Gareth Soloway Reveals the BRUTAL Next Phase of This Meltdown!
Gareth Soloway Reveals the BRUTAL Next Phase of This Meltdown!
1 hour ago•Crypto Banter
Podcast28 min 36 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Stay cautious on highly leveraged AI infrastructure names such as CoreWeave (CRWV) and Oracle (ORCL); rising financing costs could undermine their economics, while Nvidia (NVDA) appears comparatively resilient.
  • Consider Bitcoin (BTC) only through staged entries: the cited plan starts near $75,000, adds near $67,000, and treats a break below $57,000 as a risk signal; $81,000 is a key support level.
  • Watch the S&P 500 conditionally: the cited view remains bullish above 7,575, with 8,000 as an upside level.
  • Consider physical gold only if it reaches $3,500, the level identified as a potential buy; this is not a guaranteed support level.
Detailed Analysis

AI Infrastructure and Data-Center Stocks

  • The hosts described a sharp selloff in smaller, debt-heavy AI infrastructure companies, while arguing that the Nasdaq’s relative resilience may mask how badly some individual stocks have fallen.
  • Gareth’s central concern was that higher interest rates raise borrowing costs for companies financing data-center construction. He compared the leveraged AI trade to a 300x Bitcoin long that could be liquidated if rates rise too far.
  • He said CoreWeave’s credit default swaps implied a 15% borrowing rate and argued that financing $100 billion at that cost would not make economic sense.
  • He characterized Oracle as a highly leveraged data-center play and said it had also fallen sharply.
  • Nvidia was presented as comparatively resilient: Gareth said it makes substantial profits, has relatively little debt, and still showed an uptrend on his chart.
  • Gareth leaned toward the AI trade having topped, but said AI demand itself was not going away. He also warned that growing competition among AI models and new chip capacity could pressure profit margins.

Takeaways

  • The discussion distinguishes between profitable, less-indebted AI companies and more leveraged infrastructure businesses; the speakers did not treat all AI stocks as equally exposed.
  • Gareth’s view was bearish on the AI trade overall, especially for highly leveraged names, while acknowledging continued underlying demand. These were chart-based and macro-driven opinions, not company-by-company fundamental analyses.

Applied Digital (APLD)

  • Gareth cited APLD as an example of a smaller AI-related stock that had been heavily sold off and was near a 52-week low on his chart.

Takeaways

  • The transcript offers no specific price target or buy recommendation for APLD. Its mention illustrates the reported weakness in smaller AI infrastructure stocks.

CoreWeave (CRWV)

  • Gareth said CoreWeave’s debt-related credit default swaps implied a borrowing rate of about 15%.
  • He argued that financing very large infrastructure spending at that rate could make the economics unworkable. He also said the stock had fallen back to levels last seen in April 2025.

Takeaways

  • The discussion highlights debt costs as a key risk for CoreWeave. The bearish view is specifically tied to the cost of financing its infrastructure commitments.

Oracle (ORCL)

  • Oracle was described as a data-center company with relatively high leverage and as another stock that had fallen sharply.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s comments place Oracle among the AI infrastructure names vulnerable to higher financing costs. No price target or specific trade was given.

Nvidia (NVDA)

  • Unlike the more leveraged AI infrastructure stocks, Nvidia was described as profitable, relatively lightly indebted, and still in an uptrend despite a pullback.

Takeaways

  • Gareth viewed Nvidia as comparatively resilient within the AI theme, but did not give a price target or make a direct buy recommendation.

Micron Technology (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK)

  • Gareth said he believed Micron had already made its high, citing a lower high and a broken trend line on his chart.
  • He said Micron and SanDisk had dominated their areas, but questioned whether current margins—described as around 80%—could last as competition and supply increase.
  • He pointed to Micron plants expected to come online in 2028 and to Chinese chipmaker CXMT introducing a new memory chip. He argued that greater competition could compress margins even if demand remains strong.

Takeaways

  • The concern is not simply whether AI demand continues, but whether chipmakers can sustain unusually high margins as capacity and competition grow.
  • Gareth’s stance on Micron was bearish from a technical and margin-risk perspective; no specific price target was mentioned.

CXMT

  • Gareth cited Chinese chipmaker CXMT as a source of emerging competition, saying it had introduced a memory chip he described as better than existing offerings.

Takeaways

  • CXMT was mentioned as a competitive risk to established memory-chip producers, not as a publicly traded investment recommendation.

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix

  • The hosts said the Kospi is heavily influenced by Samsung and SK Hynix, linking the Korean market’s weakness to its exposure to AI-related stocks.
  • They cited two consecutive days of steep Kospi declines—about 8% and 9%—and described the Korean market as roughly 40% down.

Takeaways

  • The discussion presents these companies as part of the concentrated AI and memory-chip exposure behind the Kospi’s volatility.
  • No individual price targets or company-specific recommendations were given.

Kospi

  • The hosts used the Kospi as a proxy for AI-related market stress, saying it is heavily driven by Samsung and SK Hynix.
  • They described the index as having suffered circuit breakers after declines of about 8% and 9% on consecutive days, and said it was around 40% below its prior level.

Takeaways

  • The transcript portrays the Kospi as especially exposed to concentrated AI and semiconductor positioning. The sharp declines were presented as evidence of market turbulence, not as a specific entry signal.

Nasdaq-100

  • Gareth said the Nasdaq-100 had fallen more sharply than the S&P 500 and that he leaned toward the Nasdaq having made its high “for the foreseeable future.”
  • He allowed for a possible bounce of roughly 5%, but said the index’s large-company weighting can obscure the worse performance of smaller AI stocks.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s near-term view was cautious to bearish on the Nasdaq-100, even while allowing for a short-term rebound. The discussion did not provide a firm downside target.

S&P 500

  • Gareth remained bullish on the S&P 500 as long as it stayed above 7,575.
  • He cited possible upside to 8,000, about 3%–3.5% above the level discussed, and said the index could still reach a new high because it is more diversified than the Nasdaq.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s stated view was conditionally bullish: he would remain bullish above 7,575, with 8,000 as his cited upside level. The transcript does not establish whether those levels remain current.

OKLO (Oklo Inc.)

  • Gareth said OKLO had fallen back to levels seen in 2025, before the energy and small-reactor theme’s earlier rise.
  • He argued that AI is not going away and that data centers will continue to require more energy.

Takeaways

  • Gareth saw potential value in OKLO after its decline, based on the continuing need for energy to support data centers.
  • This was a broad thematic and chart-based observation; no price target or company-specific fundamental analysis was provided.

Nuclear Energy and Data-Center Power

  • The conversation identified nuclear energy and small reactors as part of the earlier energy-market boom.
  • Gareth argued that the growth of data centers continues to drive demand for energy.

Takeaways

  • The discussion points to data-center power demand as a long-term investment theme, while offering no specific recommendation beyond noting OKLO as a potentially interesting stock.

Gold

  • Gareth said gold was testing a long-term trend line and warned that, if yields did not continue lower, gold could fall to $3,500.
  • He said he would buy physical gold at $3,500 and noted that he already held a substantial amount.
  • The hosts also discussed gold as potentially bottoming around the time yields peak in prior midterm years, citing a view attributed to another market commentator.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s stated plan was to consider buying physical gold at $3,500; he did not say that level was guaranteed to be reached.
  • The discussion links gold’s near-term direction to yields and broader market stress.

Silver

  • Gareth said silver had underperformed gold and broken a wedge pattern on his chart.
  • He attributed the weakness partly to silver’s industrial use, arguing that an AI slowdown could reduce demand for metals used in data-center connectivity.
  • Silver had bounced during the session discussed, but Gareth characterized its recent performance as weak.

Takeaways

  • The transcript’s view on silver was cautious: its industrial-demand exposure could make it more vulnerable than gold if AI investment slows.
  • No price target or specific buy recommendation was given.

Copper

  • Copper was mentioned alongside silver as an industrial metal that could face lower demand if AI data-center construction slows.

Takeaways

  • The investment risk raised was weaker industrial demand tied to an AI infrastructure slowdown. No copper price target or trade recommendation was provided.

U.S. Treasury Yields

  • Gareth said yields initially rose after hotter-than-expected inflation data, then fell sharply as markets began pricing in recession risk and safe-haven demand for bonds.
  • He said the 10-year yield’s drop from its recent high was equivalent to a 25-basis-point rate cut in scale.
  • He viewed yields as likely to have peaked in the near term based on chart patterns, but warned that falling yields could reflect recession fears rather than improving inflation.
  • Gareth said inflation was unlikely to return to 2% soon without a serious recession. He also suggested yields could eventually move into the 6% range over the next few years, especially if stimulus resumed after a recession.

Takeaways

  • The key distinction in the discussion is why yields are falling: lower inflation could support markets, while recession-driven declines could signal economic stress.
  • Gareth’s near-term technical view was that yields may have topped, but he remained concerned about persistent inflation and higher yields over the longer term.

Oil and Energy Prices

  • The hosts linked hotter producer-price inflation partly to energy costs, citing a 10.8% increase in the energy component.
  • They discussed the Iran conflict as a factor keeping oil prices elevated, with the hosts suggesting Iran might use oil prices to exert pressure ahead of U.S. midterm elections.

Takeaways

  • The transcript identifies geopolitical tension and energy prices as potential drivers of inflation and market volatility.
  • No oil price target or direct oil-trading recommendation was given.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Gareth said Bitcoin had formed a higher high on a key pivot, which led him to believe the bear market had probably bottomed. He cautioned that this did not mean the market would rise in a straight line.
  • He identified $81,000 as an important level. If it held, he viewed the chart as bullish; a break could lead to a test of about $75,500.
  • If Bitcoin broke $87,200, he cited a possible move toward $95,000–$97,000, with roughly $100,000 as a further resistance area where some investors might take profits.
  • If Bitcoin fell toward $67,000, Gareth said he would consider it a major buying area. He described $57,000 as a level below which he would place a stop.
  • As an example of his own approach, he said he might deploy 25% of his intended Bitcoin allocation around $75,000, another 50% around $67,000, and keep some capital in reserve. He said he would prefer not to see a daily close below the prior cycle low.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s view was cautiously bullish after the higher high, with $81,000, $75,500, and $67,000 as key levels in his plan.
  • His staged-entry approach was presented as his own strategy, not as a universal allocation recommendation. He emphasized avoiding an all-in position and the risk of being liquidated.

Solana (SOL)

  • Gareth identified about $97 as a potential technical support area where he would consider starting a small position, and said he also liked the area around $84.

Takeaways

  • The stated approach was to wait for a pullback to those levels rather than chase a rally. No upside target was provided.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Gareth said Zcash below $1,000 looked attractive to him, citing a rising trend line and the round-number level.
  • The host noted that Zcash had fallen about 35%.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s interest was conditional on price being below $1,000 and based on chart support. He did not discuss Zcash’s fundamentals in detail.

Hedera (HBAR)

  • Gareth said he had taken a small position in HBAR after it reached a technical level that had acted as a pivot on his chart.
  • He explicitly said he did not know much about many of the projects he trades and evaluates them primarily by their charts.

Takeaways

  • The mention was a small, chart-based trade rather than a fundamental endorsement of Hedera. The limited project knowledge Gareth described is an important caveat.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • Gareth said he would like to see Hyperliquid fall further and identified about $65 as a level where he would be willing to buy, based on a long-term trend line.
  • He said he understood that Hyperliquid offers perpetual trading, but emphasized that his interest was based mainly on the chart.

Takeaways

  • Gareth’s stated interest was conditional on a pullback toward $65. He did not provide a price target or detailed fundamental analysis.

XRP

  • Gareth described XRP as “dead money” from a chart perspective, saying its price was stuck between two levels and that he wanted to see a more attractive technical setup before getting involved.
  • He said his understanding of XRP’s use case was limited.

Takeaways

  • Gareth was neutral to cautious on XRP at the time of the discussion and did not recommend buying it.

Chainlink (LINK)

  • Gareth said Chainlink had fallen substantially but had held a trend line during the session, which could allow for a bounce.
  • He also said it would need to pull back significantly and did not expect a bounce to necessarily lead to a new high.

Takeaways

  • The chart view was tentatively positive for a possible short-term bounce, but Gareth remained cautious about the broader outlook.

Perpetual Futures and Leverage

  • The host promoted trading perpetual futures through Kelsey, describing it as an option for U.S. users and citing example leverage of 15.8x on gold, 9x on silver, 6.8x on Bitcoin, and 5x on Ether.
  • The host said the platform did not offer 100x or 1,000x leverage. Gareth separately warned that highly leveraged positions can be liquidated if prices move against them.

Takeaways

  • Perpetual futures provide leveraged exposure and can magnify losses; the transcript’s Bitcoin discussion specifically warned against going all-in and facing liquidation.
  • The host’s platform comments were promotional, not an independent assessment or a recommendation to trade.
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Episode Description
Markets have been rocked by a brutal 24 hours, but is the worst still to come? Ran sits down with Gareth Soloway to break down the AI selloff, rising recession fears and the warning signs flashing across global markets. With major stocks under pressure and the AI trade potentially topping out, Gareth reveals what the charts are signaling and what this could mean for Bitcoin and crypto next. ___________________________________________ 𝗙𝗘𝗔𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘𝗗 𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦 𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗪 ⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇ 🎁 𝗞𝗔𝗟𝗦𝗛𝗜 - $𝟱,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗚𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘆!!! 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗥𝗮𝗻!!! ✅ To enter PLUS get a $25 Bonus when you trade $50, sign up using the link below. 👉 Sign up: https://kalshi.com/p/ran 🔥 Trade Leveraged Perps Securely in the US! ⏰ 24 Hours to Enter the $5,000 Giveaway! _______________ 📺 𝗖𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗥𝗮𝗻 𝗟𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗼𝗻 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗘𝗱𝗴𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼! 🏆 The world’s No.1 LIVE crypto streaming channel!🔥 Get the insights you need to stay on top of the market! 👉 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲: https://www.youtube.com/@CryptoBanterGroup ___________________________________________ 𝗛𝗢𝗦𝗧 & 𝗚𝗨𝗘𝗦𝗧 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟𝗦 ⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇⬇ 🆇 𝗚𝗔𝗥𝗘𝗧𝗛 𝗦𝗢𝗟𝗢𝗪𝗔𝗬 𝗢𝗡 𝗫 👉 Follow Gareth: https://x.com/GarethSoloway 📺 𝗚𝗔𝗥𝗘𝗧𝗛 𝗦𝗢𝗟𝗢𝗪𝗔𝗬 𝗢𝗡 𝗬𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗨𝗕𝗘 👉 Subscribe here: https://www.youtube.com/@verifiedinvesting __________ 🆇 𝗥𝗔𝗡 𝗢𝗡 𝗫 👉 Follow Ran: https://x.com/cryptomanran 📷 𝗥𝗔𝗡 𝗢𝗡 𝗜𝗡𝗦𝗧𝗔𝗚𝗥𝗔𝗠 👉 Follow Ran: https://bit.ly/ran-insta ___________________________________________ 👁️‍🗨️ 𝗖𝗿𝘆𝗽𝘁𝗼 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗯𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗱𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁: https://www.cryptobanter.com/our-ethics/ We take our code of ethics very seriously and have engaged @zachxbt ( / zachxbt ) to monitor our progress. If you feel we’re not living up to it and have hard evidence please mail ZachXBT directly at reportcb@protonmail.com ⚠️ 𝗕𝗘𝗪𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗢𝗙 𝗦𝗖𝗔𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗜𝗡 𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗦 𝗔𝗡𝗗 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗧𝗬 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗟𝗦 ___________________________________________ 📝 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗿: Crypto Insider is a social podcast for entertainment purposes only! All opinions expressed by the hosts, guests and callers should not be construed as financial advice! Views expressed by guests and hosts do not reflect the views of the station. Listeners are encouraged to do their own research.
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