated he is "very cautious on ETH" and would choose it as his primary short in the current market.
  • He recommended to "sell all ETH rallies for a while now."
  • For investors who want to avoid betting on the market's overall direction, a pair trade of going long Bitcoin while shorting Ethereum was suggested.

Takeaways

  • Bearish sentiment: The hosts view Ethereum as fundamentally weaker than Bitcoin in the current market.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors could consider reducing exposure to ETH or using rallies as an opportunity to sell. More advanced traders might explore a BTC-long/ETH-short pair trade to capitalize on Bitcoin's relative strength.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana experienced a bounce from a low of around $128.
  • Despite the bounce, Mando is "not interested" in SOL and believes it is "going a lot lower."
  • Like Ethereum, Solana was mentioned as a potential candidate for a short position.
  • A Solana ETF was mentioned as potentially launching soon, which could be a future catalyst to watch.

Takeaways

  • Bearish sentiment: The hosts are bearish on Solana's short-to-medium-term price action, viewing the recent bounce with skepticism.
  • Actionable Insight: Caution is advised for those holding or looking to buy SOL. The hosts suggest it may have further downside.

Perp DEX Sector

  • The "Perp DEX" (Perpetual Decentralized Exchange) narrative is considered a "pretty powerful narrative" that has shown strength even during market downturns.
  • The reason for their strength on red days is that high trading volume generates significant fees, which are then used for token buybacks, creating buying pressure.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPER) and Aevo (AEVO) (referred to as "Aster") were highlighted as the two strongest performers in this sector.
  • Hyperliquid specifically was noted to have dipped below $39, which Mando flagged as a "maybe that's an interesting buy."

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sector Theme: The Perp DEX sector is seen as a resilient and potentially profitable theme, as these platforms benefit from market volatility.
  • Specific Opportunity: Hyperliquid (HYPER) was identified as a potential "buy the dip" opportunity after its price fell to the sub-$39 level. Investors interested in this theme could research HYPER and AEVO.

Monad (MONAD)

  • Monad is a new, high-performance Layer 1 blockchain compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). It has been in development for over three years, focusing on deep technical optimizations.
  • Investment Opportunity: Monad is conducting a public token sale (ICO) on the Coinbase platform. This is a significant event as it is the pilot launch for Coinbase's new token sale platform.
  • Key Sale Feature: The sale uses a "fill from the bottom" algorithm. This method is designed to be highly democratic, favoring smaller investors by ensuring they get their bids filled first before larger "whale" bidders. This promotes a very broad and decentralized token distribution.
  • Ecosystem & Long-Term Vision: The team has a long-term focus. The co-founder mentioned numerous projects building on Monad, including Lumatera, Levered.Bet (sports betting), Drake Exchange (perps), Capricorn (DEX), and Chog NFT.
  • The hosts noted that the project seems like a "long-term cook" rather than a quick flip, given the 3.5-year development cycle and focus on ecosystem growth.

Takeaways

  • Long-Term Investment: Monad is presented as a serious, long-term project, not a short-term trade. Investors should have a long time horizon.
  • Key Entry Point: The Coinbase public sale is a primary opportunity for the public to gain exposure to MONAD. The "fill from the bottom" mechanism is particularly advantageous for retail investors.
  • Ecosystem Watch: Keep an eye on the projects launching on Monad, such as Drake Exchange and Chog NFT, as they could become significant parts of the new ecosystem.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Zcash was discussed in the context of a trading competition.
  • The price had fallen sharply from $740 to $570.
  • The hosts entered a long position at $550 based on a specific technical trading rule: buying when the 1-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) hits 30, which indicates an oversold condition.
  • This is a highly speculative, short-term trade based purely on a technical indicator.

Takeaways

  • Technical Trade: This is an example of a high-risk, short-term "mean reversion" trade. The idea is that an asset that has sold off too quickly is likely to have a brief bounce.
  • Actionable Insight: While not a long-term investment thesis, the "30 RSI" strategy on a high-volatility asset like ZEC was presented as a rule-based method for entering a speculative bounce trade. This is for experienced traders comfortable with high risk.

Rekt (REKT)

  • REKT is a memecoin associated with the podcast hosts that experienced a severe price crash.
  • The crash was caused by a large, leveraged position being liquidated on the DeFi lending platform Morpho. This single event created massive, unexpected selling pressure.
  • The team, including host Mando, actively intervened by providing "bid side liquidity" (i.e., using their own money to buy REKT) to stabilize the price.
  • The team views this event as a positive reset, as the "ticking time bomb" of hidden leverage has been removed. They are now actively working to bring in new, large investors.

Takeaways

  • High-Risk, High-Involvement: This is an extremely high-risk memecoin. The key takeaway is that the core team is highly involved and actively managing crises.
  • Catalyst: The removal of the leveraged seller and the team's renewed push to attract funds could be a "galvanizing" moment for the token. However, this remains a highly speculative asset.

NFTs (CryptoPunks)

  • A significant risk was highlighted for the CryptoPunks NFT collection.
  • A single wallet holds 125 CryptoPunks as collateral for a loan on the platform Gondi (described as the "Morpho of NFTs").
  • There is a risk of a "mega liquidation cascade," where this large position could be force-sold on the market if the value of the collateral drops.
  • This could significantly depress the floor price of CryptoPunks.

Takeaways

  • Bearish Risk Factor: There is a major, specific liquidation risk hanging over the CryptoPunks market.
  • Actionable Insight: Potential buyers should be aware of this risk, as it could lead to much lower prices in the near future. The host even noted that one might be able to get a Punk "for really cheap soon."
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Episode Description
Crypto majors are very red as btc briefly fell below $90k; btc -4% at $91,300; eth -5% at $3,050, bnb -2% at $915, sol -3% at $137. Icp (+9%), aster (+7%) and hype (+5%) led top movers. Crypto fear & greed remained in extreme fear at 11, now in that range for 6 straight days. Bitcoin wiped out its 2025 gains after falling below $92k (briefly sub-$90k), now down 2% on the ytd. The cboe unveiled “continuous” bitcoin and ethereum futures with 10-year terms as a perps-like alternative. The white house is considering to allow the irs to track and tax crypto holdings on foreign exchanges. Vitalik buterin and the ethereum foundation launched kohaku as a new initiative to bake privacy and security into ethereum wallets instead of treating them as add-ons. Trump international maldives announced tokenized real-estate stakes, letting investors buy blockchain-based shares in its 80-villa luxury resort. Hive stock jumped after posting record q2 revenue and landing new ai-infra deals, as investors rotated into miners despite broader crypto weakness. Japan is changing its crypto tax rules, dropping cap gains from 55% to 20%. Coinbase ventures announced an investment in usd ai.
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