Anticipate a short-term pullback on Bitcoin (BTC) to the $63,300–$64,300 range before scaling into a long position targeting $66,900, with a strict invalidation on a 4-hour close below $63,600. Consider a short position on Ripple (XRP) if it rallies into the $1.04–$1.055 resistance zone, while watching the psychological $1 level to hold. Long-term bulls on Lighter can look to scalp a short-term intraday pullback by entering shorts between $2.44 and $2.48, targeting a drop to support at $2.12. Monitor Convex (CVX) and Curve DAO (CRV) for high-volatility long entries following dips into major support regions around $1.43–$1.46 and $2.129–$2.266, respectively. Traders seeking short setups can also target Dogecoin (DOGE) near $0.714 if current upward momentum stalls at resistance.

Bitcoin (BTC)

• The podcaster is currently short on Bitcoin on a higher time frame and expects a price drop before finding a good long entry.
• The analyst anticipates a pullback for Bitcoin down to around $64,364 (or specifically $63,300 to $64,300), with a goal to sweep liquidity from current long positions before moving higher.
• Long trade plan details:
  • Green entry box/limit orders in the $63,300 to $64,300 range.
  • Invalidation (stop condition): A 4-hour close below $63,600 (or $63,500 area) invalidates the long trade.
  • Full Take Profit (TP): Around $66,800 to $66,900.
• Risk Management: Emphasizes trading with a stop loss to avoid account liquidation, even if managing manual closes on 4-hour closes.

Takeaways

• Look for potential short-term downside toward the mid-$64,000s for a better risk-reward entry to go long.
• Watch for a 4-hour candle close below $63,600 as a strict signal that the bullish bounce thesis is invalidated.

Ethereum (ETH)

• Ethereum has been showing relative strength compared to Bitcoin, so the podcaster is not currently positioned short on ETH despite expecting a possible local drop.
• Expects a potential range-bound retest or drop back down to last weekend's accumulation area ($1,855 to $1,826).
• Long trade plan details:
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close below $1,814 to $1,815.
  • Target: Previous resistance around $1,922.

Takeaways

• Exercise caution on shorting Ethereum due to its relative strength, but monitor the $1,826 to $1,855 support zone for potential long entries if volume picks up.

Solana (SOL)

• The podcaster holds a long position from lower levels but is also currently taking a short position on Solana due to observed weakness on higher time frames.
• Expects a drop to support levels around $71.99 to $72.90.
• Short trade plan details:
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close above $71.55 invalidates the short setup.
  • Target/Support level: A drop to roughly $67 if lower supports fail.

Takeaways

• Treat SOL with caution as mixed signals (long-term bullish vs. short-term weakness) suggest waiting for a clear retest of support around $72 before entering new long positions.

Ripple (XRP)

• The podcaster identifies as a big XRP fan, but is looking to short the asset due to recent weakness and delays surrounding the Clarity Act.
• Expected price action: A potential move higher into a resistance zone between $1.04 and $1.055, followed by a shorting opportunity.
• Short trade plan details:
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close above $1.064 breaks market structure and ruins the short setup.
  • Target: Expects the $1 psychological level to hold, though a brief flush below $1 is possible to clear out late longs.

Takeaways

• Wait for a push toward the $1.04 to $1.055 resistance area before considering short entries, keeping a tight eye on whether the $1 support holds.

Lighter

• The podcaster is very bullish long-term on Lighter (citing a massive cup-and-handle pattern and early investor backing from Fed official Kevin Walsh), but is looking to scalp a short-term intraday pullback.
• Short trade plan details:
  • Entry area: Between $2.44 and $2.48 (an area of previous rejections).
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close above $2.54 to $2.545.
  • Target: Support at $2.12.

Takeaways

• Long-term investors can remain bullish, but short-term traders can watch the $2.44–$2.48 resistance zone for potential intraday short scalps.

Oil (Commodities)

• The podcaster previously opened a long position on oil, currently sitting around break-even.
• Price outlook: Expects oil to potentially test resistance around $78 to $79 before pulling back down toward $74.

Takeaways

• Plan to close current long positions if oil reaches the $78–$79 resistance band, and reassess for potential downside toward $74.

Convex (CVX)

• Highlighted as a favorite altcoin for scalping due to high volatility and accumulation signs alongside CRV.
• Long trade plan details:
  • Expected drop to test major support around $1.436.
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close below $1.46.
  • Target: Higher levels mapped as the final TP.

Takeaways

• Monitor Convex for a dip into the $1.43–$1.46 support region to look for high-volatility long setup entries.

Cardano (ADA)

• The podcaster holds ADA but expresses skepticism regarding its recent unprompted pump, categorizing it potentially as an "exit pump."
• Trading plan: Not personally taking the trade, but notes that if one were to long, support sits around $1.96 to $1.99, with a strict 4-hour close invalidation below $1.944.

Takeaways

• Exercise caution with sudden, fundamental-free altcoin pumps ("exit pumps"); wait for verified support retests before committing capital.

Curve DAO (CRV)

• Showing accumulation signs similar to Convex, with potential for large pumps ahead.
• Long trade plan details:
  • Look for long opportunities on a dip into the support range between $2.129 and $2.266.
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close below the local cluster.

Takeaways

• Keep CRV on a watchlist alongside Convex to capitalize on potential strong upward momentum following support retests.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

• The podcaster views Dogecoin as a short candidate rather than a long at current levels.
• Short trade plan details:
  • Entry zone: Around $0.714.
  • Invalidation: A 4-hour close above local resistance to protect against structural market shifts.

Takeaways

• Look for shorting opportunities near $0.714 if price action stalls at resistance.

Space Hype (HYPE)

• Featured as a live weekend scalp idea during the stream.
• Scalp trade details:
  • Entry executed around $54.59.
  • Invalidation (Stop Loss): A 5-minute close below $54.29.
  • Target: Immediate resistance levels around $54.96 up to $55.

Takeaways

• Weekend scalps require strict risk management and tight stop losses due to low overall market volume.