STOP! Altcoin Longs Will Get You Rekt Now [Here's Why]
STOP! Altcoin Longs Will Get You Rekt Now [Here's Why]
315 days agoCrypto Banter
Podcast1 hr
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Ethereum is showing significant strength against Bitcoin, with a potential move towards the $4,600 - $4,800 all-time high region being a primary target. For Bitcoin, a high-conviction long entry opportunity exists around the $117,000 level, which could be an ideal spot to enter before a potential move higher. However, be cautious with altcoins as a rising Bitcoin Dominance chart signals they may underperform if the market turns. For specific altcoin trades, Ethena (ENA) has a "dream" buy zone between $0.65 and $0.69 due to fundamental buying pressure from the project itself. Another key opportunity is in Aerodrome (AERO), with a high-conviction entry zone identified between $0.997 and $1.06 for a potential bounce.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The host notes a general bullish sentiment, mentioning a potential future price of $120k.
  • MicroStrategy continues its buying strategy, acquiring another 155 BTC at an average price of $116,000 per coin.
  • Blue Origin, Jeff Bezos's space company, is now accepting Bitcoin and other crypto for payments, which is seen as bullish news.
  • The upcoming CPI report is a major event. The host believes a sell-off leading into the report could be a "blessing" that creates beautiful long entry opportunities.
  • A key support level is now established at $116,000.
  • On a lower, 2-hour timeframe, a high-conviction long entry zone is identified at $117,000. This level is significant because it aligns with the CME gap, a VWAP level, a 0.5 Fibonacci level, and a horizontal support line.
  • Upside resistance (liquidity) is noted around $123,000.
  • A chart from analyst Ben Cowen is discussed, suggesting a historical pattern of a market top in Q4, preceded by a potential sell-off in September.

Takeaways

  • Bullish but Cautious: The overall long-term trend for Bitcoin is viewed as bullish. However, significant volatility is expected around the upcoming CPI report.
  • Key Entry Zone: Investors looking for a long entry should pay close attention to the $117,000 level. The confluence of multiple technical indicators makes this a strong area of interest for a potential bounce.
  • Potential for Volatility: Traders should be prepared for a possible dip before the next major leg up, potentially taking the price to test the all-time high or the $123k resistance zone.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • A guest analyst, Tom Lee, is quoted suggesting ETH could be on the verge of a 120x run, similar to Bitcoin's 2017 moment. The host is highly skeptical of the 120x figure but acknowledges the underlying bullish arguments are strong.
  • Wall Street Adoption: The bullish case is supported by Wall Street's preference for Ethereum for tokenization and stablecoins, with JPMorgan and Robinhood building on the network.
  • The ETH/BTC chart is breaking out of a major weekly resistance trend, which is a very bullish sign for Ethereum and the broader altcoin market. This breakout could lead to another 24% move for ETH relative to BTC.
  • The host is actively trading ETH, adding to a long position during the show.
  • A key weekly support level is now established at $4,000.
  • The primary upside target is the previous all-time high region of $4,600 to $4,800.

Takeaways

  • Strong Bullish Sentiment: Ethereum is showing significant strength, both on its own chart and relative to Bitcoin. The ETH/BTC breakout is a key indicator that ETH may outperform in the near future.
  • Key Levels to Watch: The $4,000 level should now act as strong support on any pullbacks. The main take-profit target for this move is the $4,600 - $4,800 range.

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)

  • The host identifies a bullish divergence forming on the Bitcoin Dominance chart.
  • This is presented as a major danger sign for altcoins.
  • Scenario 1 (Bearish for Alts): If Bitcoin's price falls while dominance rises, altcoins will get "absolutely rinsed."
  • Scenario 2 (Bullish for Alts): If Bitcoin's price rips upwards (e.g., to $140k) while dominance rises, altcoins will still rise, but Bitcoin will lead the market.

Takeaways

  • Proceed with Caution on Altcoins: The bullish divergence on the dominance chart is a significant warning. It suggests that momentum could shift from altcoins back to Bitcoin. Investors in altcoins should be extra cautious and manage their risk, as a drop in Bitcoin's price could lead to amplified losses in alts.

Stock & Equity Insights

Coinbase (COIN)

  • The stock has had a strong bounce from a recent low, and the host's trade is profitable.
  • It is currently struggling at the 50-day moving average, which is a key resistance level.
  • The ideal target for the trade is $360 to "fill the gap" on the chart.

Takeaways

  • Investors holding COIN should watch the 50-day MA. A break above could signal a move towards the $360 target. Failure to break this level could be a good point to take some profits.

Visa (V)

  • A bullish divergence has printed on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
  • It's described as a "nice grinder" and is not expected to have explosive moves like crypto-related stocks.
  • The host sees another 5% to 8% left in the tank and is considering adding to their position.

Takeaways

  • V could be a relatively stable, steady gainer. The bullish divergence suggests now could be an opportune time to enter or add to a position for a potential multi-percent move.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The host finds it "so hard to buy this thing" at its current price.
  • He is patiently waiting for a significant dip or pullback, similar to the one Coinbase recently experienced, before buying with conviction.

Takeaways

  • NVDA is considered overextended. The insight is to be patient and wait for a better entry point on a market pullback rather than chasing the price at its highs.

Altcoin Opportunities & Analysis

General Note: The host repeatedly warns that while there are short-term (1-hour) bullish signals on many altcoins, the 4-hour charts often look "tired" or "rough," suggesting that these bounces could be short-lived. The risk of a deeper pullback remains, especially with CPI ahead.

Solana (SOL)

  • The host believes SOL will eventually play catch-up to Ethereum's recent pump.
  • Key Resistance: $187. A break above this level opens the door to $205 and then $219.
  • Macro Danger Zone: $219 is a major resistance level to watch for taking profits.
  • Support / Entry Zones:
    • First line of support: $179.
    • Higher conviction long zone: $174 down to $171.

Takeaways

  • SOL is poised for a potential move if the market remains bullish. Look for entries in the $171 - $179 range. The ultimate target for this leg up is the $219 area.

Aerodrome (AERO)

  • The token has seen a huge increase in volume after its Coinbase integration.
  • It recently hit a major daily rejection zone at $1.31 and has pulled back.
  • The pullback is seen as creating a "nice entry zone."
  • High Conviction Entry Zone: The box between $1.06 and $0.997 is highlighted as an ideal area to look for a long entry, expecting a strong bounce.

Takeaways

  • Set alerts for the $1.06 level. A drop into the $0.997 - $1.06 zone could be a prime buying opportunity for a snapback rally, especially if it coincides with a bullish divergence on the 2-hour chart.

Sui (SUI)

  • The chart is in a short-term downtrend, with major resistance at $4.00.
  • A reversal print is appearing on the 2-hour chart, suggesting a bounce is possible.
  • The host identifies a key zone for a potential big trade between $3.72 and $3.63. A dip into this area could form a bullish divergence and lead to a strong move.

Takeaways

  • SUI presents a potential trade setup. Watch the $3.63 - $3.72 support zone for a long entry. A successful bounce from here would likely target the $4.00 resistance area.

Ethena (ENA)

  • Fundamentally bullish news: The project is in the middle of a $260 million token acquisition plan to back its stablecoin, with more buying to come.
  • The 4-hour chart is showing bearish reversal signs, which could create the dip needed for a good entry.
  • Dream Entry Zone: A high-conviction buy zone is identified between $0.69 and $0.65. The host suspects any dip into this area will be bought up very quickly.

Takeaways

  • The fundamental buying pressure is a strong bullish catalyst. Investors should set alerts for the $0.65 - $0.69 zone. This could be a fleeting opportunity to buy a dip before the price moves higher.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • The token has blown through major resistance levels.
  • Ideal Entry Zone: A pullback to the $42.50 to $41.00 area would be a high-conviction buying opportunity.
  • Upside Target: The next major target mentioned is $52.

Takeaways

  • Be patient with HYPE. While it's strong, a better entry likely exists. An entry in the $41.00 - $42.50 zone with a target of $52 is the proposed trade.

Other Altcoins with Key Levels:

  • PopCat (POPCAT): Potential bounce zone between $0.313 and $0.304. The 4-hour chart still looks weak, so a second dip is possible.
  • Bonk (BONK): Short-term bounce zone is 2545 to 2600 (shortened notation). A deeper, macro support level is at "triple two" (222). Resistance is at 30 and 34.
  • Chainlink (LINK): "Most obvious bounce zone" is at $19.90.
  • Virtua (TVK): An "unbelievable" high-conviction support level is at $1.35.
  • Injective (INJ): Bounced hard from $13.80. Backup support is at $13.45.
  • Ta-da (TOWOW): Backup support and a high-conviction entry zone is at $0.362.
  • ether.fi (ETHFI): Considered bearish on the 4-hour. Worth waiting for entries at $1.165 or $1.115.
  • Ethereum Classic (ETC): High-conviction long entry zone between $21.90 and $21.25.
  • Kaspa (KAS): Bullish entry area identified between $0.0892 and $0.087.
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Episode Description
In this Dylan show, altcoin longs could REKT your crypto portfolio as BTC dominance climbs and Ethereum hits a critical danger zone. With Bitcoin holding strong, Dylan warns why this could be the turning point for the entire crypto market and shares the exact altcoins and levels to watch in the 2025 altseason! ___________________________________________ 🎓 𝗗𝘆𝗹𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗫𝗰𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗰𝗵𝗼𝗼𝗹 - 𝗠𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝟭𝟬 𝗗𝗮𝘆𝘀! 👉 Trading Xcelerator | Crypto School  🚀 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗛𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿𝘀 - 𝗗𝘆𝗹𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗱 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗚𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗽! 👉 Join Chart Hackers ___________________________________________ 𝗖𝗛𝗘𝗖𝗞 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗗𝗬𝗟𝗔𝗡’𝗦 𝗣𝗔𝗥𝗧𝗡𝗘𝗥 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗚𝗘𝗦 ⬇️ 🚀 𝗖𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗫 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲, 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗻 & 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗲 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗚𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀𝗲𝘀! 👉 CoinEx Sign Up 💰 𝗕𝗧𝗖𝗖 - 𝗨𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟭𝟬 𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀! 𝗡𝗼 𝗞𝗬𝗖! 👉 BTCC Welcome Bonus 🐳 𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗫 - 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀 𝗨𝗽 𝗧𝗼 $𝟯𝟬 𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗧! 👉 WEEX Sign Up Bonus  ☄️ 𝗕𝗟𝗢𝗙𝗜𝗡 - 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟰,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀𝗲𝘀, 𝗡𝗼 𝗞𝗬𝗖 𝗼𝗿 𝗩𝗣𝗡 𝗿𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗿𝗲𝗱! 👉 Blofin Welcome Bonus 💵 𝗕𝗬𝗕𝗜𝗧 - 𝗦𝗰𝗼𝗼𝗽 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟯𝟬𝗞 𝗶𝗻 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝘀! 👉 BYBIT Welcome Bonus 🔥 𝗕𝗜𝗧𝗙𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗪𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗢𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗣𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲’𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆! 👉 Bitfunded Register ___________________________________________ 🗞️ 𝗖𝗥𝗬𝗣𝗧𝗢 𝗡𝗘𝗪𝗦𝗟𝗘𝗧𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗦 - 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻 𝗨𝗽 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘!! 📬 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗖𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗹𝗲 - https://bit.ly/DC-Dylan 📬 𝗚𝗼𝗼𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 - https://bit.ly/GMC-Dylan 📣 𝗛𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹𝘀: 👉 𝗗𝘆𝗹𝗮𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝗫: https://x.com/thelordofentry  ___________________________________________ 👁️‍🗨️ 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗱𝗲𝘀 𝗯𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗱𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁:  Our Ethics – Crypto Banter We take our code of ethics very seriously and have engaged @zachxbt (ZachXBT) to monitor our progress. If you feel we’re not living up to it and have hard evidence please mail ZachXBT directly at reportcb@protonmail.com  ⚠️ 𝗕𝗘𝗪𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗢𝗙 𝗦𝗖𝗔𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗜𝗡 𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗦 𝗔𝗡𝗗 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗧𝗬 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟𝗦 ___________________________________________ 📝 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗿: Crypto Banter is a social podcast for entertainment purposes only! All opinions expressed by the hosts, guests, and callers should not be construed as financial advice. The views expressed by the hosts and guests do not reflect the views of the station. Listeners are encouraged to conduct their own research.
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