I’ve Seen This Bitcoin Pattern Before! [Watch Before It’s Too Late]
I’ve Seen This Bitcoin Pattern Before! [Watch Before It’s Too Late]
242 days agoCrypto Banter
Podcast1 hr 9 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

A long position in MicroStrategy (MSTR) is favored due to its price resilience, with upside targets of $355 and $385. For a potential long-term hold, look to buy Ethena (ENA) on a pullback to the ideal entry zone between $0.73 and $0.746, capitalizing on its strong buy pressure. A patient entry for Chainlink (LINK) is suggested in the $21.50 to $22.20 support zone, while bulls should wait for a dip to the $210 - $212.50 area before considering a long on Solana (SOL). To hedge against a market downturn, consider a short on Render (RNDR) with an entry at $3.79 and a price target of $3.53.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The podcast highlights that Bitcoin is currently at a significant resistance zone between $112,600 and $112,850. This area is a typical rejection point, and the price is showing signs of struggling.
  • The speaker is cautious about the current pump, noting that a "green Monday" often leads to a bearish rest of the week.
  • Bullish Scenario: For the upward trend to continue, BTC needs to hold key support levels on any pullback.
    • The first important support is at $111,700.
    • A deeper but still bullish support is the 618 Fibonacci level. Holding these levels would be a positive sign for the broader altcoin market.
  • Upside Target: If BTC breaks the current resistance, the next major danger zone is between $113,500 and $114,000. This is a major liquidity area, and the speaker warns that price could be pushed up to this level only to be sent "straight back down."
  • Bearish Scenario: If the price falls, the key levels to watch are the recent lows from the Asia session at $110,600 and the weekend lows around $109,900. Losing these levels would be a significant bearish signal.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is cautious. While the market is green, the speaker advises against getting "super bullish" until BTC can break and hold above its 50-day moving average.
  • This is a key decision point for Bitcoin. Traders could consider taking some profits on altcoins that are at resistance, or even opening small hedge shorts, in case this "Monday pump" is a fakeout.
  • For those looking to buy, waiting for a dip to the support levels at $111,700 or the 618 fib level could offer a better risk-reward entry for a potential move higher.

Render (RNDR)

  • A detailed short trade setup was presented for Render, which is approaching a strong cluster of resistance.
  • The resistance zone is identified between $3.77 and $3.80. This area is a convergence of multiple technical indicators (382 fib, daily MA50, anchored VWAP), making it a high-probability area for a price rejection.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Short Trade Idea:
    • Entry: Set a limit order to short RNDR at $3.79.
    • Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just above the resistance cluster, around $3.89.
    • Take Profit: The primary target for this short trade is the $3.53 region.
  • This trade is presented as a hedge short. If you are holding many long positions, opening a short like this on a token at resistance can help protect your portfolio if the market decides to pull back.

Chainlink (LINK)

  • Chainlink was discussed with two conflicting but interesting trade ideas, following news that Grayscale has filed for a LINK ETF.
  • The Patient Long Setup: This strategy, from guest speaker "Chaos," suggests that LINK may see a significant pullback before its next major leg up.
    • The ideal entry zone for a long position would be between $22.20 and $21.80.
    • A deeper dip to $21.50 is also a strong possibility and represents a confluence of support from the 50-day moving average.
  • The Aggressive "Long the Top" Setup: The main speaker has entered a more aggressive "degen" trade, buying LINK at its current resistance in anticipation of an immediate breakout.
    • A potential entry for a pullback is $22.75, with a tight stop loss on a candle close below the VWAP (around $22.53).
    • The upside target for this breakout play is $23.60.

Takeaways

  • Investors have two clear but different strategies for LINK.
  • Conservative Approach: Wait for a potential market dip to buy LINK in the $21.50 - $22.20 zone. This offers a better entry price but requires patience and runs the risk of missing an immediate breakout.
  • Aggressive Approach: For those with a higher risk tolerance, a small position could be taken now, betting on a breakout. This is a high-risk, high-reward play, and the speaker warns you could "get rinsed."

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana has seen a strong pump, partly fueled by news of a $1.6 billion treasury commitment. However, it is now at a major resistance level.
  • The key resistance zone is $219 - $220. If it breaks through, the next major target is $240.
  • Bearish Case: Given the strong resistance, one could look for a short opportunity here. A short entry around $220 with a stop loss at $218.50 would target the major support level at $188.
  • Bullish Case: For those who believe SOL will continue higher, the strategy is to wait for a pullback to a support level before buying.
    • Key support levels for a long entry are $212.50 and $210.
    • The goal is to see SOL form a consolidation pattern (bull flag) at support before breaking out towards the $240 target.

Takeaways

  • SOL is at a critical juncture. It's not recommended to buy aggressively right at the $220 resistance.
  • Bulls should wait for a dip to the $210 - $212.50 area to look for a long entry.
  • Bears or those looking to hedge can consider a short position at current levels, but with a tight stop loss as the bullish news could fuel a breakout.

Ethena (ENA)

  • Ethena has very bullish news, with a protocol planning to buy $5 million to $10 million worth of ENA per day, up to a total of $200 million. This creates significant buy pressure.
  • Despite the bullish news, ENA is currently at a resistance level around $0.8130.
  • The major, higher-timeframe resistance and potential take-profit zone is between $0.909 and $0.97.

Takeaways

  • The fundamental outlook for ENA is very strong. However, buying at the current resistance is risky.
  • The "Dream Entry": The best strategy is to wait for a pullback. The ideal entry zone is identified between $0.73 and $0.746. This area represents a confluence of strong technical support (VWAP, order block, 382 fib).
  • An investment in ENA could be considered, but patience is key. Setting buy orders in the identified support zone could provide a much safer entry for a potential ride up to the $0.90+ targets.

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • MicroStrategy was not added to the S&P 500, which was seen as a potential negative catalyst. However, the stock price held up well and did not drop significantly on the news.
  • The speaker views this price resilience as a bullish sign and has added to their long position.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Long Trade Idea:
    • Position: The speaker is long MSTR.
    • Upside Targets: A move of 8% to 16% is the goal. The first target is the 200-day moving average at $355, with a larger target at the 50-day moving average around $385.
    • Exit Plan / Stop Loss: Two options were given for risk management: a tighter stop loss on a close below $317 (3% risk) or a wider one below $300 (8% risk).

Other Mentioned Assets

  • Sui (SUI): The speaker is long but has also opened a hedge short at the resistance level of $3.51. This is a strategy to protect gains from a potential short-term pullback. The next resistance/short zone is $3.64.
  • Pengu (PENGU): A short trade setup was provided, similar to Render. The token is overbought and at resistance.
    • Short Entry: A limit order at $0.03478.
    • Stop Loss: Above the recent wicks.
    • Take Profit: Target is $0.0305.
  • Aero (AERO): A previous long trade idea that worked well. For those still in the trade and wanting more profit, the plan is to hold as long as it stays above support at $1.15 - $1.16. A candle close below $1.149 would be the signal to exit.
  • WOLFIE (WOLFIE): A trade from a "banger" entry zone played out well. The plan is to hold the position as long as it stays above support at $0.202 - $0.203, with an upside target of $0.24.
  • Bonk (BONK): The daily chart looks "super bullish." Upside targets are $0.000025, $0.000027, and $0.000032.
  • Robinhood (HOOD): The stock was added to the S&P 500, which is fundamentally bullish. However, it is currently pushing into a resistance "danger zone" at $117.
  • Worldcoin (WLD): The speaker is in a short position and believes another pump could offer a good shorting opportunity.
  • Ethereum (ETH): Sentiment is currently poor, with record ETF outflows. It's trading in a range. Key support is $4,250, and resistance/target is $4,500. A great long entry on a market-wide dip would be the $4,060 - $4,150 zone.
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Episode Description
Bitcoin is pumping this Monday, but history shows these moves don’t usually end well. Dylan breaks down the chart patterns we saw in February, June, and now again today, and explains why this setup could be dangerous for traders. If you’re thinking about making your next move in crypto, watch this first so you don’t get caught off guard. ___________________________________________ 🎓 𝗗𝘆𝗹𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗫𝗰𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗰𝗵𝗼𝗼𝗹 - 𝗠𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝟭𝟬 𝗗𝗮𝘆𝘀! 👉 Trading Xcelerator | Crypto School  🚀 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗛𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿𝘀 - 𝗗𝘆𝗹𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗱 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗚𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗽! 👉 Join Chart Hackers ___________________________________________ 𝗖𝗛𝗘𝗖𝗞 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗗𝗬𝗟𝗔𝗡’𝗦 𝗣𝗔𝗥𝗧𝗡𝗘𝗥 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗚𝗘𝗦 ⬇️ 🚀 𝗖𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗫 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲, 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗻 & 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗲 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗚𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀𝗲𝘀! 👉 CoinEx Sign Up 💰 𝗕𝗧𝗖𝗖 - 𝗨𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟭𝟬 𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀! 𝗡𝗼 𝗞𝗬𝗖! 👉 BTCC Welcome Bonus 🐳 𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗫 - 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀 𝗨𝗽 𝗧𝗼 $𝟯𝟬 𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗧! 👉 WEEX Sign Up Bonus  ☄️ 𝗕𝗟𝗢𝗙𝗜𝗡 - 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟰,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀𝗲𝘀, 𝗡𝗼 𝗞𝗬𝗖 𝗼𝗿 𝗩𝗣𝗡 𝗿𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗿𝗲𝗱! 👉 Blofin Welcome Bonus 💵 𝗕𝗬𝗕𝗜𝗧 - 𝗦𝗰𝗼𝗼𝗽 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗼 $𝟯𝟬𝗞 𝗶𝗻 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝘀! 👉 BYBIT Welcome Bonus 🔥 𝗕𝗜𝗧𝗙𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 - 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗪𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗢𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗣𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲’𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆! 👉 Bitfunded Register ___________________________________________ 🗞️ 𝗖𝗥𝗬𝗣𝗧𝗢 𝗡𝗘𝗪𝗦𝗟𝗘𝗧𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗦 - 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻 𝗨𝗽 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘!! 📬 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗖𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗹𝗲 - https://bit.ly/DC-Dylan 📬 𝗚𝗼𝗼𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 - https://bit.ly/GMC-Dylan 📣 𝗛𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹𝘀: 👉 𝗗𝘆𝗹𝗮𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝗫: https://x.com/thelordofentry  ___________________________________________ 👁️‍🗨️ 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗱𝗲𝘀 𝗯𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗱𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁:  Our Ethics – Crypto Banter We take our code of ethics very seriously and have engaged @zachxbt (ZachXBT) to monitor our progress. If you feel we’re not living up to it and have hard evidence please mail ZachXBT directly at reportcb@protonmail.com ⚠️ 𝗕𝗘𝗪𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗢𝗙 𝗦𝗖𝗔𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗜𝗡 𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗦 𝗔𝗡𝗗 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗧𝗬 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟𝗦 ___________________________________________ 📝 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗿: Crypto Banter is a social podcast for entertainment purposes only! All opinions expressed by the hosts, guests, and callers should not be construed as financial advice. The views expressed by the hosts and guests do not reflect the views of the station. Listeners are encouraged to conduct their own research.
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