WAIT: Most Crypto’s Have Another Leg Down! [My BUY Zones]
WAIT: Most Crypto’s Have Another Leg Down! [My BUY Zones]
211 days agoCrypto Banter
Podcast59 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider scaling into a Bitcoin position between $119,500 and $117,000, which is identified as a major dip-buying opportunity. A good buying opportunity for Ethereum (ETH) is expected on a pullback into the $3,500 to $3,800 zone. Meta (META) presents a long trade opportunity near its current support, targeting $902 with a stop loss around $664. Coinbase (COIN) is breaking out of a very bullish pattern, with upside price targets of $514 and $656. Exercise caution with most altcoins, as rising Bitcoin Dominance suggests Bitcoin may outperform them in the short term.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The speaker notes that many of the downside price targets for Bitcoin have been hit, specifically tagging a key weekly support level around $119,000.
  • The current price action is at a critical point. The key question is whether bulls can push the price higher to close the weekly candle in the green.
  • Bearish Signal: A red daily candle close today would mark three consecutive down days, which often signals the start of a short-term correction. This would be amplified by recent large ETF inflows, which historically tend to mark local tops.
  • Bullish Signal: For the bullish case to play out, Bitcoin needs to rally today or over the weekend and close the week strong. This would defy the negative signal from the ETF inflows.
  • The overall bias remains bullish, with the expectation that Bitcoin will form a higher low.

Takeaways

  • Buy Zone: A "major buy the dip opportunity" is identified in the zone between $119,500 and $117,000. A move into this area would test a key fair value gap and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
  • Strategy: The speaker suggests a "scaling in" strategy for buying in this zone. This means buying smaller amounts near the top of the zone and progressively larger amounts as the price gets closer to the invalidation level. A key level of confluence within this zone is $116,575.
  • Altcoin Impact: Bitcoin Dominance (the measure of Bitcoin's market cap relative to the total crypto market) is expected to continue rising to 61.61%. This suggests that Bitcoin may outperform altcoins in the short term, and altcoins could see further price drops.

Altcoins (General)

  • The general sentiment for altcoins is bearish in the short term. They are described as looking "worse for wear" and could "potentially go lower" even if Bitcoin recovers.
  • The Total2 chart (total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin) is approaching a major resistance zone that is about 28-29% higher than current levels. This area is identified as a potential place to take profits.
  • The Total3 chart (total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) is showing a bullish "cup and handle" pattern, but it also faces a significant resistance level about 30% higher. A pullback or pause is expected at that level.

Takeaways

  • Caution Advised: The speaker believes altcoins have more downside risk compared to Bitcoin right now due to rising Bitcoin Dominance.
  • Profit-Taking Levels: If the altcoin market rallies, be aware of the major resistance zones on the Total2 and Total3 charts, which are approximately 28-30% higher. These could be good areas to consider taking some profits.
  • Strategy: The suggested plan is to play a potential 30% move up, take profits at the resistance zone, and then re-evaluate the market structure to see if another leg up is likely.

Stocks & Equities

Gold

  • Gold is in a "parabolic" uptrend, though it has experienced a small pullback.
  • The speaker advises against shorting Gold while it's in price discovery (making new all-time highs), calling it a "very dangerous environment."
  • A stop loss for a long position was mentioned at $3,609.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish. The trend is strong.
  • Risk: A significant "flush" or sell-off could pull the price down to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Shorting is considered high-risk until a clear trend breakdown is confirmed.

Silver

  • Silver has officially broken out to new all-time highs.
  • The speaker is cautious and would not enter a new long position here due to the risk of a "swing failure pattern" (where price breaks a high and then quickly reverses).
  • A deep pullback could present a buying opportunity around the $43,804 level.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Cautiously bullish. While the breakout is positive, the immediate risk of a reversal is high.
  • Strategy: Avoid chasing the price here. Wait for either a period of sideways consolidation or a deep pullback to the identified support level before considering a long trade.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The speaker is in a long trade on NVIDIA, which is currently breaking out.
  • The expectation is for an accelerated move higher.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Price Target: A price target of $211 was mentioned.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The price action for Tesla is viewed constructively.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Strategy: Any pullback or consolidation that holds above the $410 level is seen as a potential opportunity to enter a long position.

Meta (META)

  • Meta has pulled back to its 200-day moving average, which is seen as a key support area.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish opportunity.
  • Strategy: This area is described as a "nice invalidation zone" for a long trade. One could enter a long position here with a stop loss around $664.
  • Price Target: The upside target is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at $902.

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • MicroStrategy is often viewed as a leading indicator or "omen" for Bitcoin.
  • Its current price action is showing signs of distribution (heavy selling by large players), similar to what happened in 2021 before a market downturn. This is seen as a warning sign that we may be "late in the cycle."

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish / Cautionary.
  • Key Level: The $300 mark is a critical support level. A break below this would be a "highly risky" signal for both MSTR and potentially the broader crypto market.

Coinbase (COIN)

  • Coinbase is breaking out of a large "cup and handle" formation, which is a very bullish pattern.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Price Targets: The pattern suggests much higher price targets for COIN, first at $514 and then $656.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The price action is described as "super bullish" and is "trading like an altcoin" from the bull markets of 2017 and 2021.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Strategy: The expectation is for the price to continue going "higher and higher." A stop loss could be placed below the key level of $140.

Specific Cryptocurrencies & Opportunities

Airdrop Farming on Gravity

  • A new airdrop farming opportunity was highlighted on Gravity, a trading platform built on the ZK Sync Layer 2 network.
  • This is presented as a low-risk way to gain exposure to a potential new token. By trading on the platform, users earn points that are expected to convert into a token airdrop in the future.
  • The opportunity is compared to previous successful airdrop farms like Hyperliquid, Aster, and Lighter.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: For those interested in airdrops, the speaker suggests using the Gravity platform to trade. Being an early user may result in a "multiplier effect," leading to a larger airdrop allocation. The speaker is personally participating with a $1,000 deposit.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The ETH/BTC trading pair is expected to drop to a level of 0.03188, which is identified as a "very good buying opportunity" to gain exposure to Ethereum relative to Bitcoin.
  • If Ethereum performs well, Layer 2 projects built on it (like ZK Sync) are expected to benefit.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish on a pullback.
  • Buy Zone: A good area to consider buying ETH is between $3,500 and $3,800.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Zcash has seen big moves upward, driven by the "privacy coin" narrative.
  • However, the speaker believes it has "run too much" and looks like it's forming a "major top."

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish at current prices.
  • Strategy: Avoid buying ZEC at these levels. A much deeper pullback would be required to offer a good risk/reward entry.

Aster (ASTER)

  • Aster is getting "absolutely pummeled" after its initial launch pump.
  • The speaker notes that new coins often pull back 60% to 70% from their all-time highs.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish in the short term, but looking for a bottom.
  • Buy Zones: Potential areas of interest for a bounce are:
    • 60% pullback: Just under $1.00
    • 70% pullback: Around $0.72
  • Strategy: Do not blindly buy at these levels. Wait for the price to show signs of strength and stabilization before entering a trade.

SUI

  • SUI was rejected from a significant high-timeframe resistance level (50% level). This is a bearish sign.
  • While it's currently at a support level, the rejection from the higher resistance carries more weight.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Neutral to Bearish.
  • Strategy: No trade is recommended right now. The speaker is waiting to see strength develop and for the price to reclaim the 50% level before considering a long position.

Sonic

  • Sonic looks "ugly" and "rejective" after breaking a key support level and flipping it into resistance.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish.
  • Price Target: The next likely support level is the "range quarterly" at $0.24.

ENA

  • ENA "does not look good" as it is losing its mid-range support level.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish.
  • Price Target: The next likely support and bounce zone is at $0.38.

Useless

  • This coin has performed exceptionally well, running 119% from the speaker's initial entry.
  • The current price is considered a "good profit-taking zone."

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish long-term, but a pullback is expected.
  • Strategy: For those who missed the initial move, a potential re-entry or accumulation zone is identified between $0.24 and $0.28.

Avalanche (AVAX)

  • The speaker has a bearish outlook on AVAX, despite it approaching a major trend line that many traders are watching.
  • The belief is that the trend line will break due to weak price action.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish.
  • Price Target: A move down to $22 is expected.
  • Invalidation: The bearish view would be wrong if AVAX reclaims the $30 level.

Solana (SOL)

  • The speaker does "not really like" the current price action, calling it "sloppy."
  • There is a risk that the current trend line could break, leading to a drop to capture the liquidity underneath.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish / Cautious.
  • Price Target: If the trend line breaks, SOL could fall to $175.

BNB

  • BNB has been very strong and is at a critical juncture.
  • It needs to show "aggressive follow-through" to the upside immediately to maintain its bullish momentum.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Cautiously Bullish.
  • Risk: If BNB fails to break above the $1,314 resistance area and forms a lower high on the 4-hour chart, it could lead to a sharp move down. Shorting a strong trend is risky, but this could be a setup to watch.
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Episode Description
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