This Bitcoin Signal Has NEVER Been Wrong Since 2012! And It’s Flashing Again (Be Ready!)
This Bitcoin Signal Has NEVER Been Wrong Since 2012! And It’s Flashing Again (Be Ready!)
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider Bitcoin (BTC) only conditionally: the longer-term view is bullish, but watch whether it holds its weekly momentum trend line and whether the monthly oscillator improves; $58,000 was cited as a possible cycle bottom, not a confirmed floor.
  • For Ethereum (ETH), monitor $2,100–$2,200 support; if it fails, the discussion flagged $1,700 and $1,500 as possible lower levels, so account for further downside before buying.
  • NIGHT was the host’s preferred speculative altcoin over ONDO, but its 1,000%–2,400% upside scenarios are hypothetical and depend on a future bull cycle; treat it as high risk rather than a forecast.
Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The host discussed the QQE weighted oscillator, a smoothed RSI indicator that a guest said had identified cycle bottoms with a 100% hit rate since 2012. The guest suggested $58,000 was likely the bottom and interpreted a red-to-blue shift as a sign that dips could be accumulation opportunities.
  • The host noted that the indicator was not yet green on the monthly chart. In previous cycles, he observed that Bitcoin sometimes rose during the late-red phase before the indicator turned green; he cautioned that past behavior is not a guarantee it will repeat.
  • The host also pointed to Bitcoin trading between its 20- and 50-month moving averages, which he viewed as a pattern seen before prior upward moves.
  • On the weekly chart, Bitcoin had broken above a momentum trend line and was revisiting it. The host said support there could help sustain upside momentum; if it failed, he would watch for the next higher low in momentum. He also cited a bullish divergence on the weekly chart.

Takeaways

  • The host’s longer-term view is bullish, but he emphasizes that the cycle’s timing is uncertain and that the oscillator may not repeat its historical pattern.
  • For investors following this thesis, the discussion highlights a conditional approach: monitor whether Bitcoin holds the weekly trend line and whether the monthly indicator continues to improve, rather than treating the indicator as a confirmed buy signal.
  • The host described the current period as an opportunity to prepare for a potential bull market, while acknowledging volatility and the possibility of further dips.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The host described Ethereum as nearing the end of a multi-week consolidation and said its price structure could help indicate the direction of altcoins more broadly.
  • He characterized Ethereum as being within a long-term accumulation range and said the recent price action was consistent with the structure he had been tracking.
  • He identified potential support around $2,100–$2,200, near the 20-week moving average. He also discussed a deeper possible pullback toward $1,700 or previous lows around $1,500 if the market weakened further.
  • At the time discussed, Ethereum had found some support near the 50-week moving average, but the host said further declines were possible.

Takeaways

  • The host sees Ethereum’s consolidation as potentially constructive for a future market upswing, but the support levels he cited are areas to watch, not guaranteed floors.
  • The discussion suggests that investors considering ETH or altcoins should account for the possibility of a deeper pullback before any sustained recovery.

Ondo (ONDO)

  • The host said he had accumulated ONDO as exposure to the tokenization theme, but sold his position and planned to move the proceeds into NIGHT.
  • He said ONDO could potentially deliver about 1,000% gains if its market capitalization reached approximately $21 billion. This was presented as a hypothetical comparison, not a price forecast.
  • His reason for selling was portfolio sizing: he felt his ONDO position was too small relative to his other holdings and that he was too late to build it up to the balance he wanted. He also thought the altcoin accumulation window might not last much longer.

Takeaways

  • The host’s decision was based on his own portfolio allocation and timing, not a claim that ONDO’s tokenization thesis had failed; he explicitly said he still considered it a strong play.
  • The cited 1,000% scenario depends on a hypothetical market-cap outcome and should not be treated as a likely return or target.

NIGHT (Midnight)

  • The host said he was moving the proceeds from his ONDO sale into NIGHT, which he believed could outperform ONDO in a future bull cycle.
  • He suggested that a market capitalization of about $12 billion could correspond to roughly 1,000% gains, and that $24 billion was “very strongly in play,” which he associated with about 2,400% gains. These are the host’s hypothetical scenarios.
  • He also said adding to NIGHT could lower his average selling price and give him more flexibility to sell some holdings earlier during a bull move.

Takeaways

  • The host expressed a strongly bullish view of NIGHT relative to ONDO, but the transcript does not provide a detailed fundamental case for that comparison.
  • The market-cap scenarios are highly speculative and depend on a bull cycle occurring; the host also said he does not know when that might happen.

Cardano (ADA)

  • The host mentioned ADA as one of his existing positions and said he had accumulated it over time.
  • He gave no specific price target, timeline, or new recommendation for ADA.

Takeaways

  • ADA was presented as part of the host’s broader crypto portfolio, but the transcript offers no asset-specific thesis beyond his existing exposure.

SWE

  • The host named SWE as one of the altcoin positions he had accumulated and might continue adding to.
  • The transcript does not clarify the asset’s full name or provide a specific investment thesis, target, or timeline.

Takeaways

  • The host included SWE among his preferred holdings for a potential bull cycle, but the discussion does not provide enough detail to assess the asset independently.

DOG

  • The host named DOG as one of his existing altcoin positions and said he might add to it.
  • The transcript does not clarify the asset’s full name or provide a specific investment thesis, target, or timeline.

Takeaways

  • DOG was mentioned as part of the host’s portfolio positioning, but the transcript provides no asset-specific rationale or risk discussion.

Altcoins and Crypto Market

  • The host viewed the broader altcoin market as being in an accumulation phase and said Ethereum’s price structure could offer a roadmap for altcoins.
  • He said he had spent time accumulating several altcoin positions and was preparing for a possible bull cycle, but stressed that he did not know when it would begin.
  • He cited volatility and market headlines as reasons for uncertainty. He also said that if Ethereum’s accumulation range ended, the accumulation opportunity for altcoins such as ONDO might not last much longer.

Takeaways

  • The discussion’s overall stance is bullish over the longer term but uncertain on timing. The host’s approach is to accumulate selectively and plan exits, rather than assume an immediate rally.
  • The transcript supports monitoring Ethereum’s support levels and Bitcoin’s momentum signals, while recognizing that neither technical indicators nor prior cycle patterns guarantee future gains.

Coinbase

  • Coinbase appeared as the podcast sponsor. The host promoted reduced spot-trading fees and account rewards through a referral link.
  • These were promotional offers, not an investment thesis about Coinbase stock.

Takeaways

  • The transcript provides no investment analysis or recommendation regarding Coinbase shares.
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Video Description
Thanks Coinbase for sponsoring this video. Save 80% on spot fees through my link - https://coinbase.com/aff/ccv?s=youtube Is the crypto bull market about to start? The QQE weighted oscillator, a smooth RSI indicator with a near perfect track record on Bitcoin going back to 2012, is leveling out in the same late red zone that marked previous cycle bottoms. In this video I break down that indicator on the Bitcoin (BTC) monthly chart, look at Ethereum (ETH) as the roadmap for altcoins, and explain why I just sold my Ondo (ONDO) position live in Coinbase and rotated it into Midnight (NIGHT). I cover Bitcoin trading between the 20 and 50 month moving averages, the weekly RSI trend line breakout and retest, and the bullish divergence building on the macro weekly chart. On Ethereum, I revisit the accumulation range we've been tracking since late September, the 50 week moving average support, and the election volatility heading into early November. I also walk through my altcoin portfolio (NIGHT, SUI, DOG), why balance matters for my exit plan, and the Night vs Ondo chart, with Night needing far less market cap than Ondo for the same 1,000% move. All of it in the context of the business cycle shifting from contraction into expansion. 📊 CCV Risk Models & Intelligence System — Start your free trial: https://app.cryptocapitalventure.ai/ 📖 CCV Intelligence Research — Subscribe & read free: https://app.cryptocapitalventure.ai/articles 🔗 My Links: ► COINBASE Get up to 250 USDC in rewards through my link! https://coinbase.com/aff/ccv?s=youtube ► Get the risk models I use to track accumulation and exit zones. Free trial 👉 https://app.cryptocapitalventure.ai Charts I use are TradingView: Pick up a paid plan, you get up to $15 as a bonus! Use my link to sign up: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=114269 🌟 Follow Me On My Socials! 📸 Instagram: instagram.com/dangambardello ⚡ Catch Me On X ⚡ http://x.com/cryptorecruitr This channel focuses on macro crypto analysis, liquidity cycles, and market behavior to help long-term investors understand where we are in the broader financial cycle. I cover Bitcoin, crypto, and altcoins like ethereum, solana, cardano, sui, and more. This content is for patient capital, not short-term speculation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: The above video references an opinion and is for news/information and entertainment purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice, financial advice, or any solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer that you buy or sell any cryptocurrency or securities. Trading in cryptocurrencies and securities is a high risk activity involving risk of loss so please seek a duly licensed professional for investment or financial advice. The information provided on this video should not be used to make any investment or financial decisions without consulting your financial or investment advisor. This video contains my opinion only and is not intended to cause harm or defame anyone or any entity.
About Crypto Capital Venture
Crypto Capital Venture

Crypto Capital Venture

By @cryptocapitalventure

This channel focuses on cryptocurrency and traditional finance macro analysis, liquidity cycles, and market behavior to help ...