Consider buying Ethereum (ETH) on a pullback to the high-conviction support zone between $3,700 and $3,850 for a potential swing trade. For Solana (SOL), a strong buy-the-dip opportunity exists in the $168 to $171 range, targeting a move towards the $220 region. While the long-term trend for Chainlink (LINK) is bullish, look for a high-conviction entry around $19.90 rather than buying into the current $23 resistance. In traditional stocks, Apple (AAPL) has turned bullish, presenting a potential entry near the $216 support level with upside targets of $240 and higher. Be mindful of potential market volatility this week due to upcoming CPI and PPI data releases.

General Market & Economic Outlook

• The overall market sentiment is described as bullish, supported by several factors:
  • An executive order is expected to open the $12.5 trillion 401k retirement market to crypto investments.
  • 82% of S&P 500 companies beat their quarterly earnings estimates.
  • The S&P 500 continues to be a "freight train," though the speaker is watching for a potential dip. The most reasonable support zone for the S&P is $6,050.
• Upcoming Events to Watch:
  • CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) data releases on Tuesday and Thursday could cause market volatility.
  • Five Fed speaker events are scheduled for the week.
• Gold has broken its all-time high futures price, driven by news of a 39% tariff on 1kg gold bars.

Takeaways

• The macro environment appears favorable for risk assets like crypto and stocks, but be prepared for volatility around the CPI and PPI data releases this week.
• The potential influx of 401k money into crypto is a significant long-term bullish catalyst.

Bitcoin (BTC)

• BTC experienced a rejection at the $118,900 level, which is described as a "typical 618 macro rejection."
• The daily chart is now considered bullish after breaking through key daily resistance (now support at $115,000 - $116,000), a long-term downtrend line, and the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) from the all-time high.
• Key Resistance: The next major resistance zone is around $120,000, with a liquidation heat map showing significant interest up to $121,000. This is described as an "easy grab" for market makers.
• Key Support:
  • First level of interest for a bounce is $117,400.
  • The CME gap from Friday is at $117,200, a typical area for the price to revisit.
  • A stronger support zone with multiple confluences (VWAP and Fibonacci) is at $116,300. The speaker notes they don't want to see the price go much lower than this, as it would be very negative for altcoins.

Takeaways

• The trend for Bitcoin has shifted to bullish on the daily timeframe.
• Be cautious of a potential sharp rejection or "fake out" pump to the $120,000 - $121,000 resistance area.
• For those looking to buy, pullbacks to support levels could present opportunities. The $117,200 - $117,400 area is the first zone to watch for a bounce, with a stronger buy zone identified at $116,300.

Altcoin Market & "Altseason"

• The speaker questions whether it is truly "altseason" yet, citing charts and analysts like Ben Cowan who suggest it is not. Cowan notes that altcoins are still down 47% against ETH since April.
• Retail investor interest is still considered "ice cold," which suggests the market is not yet at a top and that early investors can use future retail inflows as "exit liquidity."
• The RSI Heatmap shows some coins are heavily overbought and in a "high danger zone" for new longs, including Lido (LDO), Aero, and Mover.
• Other coins are in a "strong zone" with bullish momentum but are not yet overcooked, such as Aave (AAVE), Optimism (OP), Tao (TAO), Pengu (PENGU), and Sushi (SUSHI).
• Bitcoin Dominance is a critical chart to watch. It has broken major support (bullish for altcoins) but is now trying to push back up. If it reclaims its prior support, it will put pressure on altcoins.

Takeaways

• While many altcoins have pumped, the real, retail-driven "altseason" may not have started, implying more upside could be ahead.
• Be selective with your altcoin choices. Avoid chasing coins that are already extremely overbought.
• Monitor the Bitcoin Dominance chart. If it gets rejected from the 61.3% - 61.5% resistance area, it could signal a great time to buy altcoins.

Ethereum (ETH)

• ETH has had a major breakout, breaking through the $4,020 resistance level on its fifth attempt.
• Prominent trader Arthur Hayes was noted to have sold $8 million of ETH a week ago around $3,500, only to panic-buy $5.2 million back near the recent top.
• The next major resistance and a likely "monster rejection" zone is the previous all-time high area of $4,600 to $4,800.
• A pullback to retest the breakout is considered possible, which could bring the price down to the $3,600 - $3,700 support zone on the weekly chart.

Takeaways

• ETH is in a strong uptrend but is approaching significant historical resistance.
• A high-conviction buy zone on a dip is identified between $3,700 and $3,850. This is presented as an ideal entry for a swing trade.
• For more aggressive, short-term traders, a potential bounce could be played off the $4,100 level.
• Consider taking profits or exercising caution as the price approaches the $4,600 - $4,800 resistance zone.

Solana (SOL)

• On the higher timeframe (3-day chart), SOL is in a "beautiful rising channel" and looks like it could push higher to the $220 region to print bearish divergence before a larger pullback.
• On the lower timeframe (2-hour chart), a head and shoulders pattern may be forming, which could lead to a short-term dip before the next leg up.
• Jumping into a long position at the current price is considered risky, with the next major support zones being 4% and 6.6% lower.

Takeaways

• The overall bias for SOL is bullish, with a potential target of $220.
• Ideal buy zones for a long position on a dip are:
  • First zone: $174.50 (confluence of VWAP, Fibonacci level, and horizontal support).
  • High-conviction zone: $168 to $171.
• A strategy of "laddering" buys between $174.50 and $170 is suggested to build a position for the next move up.

Chainlink (LINK)

• LINK has started an upward trend, making a new 7-month high after launching its "treasury strategy."
• It is currently approaching a major resistance zone at $23, which is also a macro Fibonacci level, making it a "danger zone" for new long positions.
• A "Golden Cross" (50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day) has occurred, which is a long-term bullish signal, but the speaker warns it doesn't prevent sharp short-term drops.
• Monster support is identified at $20 and $18.

Takeaways

• The long-term trend for LINK has shifted bullish.
• Avoid opening fresh long positions right now as it is heading into major resistance at $23.
• A high-conviction long entry opportunity is identified at $19.90, which aligns with VWAP, horizontal support, and a Fibonacci level.
• A deeper buy zone in a larger market correction would be between $17.70 and $18.40.

Apple (AAPL)

• Apple outperformed the Nasdaq by 10% this week, its largest outperformance in five years.
• This is attributed to the market's relief that Apple "dodged" tariffs by committing $600 billion in investments to the US.
• The stock has broken above its 200-day moving average, a very important indicator that suggests "bulls are back on Apple."

Takeaways

• The sentiment for AAPL is bullish.
• The safest and most reasonable support zone for a potential buy entry is $216. A close below this level would turn the outlook bearish.
• Potential upside targets are $240, $250, and $260.

Coinbase (COIN)

• Coinbase stock is described as a "fun one to get involved in" when the crypto market is ripping.
• The speaker is currently holding a long position.

Takeaways

• If you are bullish on the crypto market, COIN can be a good proxy investment.
• Two potential buy zones were identified for entering a position:
  • Zone 1: $290 to $300.
  • Zone 2 (for a deeper dip): $245 to $265.

Other Altcoins Mentioned

Lido (LDO)

• LDO has been a "star of the show" due to the liquid staking narrative.
• It is currently in the "super danger zone" on the RSI heatmap, meaning it is heavily overbought.
• It is hitting a monster resistance zone between $1.40 and $1.45.
• Takeaway: Be extremely cautious about opening new long positions. This is an area where taking profits or even looking for shorts is more logical. If it breaks through, the next targets are $1.55 and $1.77.

Sui (SUI)

• SUI has bounced into a major resistance level (618 Fibonacci), creating a potential "lower high" in a bearish structure.
• However, the daily chart oscillator suggests it still has legs to push higher, potentially to $4.60.
• Takeaway: A high-confidence buy zone for a bounce is identified between $3.63 and $3.72. A bounce from this zone could be strong, especially if it creates bullish divergence on the chart.

XRP (XRP)

• Similar to SUI, XRP has bounced to a key resistance level (618 Fibonacci) and could be forming a bearish retest before heading lower.
• Major daily resistance is at $3.33.
• Takeaway: A bounce zone was identified between $3.08 and $3.13. The price was reacting to this zone during the show. A drop into $3.11 could create bullish divergence and a strong bounce setup.

Pump.fun (PUMP)

• The speaker is in a long position on PUMP.
• Takeaway: A key bounce zone is identified between $2.92 and $3.07. The price must hold the rising trendline in this area. A close below $2.90 would be a signal to cut the position.

Pendle (PENDLE)

• PENDLE has been a "banger" and is over halfway to its all-time high, suggesting another 30% of potential upside.
• Takeaway: The big support level to watch for a buy-the-dip opportunity is $5.00.

Hype (HYPE)

• HYPE is "finally cooking" after breaking its downtrend and key resistance.
• Takeaway: Major support is now at $42.70. The next upside target is $52. No fresh entries were given, but this is for those already holding.

Hedge Short Opportunities

• The speaker mentioned looking for short positions to hedge against a market dip.
• Popcat (POPCAT): A pump into the $0.35 to $0.36 area would be a "nice hedge short play."
• Rune (RUNE): The speaker is already short. A safe entry for a new short would be on a pump into the $1.44 to $1.47 resistance zone.