These Trades Have Been Flying! [This Is The Next One]
These Trades Have Been Flying! [This Is The Next One]
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Quick Insights

Maintain long exposure on NVIDIA (NVDA) into earnings with trailing stops, looking to reload near $200 support, while buying Microsoft (MSFT) on pullbacks holding above $460. Protect open Nasdaq (QQQ) long positions with tight stops, preparing to re-enter if price drops to the 685–690 zone. Hold off on buying Bitcoin (BTC) at its current $78,800 resistance and instead wait for a confirmed breakout or bid the dip in the low $70,000s. Target fresh crypto setups by placing limit orders for Morpho (MORPHO) near $2.41 or accumulating Solana (SOL) if it retraces toward $80–$90. In commodities, ride the upward trend in Copper while keeping a protective stop-loss trailing directly below the $6.259 level.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin is facing heavy technical resistance near its 50-week moving average and the anchored VWAP from all-time highs around $78,800.
    • A TD Sequential 9 sell signal has flashed on the daily chart, pointing to a potential one-to-four candle pause or a deeper corrective pullback.
    • Significant leveraged long positions have built up, increasing the risk of sudden liquidation flushes if support fails.
    • A hold above $76,000 would maintain a bullish consolidation structure (bull flag).
    • If a deeper correction occurs, strong buy-the-dip support aligns with the 200 EMA and the 0.382–0.50 Fibonacci retracement levels in the low $70,000s.
    • Critical short-term invalidation for aggressive long trades is marked at $75,300.

Takeaways

  • Protect existing long positions by tightening stop-losses and keeping leverage low.
  • Avoid aggressive new long entries at current resistance levels; wait for a confirmed breakout above $78,800 or look to bid in the low $70,000s during a pullback.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA remains an active high-beta long trade with an entry around $211, moving in close correlation with broad market indices.
    • Immediate upside targets include a retest of prior swing highs, driven by upcoming earnings.
    • Major downside support sits around the $200 region should the stock experience pre- or post-earnings volatility.

Takeaways

  • Trail stop-losses tightly beneath recent candle lows to protect capital heading into earnings.
  • If stopped out, look for secondary long re-entry opportunities around the $200 support level.

Nasdaq (QQQ / NDX)

  • The index is currently in an active long setup positioned closely around the entry zone.
    • The trade is operating with a tight stop-loss of roughly 1.27% drawdown to minimize risk against broader market chop.
    • If the tight stop is hit, the broader structural buy zone remains further down between 685 and 690.

Takeaways

  • Maintain tight risk management on open index longs.
  • Prepare to re-enter long positions between 685 and 690 if the market experiences a deeper short-term drop.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana continues to respect higher highs and higher lows on the hourly timeframe.
    • Existing long positions have had their stop-losses moved to break-even to eliminate downside risk.
    • A break of current lows would signal significant weakness, while an ideal healthy pullback would target the $80 to $90 support area.

Takeaways

  • Hold original long positions with stops at break-even.
  • Look to add or open fresh spot/swing positions if price pulls back to the $80–$90 high-low region.

TRON (TRX)

  • TRON has shown strong underlying fundamental metrics, reaching 400 million users in 8.16 years—outpacing both Bitcoin and Ethereum in user adoption speed.
    • The token is displaying notable relative price strength compared to the broader altcoin market.
    • Active long trades have entries around $3.337, with initial trade stops moved to break-even.

Takeaways

  • Hold long exposure with raised stop-losses near the original trade entries.
  • Use any short-term dips toward key support levels as secondary entry opportunities given the asset's relative strength.

Morpho (MORPHO)

  • Morpho is identified as a top watch candidate for new crypto setups as it rounds out a potential base above strong horizontal support.
    • Long entries have not yet triggered; confirmation requires a breakout above its descending trendline.
    • Alternatively, a pullback into the Fibonacci golden pocket around $2.41 presents a high-reward entry point.
    • A break below key horizontal support would represent a bearish deviation back toward the mid-range.

Takeaways

  • Wait for a confirmed hourly breakout above the downward trendline before entering long, or set limit orders around $2.41.
  • Place a strict stop-loss directly below the horizontal support box to protect against failed breakouts.

Lighter & Astar (ASTR)

  • Lighter formed a cup-and-handle pattern but shows hourly signs of needing a 15% pullback toward its $2.80 breakout retest zone.
  • Astar (ASTR) is undergoing long-term consolidation on the daily chart, showing signs of seller exhaustion that typically precede an explosive upside expansion.

Takeaways

  • Avoid chasing Lighter at current levels; wait for a retracement toward $2.80 to enter.
  • Add ASTR to watchlists for early upside breakout signals following its extended base-building phase.

Big Tech Equities (AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, TSLA)

  • Apple (AAPL): Continues to consolidate near its entry level; the setup remains valid while giving it room to develop.
  • Alphabet (GOOGL): Gaining upward momentum, requiring sustained daily closes above $350 to unlock higher profit targets.
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Displayed a strong upward impulse; consolidating above $460 will flip prior resistance into solid support.
  • Tesla (TSLA): Lagging behind the broader "Magnificent 7" group, facing heavy resistance near its gap-fill zone up to $383.

Takeaways

  • Allow AAPL and GOOGL swing longs time to hit higher targets, monitoring for $350+ closes on Google.
  • Look to buy MSFT on consolidations that hold above $460.
  • Exercise caution with TSLA, as upside is heavily constrained near $383.

Commodities & Metals (Copper, Gold)

  • Copper: Demonstrating persistent relative strength in a clean uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. Key structural invalidation sits at $6.259.
  • Gold: Approaching overhead resistance around the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the golden pocket just below $5,000, likely requiring a period of ranging before continuing higher.

Takeaways

  • Ride the bullish trend on Copper with a stop-loss trailing below the $6.259 swing low.
  • Anticipate short-term consolidation in Gold near major resistance before adding new swing positions.
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Video Description
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