FOMC Trap Will LIQUIDATE Most Crypto Traders! [Just Do This]
FOMC Trap Will LIQUIDATE Most Crypto Traders! [Just Do This]
234 days agoโ€ขCrypto Banter
Podcast36 min 28 sec
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Expect a market-wide pullback following the FOMC meeting, which could present a buying opportunity once the total crypto market cap reaches the $3.6 trillion to $3.8 trillion range. A high-conviction short-term trade is on Solana (SOL), with an expectation for the price to fall below $122.22. For a long-term position, Bittensor (TAO) is viewed as a strong buy at current levels with a price target of $600. As a higher-risk play, consider accumulating Inspec (INSP), which has the potential to return to its previous all-time high of $0.48. It is also advised to take profits on recent winners like Pump.fun (PUMP) and exit positions in projects with red flags like World of Defi (WOD).

Detailed Analysis

Overall Market Outlook (FOMC & Macro)

  • The host strongly believes the upcoming FOMC meeting will be a "sell the news" event, leading to a market downturn.
  • While rate cuts are generally bullish for crypto in the long term, the host argues the market has already priced in the expected 25 basis point cut.
  • The reason for the cuts (a stalling economy, wiped-out job numbers) is bearish. The market will initially react negatively once the "herd realizes why they have to cut."
  • September is historically a negative month for crypto, especially in years following a Bitcoin halving. The market is already up about 8% for the month, suggesting a pullback is likely.
  • The host is targeting a pullback in the total crypto market cap to the $3.84 trillion level, and potentially as low as $3.66 trillion. He views this potential drop as "one of the last opportunities to get in on the action" before the next major move up.

Takeaways

  • Short-term Bearish: Expect market volatility and a potential significant price drop across the crypto market following the FOMC announcement. The host is positioned for this with a short on Solana.
  • Long-term Bullish: The underlying reason for rate cuts (economic stimulus) is considered very positive for risk assets like Bitcoin in the long run.
  • Actionable Insight: Consider waiting for a market pullback to the $3.6T - $3.8T total market cap range to enter or add to long-term positions. Be cautious with leverage and new long positions until after the FOMC volatility subsides.

Solana (SOL)

  • The host has an active short position on Solana and is currently up over 20% on the trade.
  • He expressed high conviction in this trade, stating he expects SOL to go "under $122.22 tomorrow."
  • The analysis is based on a "clear OB" (Order Block) on the chart, which is a technical indicator suggesting a strong resistance level where a sell-off is likely to occur.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Highly Bearish in the short term.
  • Actionable Insight: The host is actively shorting SOL with a price target below $122.22. This suggests extreme caution for those holding long positions and a potential opportunity for experienced traders comfortable with shorting.

Pump.fun (PUMP)

  • The host was previously very bullish on PUMP, having called it when it was much lower, leading to a 150% gain from his entry point.
  • He is now becoming cautious and taking profits, having recently sold 30% of his position.
  • He fears it could follow the path of other meme coins that get hyped up and then "die down." He notes that the streams on the platform are "already shit."

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Shifting from Bullish to Neutral/Cautious.
  • Actionable Insight: The host is actively taking profits. This could be a signal for others who have gains in PUMP to consider de-risking. He may look to re-enter if the price pulls back significantly to what he calls the "five bullish region."

Bittensor (TAO)

  • The host is very bullish on TAO, calling it a "very strong" project with "serious people in it."
  • He missed his desired entry but notes that the price has pulled back to a key 50% level, which he considers a "great place probably to add."
  • He has "zero doubt" that TAO will eventually go back to $600.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Very Bullish.
  • Actionable Insight: The current price level is seen as a good entry point for a long-term position. The host has a long-term price expectation of $600.

Inspec (INSP)

  • The host has personally invested in INSP as a spot position. It is the first Layer 2 project built on Bittensor (TAO).
  • The price is down significantly (around 50%), and while the host is currently at a loss on his position, he remains bullish.
  • He highlights its unique "social earning" feature that allows users to earn TAO tokens.
  • He considers it a "degen back" (a high-risk, high-reward play) but believes it can at least return to its all-time high of around $0.48.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish (high-risk).
  • Actionable Insight: This is a high-risk "degen" play tied to the TAO ecosystem. The host is layering into a spot position, suggesting a dollar-cost averaging approach might be suitable for those who believe in the project's potential to reach its previous all-time high.

ZeroG Lab (ZRG)

  • This is a new project the host is excited about. It's an EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain specifically designed for AI applications, combining AI and DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks).
  • The host is bullish on its potential, suggesting it could become "the layer one for AI" if the team can execute its vision.
  • The project is launching next week.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish on the concept and potential.
  • Actionable Insight: This is a new, pre-launch project in the hot AI narrative. Investors interested in early-stage AI infrastructure plays should "go and check them out." There is a community giveaway mentioned, which requires signing up to a partner platform.

Ethena (ENA)

  • From a technical standpoint, the host thinks ENA is in a "perfect" spot for a potential move up.
  • However, he has a major concern: a "massive liquidity line" that has been building since August. He compares this to a similar pattern he saw on the RUNE chart right before it dumped 75%.
  • He fears this structure could lead to ENA "nuking like 40%."

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Neutral with significant Bearish risk.
  • Actionable Insight: While the project may be strong, the chart pattern presents a significant risk of a sharp drop. The host is concerned and avoiding the trade, suggesting caution is warranted.

World of Defi (WOD)

  • The host was previously interested in this project but is now completely "out."
  • He closed his position at a 45% loss after seeing news that an advisor to the project was trying to sell their tokens at a 75% discount.
  • He views this as an extreme red flag and a sign to exit immediately.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Extremely Bearish.
  • Actionable Insight: The host has exited his position due to what he perceives as insider selling at a massive discount. This is a strong signal of no confidence in the project's future.

Other Mentions

  • Fetch.ai (FET): Bullish. The price has pulled back 50%, which the host sees as a "great place to add" if you believe in the project.
  • Injective (INJ): Neutral/Cautious. The host holds a spot position and believes it could go back to $25-$30, but he is "not convinced" by the chart structure and is not adding to his position.
  • Myro (MYRO): Neutral. The host is unfamiliar with the project but notes its 50% pullback makes it a "great buy" for those who are bullish on its fundamentals. He speculates it could drop further to around $0.22.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
In todayโ€™s show, Fefe breaks down the FOMC trap that could liquidate most crypto traders and shows you the real play for the FOMC. With Jerome Powell and the FED rate cut decision moving markets, the question is whether this becomes a classic sell the news event or the start of something bigger for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins. Most crypto traders are about to fall into a major trap, but Fefe reveals how to avoid liquidation and position correctly. Donโ€™t miss this breakdown of the FOMC, Powell, rate cuts, the impact on altcoins, and how to trade the crypto market today. ___________________________________________ ๐Ÿ“ฃ ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜€: ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ซ: Fefe Demeny (@FefeDemeny) / Xย  ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ: Fefeโ€™s Free Crypto Telegram Channel ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐—ซ ๐—–๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฏ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—ฒ: 100X Club - YouTubeย  ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—•๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐——๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—›๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—ฒ: Billion Dollar Hustle - YouTubeย  ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ: Crypto Live - YouTubeย  ___________________________________________ ๐—–๐—›๐—˜๐—–๐—ž ๐—ข๐—จ๐—ง ๐—™๐—˜๐—™๐—˜โ€™๐—ฆ ๐—ฃ๐—”๐—ฅ๐—ง๐—ก๐—˜๐—ฅ ๐—˜๐—ซ๐—–๐—›๐—”๐—ก๐—š๐—˜๐—ฆ โฌ‡๏ธ โ˜„๏ธ ๐—•๐—Ÿ๐—ข๐—™๐—œ๐—ก - ๐—š๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐˜๐—ผ $๐Ÿฐ,๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€, ๐—ก๐—ผ ๐—ž๐—ฌ๐—– ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฉ๐—ฃ๐—ก ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ! ๐Ÿ‘‰ Blofin Welcome Bonus ___________________________________________ ๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ ๐—–๐—ฅ๐—ฌ๐—ฃ๐—ง๐—ข ๐—ก๐—˜๐—ช๐—ฆ๐—Ÿ๐—˜๐—ง๐—ง๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฆ - ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป ๐—จ๐—ฝ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—™๐—ฅ๐—˜๐—˜!! ๐Ÿ“ฌ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐——๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜† ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—น๐—ฒ - https://bit.ly/DC-Fefe ๐Ÿ“ฌ ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—–๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ผ - https://bit.ly/GMC-Fefe ___________________________________________ ๐Ÿ‘๏ธโ€๐Ÿ—จ๏ธ ๐—–๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜:ย  Our Ethics โ€“ Crypto Banterย  We take our code of ethics very seriously and have engaged @zachxbt (ZachXBT) to monitor our progress. If you feel weโ€™re not living up to it and have hard evidence please mail ZachXBT directly at reportcb@protonmail.comย  โš ๏ธ ๐—•๐—˜๐—ช๐—”๐—ฅ๐—˜ ๐—ข๐—™ ๐—ฆ๐—–๐—”๐— ๐— ๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฆ ๐—œ๐—ก ๐—ข๐—จ๐—ฅ ๐—–๐—ข๐— ๐— ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง๐—ฆ ๐—”๐—ก๐—— ๐—–๐—ข๐— ๐— ๐—จ๐—ก๐—œ๐—ง๐—ฌ ๐—–๐—›๐—”๐—ก๐—ก๐—˜๐—Ÿ๐—ฆ ___________________________________________ ๐Ÿ“ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ: Crypto Banter is a social podcast for entertainment purposes only! All opinions expressed by the hosts, guests, and callers should not be construed as financial advice. The views expressed by the hosts and guests do not reflect the views of the station. Listeners are encouraged to conduct their own research.
About Crypto Banter
Crypto Banter

Crypto Banter

Crypto Banter is a Podcast that brings you the hottest crypto news, market updates and fundamentals of the world of digital assets โ€“ โ€œstraight out of the bullโ€™s mouthโ€!! Join the most profitable crypto community to get notified on the most profitable trades and latest market news!