20% of Homes See Price Cuts (Sellers Face Reality) | Oct. 2026 Housing Market Update
20% of Homes See Price Cuts (Sellers Face Reality) | Oct. 2026 Housing Market Update
Podcast32 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider local rental properties with 60+ days on market and recent price cuts; negotiate based on comparable values and seek a meaningful discount, while stress-testing for further price declines and high mortgage costs.
  • Avoid relying on quick appreciation: the housing outlook is uncertain, and the insights provide no specific stock or crypto buy recommendation.
  • Treat the Fundrise Flagship Fund as an optional private-real-estate investment only after reviewing its prospectus, fees, risks, and liquidity terms.
Detailed Analysis

Residential Real Estate

  • The host sees a buying opportunity as sellers become more willing to negotiate. More than 20% of homes had a price cut in a four-week period, a recent Redfin record; the host says this suggests seller expectations are becoming more realistic.
  • National home prices were up 2.5% year over year in nominal terms, but were down after adjusting for inflation. The host expects prices to soften, while emphasizing that results vary by local market.
  • Recent indicators point to a weaker market: pending sales were down 9% year over year, while active inventory was beginning to rise. Mortgage rates were 7.6% at the time of recording, compared with 6.3% a year earlier.
  • The host’s approach is to focus on purchase price and built-in equity, rather than relying on market appreciation. He suggested seeking properties 15–20% below their current estimated value, not merely below the asking price.
  • Potential opportunities mentioned include making offers during the slower winter season, looking for homes listed for 60 days or more with recent price cuts, and approaching flippers who may want to sell completed inventory.
  • The host considers a broad housing-market crash unlikely in the near term based on current distress levels, but says falling prices remain a risk. He cited VA loan delinquencies rising about 25% year over year as an area to monitor; FHA delinquencies had declined over the prior three months.

Takeaways

  • For a long-term rental or buy-and-hold strategy, investigate local listings with extended time on market and recent price reductions, and negotiate based on comparable sales and the property’s current value.
  • Stress-test any purchase against further price declines, high mortgage costs, and local rental conditions. The host cautions that buying for a profit by next year is a poor fit for this environment.
  • Treat the host’s suggested discount range as his strategy, not a guarantee of value or a universal rule. Local market conditions can differ substantially.

Fundrise Flagship Fund

  • A sponsored segment promoted the Fundrise Flagship Fund as a way to invest in private-market real estate, describing it as a low-fee option intended to provide exposure to potential income and growth.
  • The segment said investors could start with $10. It also noted that investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses should be reviewed in the fund’s prospectus.

Takeaways

  • Consider this only as a potential passive real-estate investment, and review the prospectus, fees, liquidity terms, and risks before investing. The podcast’s promotional claims are not a guarantee of returns.

Stock Market

  • The host described stock-market valuations as speculative and said he was concerned about an AI investment bubble.
  • He raised a possible scenario in which an AI-related market downturn could contribute to higher unemployment and greater financial stress, potentially affecting housing demand and mortgage performance.

Takeaways

  • The discussion presents the stock market—particularly speculative AI-related valuations—as a risk to monitor, not as a specific buying recommendation.
  • No stocks, company names, tickers, or price targets were mentioned.

Cryptocurrency

  • The host said he viewed valuations in crypto as “crazy” and considered it riskier than residential real estate at that time.

Takeaways

  • The comments express a cautious view of crypto valuations, but do not identify any coin, token, price target, or specific recommendation.
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Episode Description
Seller desperation just hit a recent peak, creating a major buying opportunity in the housing market. Over 20% of properties saw a price cut in the past four weeks, and with mortgage rates only moving up, sellers are running out of options. Winter is coming, and with it, less demand—so what are sellers going to do? More price cuts could be in store. We’re back with October’s housing market update! We’ve been saying for months that buying opportunities would get bigger, and we’re seeing it unfold in real time. Sellers are getting desperate and starting to cut prices at levels we haven’t seen in years. Fewer homes are changing hands, so buyers are getting their pick as deals sit on the market for months. Dave is eyeing a specific set of homes as the biggest opportunity right now (and they’re on the market). So what do you do if you’re ready to buy your next rental but don’t know if you’re catching a falling knife? Dave shares the properties he’s looking for, what he’s offering to get day-one equity, and whether the chances of a housing crash have gone up since our last report. In This Episode We Cover How to easily “filter” the homes with the most seller desperation (and get a steal of a deal) Why home price cuts are rising and whether winter will bring even deeper discounts  The chance of this housing market correction becoming a full-on crash  Why Dave is looking for easily spottable, on-market properties to buy  How much to offer a seller if their home has been sitting on the market for months  And So Much More! Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠h⁠⁠t⁠t⁠ps://www⁠.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1344. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
About BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast
BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

By BiggerPockets

Want financial freedom through real estate investing? Then the BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast is for you. Sit down every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday with Dave Meyer, the Head of Real Estate at BiggerPockets, as he uncovers tried and true tactics and shares candid conversations with real estate investors who are building wealth in today’s market. Join Dave to walk through deals that went right (and wrong) and learn the strategies you can deploy—start growing your side income today to take control of your financial future.