This Indicator Has Only Flashed 3 Times In 12 Years! (Its Never Been Wrong)
This Indicator Has Only Flashed 3 Times In 12 Years! (Its Never Been Wrong)
45 days ago•Crypto Banter•@cryptobantergroup
YouTube22 min 49 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Current technical indicators and historical 1,400-day cycle patterns suggest Bitcoin (BTC) is in a "AAA-grade" accumulation zone, with a projected cycle peak between $200,000 and $300,000. Investors should look to build positions now while BTC holds the critical 50-month moving average support, as a major breakout is anticipated within the next 45 days. For a diversified approach, focus on high-quality sectors like Artificial Intelligence (AI), Real World Assets (RWA), and Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs), while limiting high-risk Meme coins to just 2-3% of your total portfolio. Monitor the $72,000 to $74,000 price range for BTC; a sustained move above this level confirms the start of the next major bull leg. Use periods of "extreme fear" and retail capitulation as contrarian buy signals, as institutional "smart money" continues to accumulate assets during these choppy market phases.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Historical Bottom Signal: A massive high-timeframe signal has flashed only three times in the last 12 years, marking the cycle bottom every single time.
  • Time-Based Cycles: Historically, Bitcoin bottoms occur around 1,400 days into a cycle. Currently, the market is at day 1,370, suggesting the "crunch point" for a bottom is within the next 30 days.
  • RSI Indicator: The Monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the low 40% range (specifically 42-45%), which has historically coincided with price bottoms ($200 in 2015, $3,000 in 2018, and $16,000 in 2022).
  • Diminishing Returns: While bullish, the speaker notes cycles are getting smaller. Previous gains were 100x, then 20x, then 10x. The expectation for the next cycle is a 5x return, placing price targets between $200,000 and $300,000.
  • Moving Averages: Bitcoin is currently sitting at the 50-month moving average, a critical support level that has historically acted as a launchpad for new bull runs.
  • Short-Term Levels:
    • Resistance: $66,000 (Major), $72,000–$74,000 (Breakout zone).
    • Support: $58,000–$60,000 (Primary), with a potential "flush out" zone at $48,000–$52,000 if support fails.

Takeaways

  • Accumulation Phase: The current "boring" and "choppy" market is identified as a AAA-grade entry point based on monthly oversold signals.
  • Patience is Key: The difference between entering now versus two months late could be the difference between a 700% gain and a 400% gain.
  • Timeframe for Breakout: Expect a real breakout within the next 45 days, provided Bitcoin can reclaim and hold levels above $72,000.

Altcoins & Market Sectors

  • Total Market Cap: The total crypto market cap is showing the same RSI bottoming pattern as Bitcoin, currently sitting around $2.18 trillion with room to grow toward the $4 trillion previous highs.
  • Shift in Quality: The speaker warns that the "altcoin market has changed." While memes still exist, the focus is shifting toward projects with institutional appeal and real-world utility.
  • Key Themes for the Next Cycle:
    • AI (Artificial Intelligence)
    • RWA (Real World Assets)
    • Decentralized Trading / DEXs (Example mentioned: Hyperliquid)
    • Privacy Tokens (Example mentioned: ZCash / ZEC)

Takeaways

  • The "Moderation" Strategy: Use a balanced portfolio approach. Treat USDT as water (safety), Bitcoin as beer (staple), and Memes as tequila (high risk). Limit high-risk meme exposure to 2-3% of the portfolio to survive the full cycle.
  • Watch the Trendline: Monitor the daily trendline on the altcoin total market cap chart; a breakout here marks the ideal entry for a diversified altcoin basket.

Sentiment and Macro Indicators

  • Fear & Greed Index: The market has recently seen "fear spikes" hitting levels as low as 10-23. Historically, sitting in extreme fear for extended periods only happens at cycle bottoms.
  • Smart Money Accumulation: While retail investors are "flushing out" and returning to the safety of traditional jobs, the largest wallets (whales) have been accumulating aggressively throughout 2024.
  • USDT Dominance: USDT dominance is currently high, meaning many investors are sitting in cash. This represents "dry powder" that will eventually flow back into assets, driving prices up.

Takeaways

  • Contrarian Investing: The high level of retail fear and "time capitulation" (boredom) is a signal to stay in the market rather than exit.
  • Institutional Readiness: The entry of traditional finance and the need for "serious" crypto ecosystems suggest the next leg up will be driven by professional capital.

Mentioned Investment Opportunities

  • Prop Trading: Mention of BitFunded for traders to access larger capital ($5,000+ accounts) with small entry fees ($49) to manage risk during volatile periods.
  • Exchanges: Bybit is noted for its return to the European market (Bybit EU), suggesting increased liquidity and accessibility for European investors.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Video Description
This indicator has flashed just three times in the last 12 years, and every previous signal was followed by a major move in the market. In this video, Sheldon breaks down what this rare indicator measures, why it has been so accurate in the past, and whether it's flashing another major opportunity today. You'll see how the current setup compares to the previous three signals and what happened after each one. Is this the start of Bitcoin's next big rally, or is the market setting a trap? Watch until the end to see why Sheldon believes this could be one of the most important signals of the cycle. _______________________ 📺 𝗦𝗛𝗘𝗟𝗗𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗡𝗜𝗣𝗘𝗥 - 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗧𝘂𝗯𝗲 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹! 👉 https://www.youtube.com/@officialsnipertrading 🎯 𝗦𝗡𝗜𝗣𝗘𝗥 𝗖𝗟𝗨𝗕 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗿! 𝗪𝗶𝗻 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆, 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗟𝘂𝗰𝗸! 👉 𝗕𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗮 𝗦𝗻𝗶𝗽𝗲𝗿: https://sniperclub.net/JoinSniperTradingYT 🚀 𝗨𝗟𝗧𝗥𝗔 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗗𝗘𝗥 - 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗳𝘂𝗹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿! 👉 https://bit.ly/ultra-trader-sheldon ________________________ 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗗𝗘 𝗪𝗛𝗘𝗥𝗘 𝗦𝗛𝗘𝗟𝗗𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗗𝗘𝗦! ⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇ 🟦 𝗕𝗬𝗕𝗜𝗧 - 𝗚𝗿𝗮𝗯 𝗮 $𝟱𝟬 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻-𝗨𝗽 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀 + 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗻 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟯𝟬,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗶𝗻 𝗗𝗲𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀𝗲𝘀!! 👉 Sign up: https://bit.ly/bybit-sheldon 🇪🇺 𝗕𝗬𝗕𝗜𝗧 𝗘𝗨 - 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗙𝘂𝗻𝗱𝘀, 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗥𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗱 + 𝗮 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗪𝗜𝗡 €𝟭𝟬𝟬𝟬!!! 🎁 5 Random Users will WIN €1000 if they sign up between Now and 5th July! 👉 𝗝𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲: https://partner.bybit.eu/b/sheldoneu 🚨 𝗕𝗜𝗧𝗙𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 - 𝟱𝟬% 𝗢𝗙𝗙 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗙𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗻𝗴𝗲!! 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿!! 🎁 Only 1,000 accounts available! First come, first served! 👉 𝗖𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺 𝟱𝟬% 𝗢𝗙𝗙: https://sheldonxbitfunded.com 🏎️ 𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗫 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗪𝗜𝗡 𝗙𝟭 𝗥𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝘀!!! 1️⃣ 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻 𝘂𝗽: https://bit.ly/WEEX-F1-Spin 2️⃣ Spin the Wheel for a chance to WIN BIG rewards 🏆 PLUS claim $10,000+ in Welcome Rewards! 🟧 𝗕𝗟𝗢𝗙𝗜𝗡 – 𝗖𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺 𝗮 𝗛𝗨𝗚𝗘 $𝟭,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗗𝗲𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀!!! ➡️ Sign up and make a deposit to get a $1,000 Futures Bonus! ➡️ You can also trade the smaller vouchers on leverage for a $1,000 Position! 👉 No KYC! Sign up: https://blofin.com/invite/Sheldon 🟪 𝗧𝗫𝗙𝗟𝗢𝗪 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 & 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗻 𝗪𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗹𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗔𝗹𝗹 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗛𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗻𝘀! 🚨Get an EXCLUSIVE 5% Off Your Trading Fees when using the code below 1️⃣ Connect your wallet: https://bit.ly/TXFlow-Sheldon 2️⃣ Use code TXSHELDON to get 5% off trading fees 🟩 𝗩𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡𝗔𝗟 𝗢𝗠𝗡𝗜 - 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗥𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲! 🔥 Trade with Zero Fees + Get a Banter Exclusive 15% Points Boost! Follow these steps: 1️⃣ Connect your wallet: https://omni.variational.io 2️⃣ Once your wallet is connected, use code: OMNISNIPER 🚨 Note: If you don’t use the code above, you won’t get the 15% Points Boost! 📊 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗘𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿: https://variational-ev.vercel.app/ ________________________ 📈 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚𝗩𝗜𝗘𝗪 — 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝗔𝗹𝗹 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀! 👉 https://bit.ly/TradingView-Shedon ________________________ 𝗙𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗢𝗪 𝗦𝗛𝗘𝗟𝗗𝗢𝗡! ⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇ 👉 𝗫: https://x.com/Sheldino_D 👉 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺: https://bit.ly/sniper-insta 👉 𝗔𝗹𝗹 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹𝘀: https://linktr.ee/sheldon_the_sniper ________________________ 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗖𝗥𝗬𝗣𝗧𝗢 𝗡𝗘𝗪𝗦𝗟𝗘𝗧𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗦 ⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇ 📬 𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗖𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗹𝗲: https://bit.ly/Daily-Candle-Sheldon 📬 𝗚𝗼𝗼𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼: https://bit.ly/GM-Crypto-Shedlon __________________ 👁️‍🗨️ 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗯𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗱𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁: 👉 https://www.cryptobanter.com/our-ethics/ We take our code of ethics very seriously and have engaged @zachxbt (https://twitter.com/zachxbt) to monitor our progress. If you feel we’re not living up to it and have hard evidence please mail ZachXBT directly at reportcb@protonmail.com (mailto:reportcb@protonmail.com) ⚠️ 𝗕𝗘𝗪𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗢𝗙 𝗦𝗖𝗔𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗜𝗡 𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗦 𝗔𝗡𝗗 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗧𝗬 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟𝗦 ________________________ Crypto Banter is a live-streaming channel that brings you the hottest crypto news, market updates, and fundamentals of digital assets. Join the fastest-growing crypto trading community to get notified on the most profitable trades and the latest crypto market updates & news!! 📝 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗿: Crypto Banter is a social podcast for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed by the hosts, guests, and callers should not be construed as financial advice. Views expressed by guests and hosts do not reflect the views of the station. Listeners are encouraged to do their own research. #BitcoinSignal #BitcoinCycle #TradingBitcoin #TradingAltcoins #CryptoTrading #Sheldon ⏱ 𝗧𝗶𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗺𝗽𝘀: 00:00 Bitcoin Bottom MASSIVE Signal Has Started Flashing 00:43 How to Prepare for the Next Crypto Bull Market - Bitcoin Cycle History Explained 03:43 Relative Strength Index Explained - BTC RSI Analysis 05:40 50 Day Moving Average Explained - Is this Time Different? 09:03 Fear and Greed Index Compared to Previous Bitcoin Cycles 14:29 Short Term Bitcoin Analysis - If in Doubt Zoom Out 15:06 USDT Dominance Analysis - USDT.D 18:54 Short Term Bitcoin Levels to Watch - BTC Resistance, When Bitcoin Breakout? 🎬 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗦𝗵𝗲𝗹𝗱𝗼𝗻'𝘀 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗟𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗼𝗻𝘀: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGBLIYXXoOA&list=PLmOv2_vzOoGcTirwpJoyhGrYRnv1CRyIa
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