When THIS Happens, Bet On These Altcoins First!
When THIS Happens, Bet On These Altcoins First!
178 days agoCrypto Banter
Podcast46 min 58 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider a high-risk trade on Filecoin (FIL) by entering a long position around $2.30 for a potential 10-28% bounce, but use a strict stop-loss if the price closes below $2.28. With the growing privacy narrative, look to enter a long position on Near Protocol (NEAR) within the key support zone of $2.64 to $2.54. In anticipation of its upcoming halving event, watch for a potential major rally in Bittensor (TAO), with a prime dip-buying opportunity identified at the $3.43 level. For Solana (SOL), which is currently showing weakness, watch for potential long entry opportunities on a bounce from the $155 support level. If you missed the initial move on Uniswap (UNI), consider waiting for a price correction into the $8.17 - $7.90 range for a potential new entry.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The price is currently dropping into what the speaker calls a "bull zone" between $103k and $104k. This is an area where a bounce and a new high are typically expected.
  • The speaker has started adding to their BTC long position in this zone.
  • If this support zone fails, the next key levels to watch for a reaction are $102.3k and $101k.
  • A major rejection zone to watch on the upside is between $109.5k and $113k. A strong rejection here could activate a bearish "death cross" scenario.
  • If the death cross plays out, potential downside targets mentioned are $94k and $88k.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment (Short-Term): The current price level is seen as a potential buying opportunity for a bounce.
  • Key Support: Watch the $103k - $104k zone. A bounce here could signal a move to new highs.
  • Risk Management: If BTC fails to hold this zone, the next supports are $102.3k and $101k.
  • Potential Short/Take-Profit Zone: The $109.5k - $113k area is identified as a significant resistance. A failure to break through could be a signal to take profits on longs or consider short positions.

Uniswap (UNI)

  • The token has pumped significantly due to news of a proposed fee switch and buyback mechanism.
  • It's important to note the keyword is "proposed"; it is not yet official, which makes the strong price reaction speculative.
  • The price hit a major macro resistance zone (a confluence of a trendline and a 786 Fibonacci level).
  • The speaker has entered a long position on the breakout, but acknowledges the risk.
  • If the price pulls back, two potential bounce zones for new long entries are identified:
    • First zone: $8.17 down to $7.90
    • Second zone: $7.50 down to $7.20

Takeaways

  • Narrative Driven: The pump is based on a positive but unconfirmed proposal. This adds a layer of risk.
  • Long Entry Zones: For those who missed the initial pump, consider looking for long entries in the $8.17 - $7.90 or $7.50 - $7.20 ranges if the price corrects.
  • Trade Management: For anyone in a breakout long, a candle close below $8.66 or $8.30 is suggested as a potential exit signal to cut losses.

Solana (SOL)

  • SOL is noted as an underperformer today, having been rejected from the $168.5 resistance level.
  • The first major support level to watch for a potential bounce is $155.
  • If $155 does not hold, the next significant support is at $145.
  • The speaker mentioned they have added to their SOL long position, anticipating a bounce from these levels.

Takeaways

  • Bearish (Short-Term): SOL is showing weakness relative to the market after a key rejection.
  • Key Support Levels: Watch $155 as the first potential area for a bounce. If that fails, $145 is the next critical level for buyers to step in.
  • Potential Strategy: Traders could look for long entries around these support levels, but should be cautious given the current weakness.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • A major whale is holding a $194 million long position on ETH with an entry price of $3,468. Their liquidation price is $2,840.
  • The speaker identifies $3,800 as a major "danger zone" and a potential area to take profits on long positions.
  • If Bitcoin gets a second wind and pumps towards its resistance, ETH is expected to target this $3,800 level.

Takeaways

  • Key Resistance/Take-Profit: The $3,800 level is a critical area to watch. It could act as strong resistance and a good place to secure profits on ETH longs.
  • Market Correlation: ETH's move to this target is highly dependent on Bitcoin's price action.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • The speaker is long HYPE from a key entry zone but is frustrated by its lack of performance compared to other similar narrative coins like UNI and PUMP.
  • The entry was based on a confluence of technical indicators (200 EMA, VWAP, 786 Fib).
  • The stop loss for the trade is a candle close below $39.7.
  • If the stop loss is hit, the next potential bounce zone for a long entry is at $39.05.

Takeaways

  • Underperforming: Despite a strong narrative, HYPE is lagging. This could be a warning sign or a delayed reaction.
  • Trade Management: If you are in this trade, the stop loss is a candle close under $39.7.
  • Next Opportunity: If the current trade fails, a potential new long entry could be attempted at $39.05.

Filecoin (FIL)

  • The speaker has started building a long position on FIL as it has dropped into a key support zone around $2.30.
  • This zone is supported by the 200-day moving average, a macro 618 Fibonacci level, and horizontal support.
  • Another buy order is waiting at $2.31 to add to the position on a further dip.
  • The trade is looking for a "dead cat bounce" of 10-28%.
  • CRITICAL RISK: The stop loss is a close under $2.29 - $2.28. A break below this level could lead to a rapid 20% drop towards $1.85. The speaker warns not to "get married to the thing."

Takeaways

  • High-Risk, High-Reward: This is a counter-trend trade looking for a bounce from major support.
  • Entry Zone: The area around $2.30 - $2.31 is the identified buy zone.
  • Strict Stop Loss: An exit plan is crucial. A close below $2.28 should be considered a signal to exit the trade to avoid a significant further drop.

Near Protocol (NEAR)

  • NEAR is part of the current "privacy" narrative that is gaining traction.
  • The speaker has started a long position.
  • A high-confluence support zone for long entries is identified between $2.64 and $2.54.
  • This zone is supported by the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, the VWAP from the lows, and a macro 382 Fibonacci level.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Narrative: The privacy theme could provide a tailwind for NEAR.
  • Key Long Zone: The $2.64 - $2.54 area is a strong technical zone to consider for starting or adding to a long position.

Bittensor (TAO)

  • TAO has an upcoming halving event, which is historically a bullish catalyst.
  • A massive rally is projected leading into the halving, with a potential sell-off one or two days before the event.
  • The coin is currently consolidating in a range, which could be an accumulation phase before a major move.
  • A key level to watch for a potential "shakeout" dip-buy opportunity is $3.43.
  • More immediate, local support levels for smaller trades are $3.68 and $3.63.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Catalyst: The upcoming halving makes TAO a coin to watch closely for a significant rally.
  • Accumulation Phase: The current sideways price action could be an opportunity to build a position before the expected explosion.
  • Key Dip-Buy Zone: A sharp drop to $3.43 would be a prime area to look for a long entry, as it would likely flush out weak hands before the real move.

Other Mentioned Assets & Themes

  • XRP (XRP): The speaker remains short. A strong potential bounce zone for those looking to long XRP is identified between $0.238 and $0.230.
  • Astar (ASTR): The strategy is to long the VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) from the November 4th lows until it breaks. The current VWAP support is at $1.03.
  • Zcash (ZEC): Part of the privacy narrative. The speaker is suspicious the big move may be over. Short-term bounce zones are at $47.9 and $45.1, but these are likely for "dead cat bounces" rather than new highs.
  • Velodrome (VELO): The speaker is watching for a high-risk "shitcoin casino short" trade if the price has a final explosive move into the $0.005861 - $0.0062 zone. This is a very high-risk strategy.
  • Apple (AAPL): If the stock market rolls over, potential buy zones for AAPL were mentioned at $2.60 and $2.52. Note: These prices are highly unusual for Apple's stock and may refer to a derivative or tokenized version on a specific crypto platform.
  • Michael Burry's Shorts: The famous investor is reportedly short Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR), and believes Oracle (ORCL) and Meta (META) are inflating profits. This is a bearish sentiment on these specific large-cap tech stocks.
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR): The speaker is long and needs a general crypto market pump for the trade to be successful, highlighting its high correlation to Bitcoin's price.
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Episode Description
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