The Infrastructure Behind Agentic Finance | Roundup
The Infrastructure Behind Agentic Finance | Roundup
103 days agoBell CurveBlockworks
Podcast1 hr
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The intersection of AI and Crypto is emerging as a major long-term investment theme focused on building the "trust layer" for automated transactions. Eigenlayer is a key protocol to watch, as its restaking model is positioned to provide the security and insurance backbone for this new agent-driven economy. For direct equity exposure, consider Coinbase (COIN) as a long-term infrastructure play due to its strategic work on the X402 open payment standard. Conversely, be cautious with investments in the traditional wealth management sector, which is expected to face significant disruption from AI within the next five years. This suggests avoiding legacy firms in favor of the fintech companies leading this technological shift.

Detailed Analysis

AI & Crypto Intersection (Investment Theme)

  • The hosts describe the intersection of AI and Crypto as the "next era," though they emphasize it is still super early.
  • The core thesis is that AI agents will need financial "rails" to transact, and crypto provides a superior solution to traditional finance because it is:
    • Digitally native and runs 24/7.
    • Enables micropayments with low transaction fees.
    • Open and permissionless, allowing agents to interact across systems without cumbersome APIs or gatekeepers.
  • The biggest bottleneck for adoption is trust. AI agents are non-deterministic (unpredictable), while crypto transactions are irreversible, creating a high-risk environment.
  • The most promising solution discussed for solving the trust problem is requiring agents to post collateral or a bond that can be "slashed" (forfeited) if they perform an action incorrectly. This is seen as a stronger guarantee than reputation scores.

Takeaways

  • Long-Term Bullish Outlook: This is a major investment theme for the coming years. While early, the infrastructure is being built now.
  • Focus on the "Trust Layer": The most valuable projects in this space will likely be those that solve the problem of agent security and reliability.
  • Key Technologies to Watch:
    • Restaking protocols (like Eigenlayer) that can provide the collateral for agents.
    • Intent-based systems that allow users to state an outcome and have agents compete to fulfill it securely.
    • Account Abstraction to improve user experience and create more sophisticated permissions for agents.

Eigenlayer

  • Eigenlayer is discussed as a central player in enabling secure agentic finance.
  • Its core innovation of "restaking" is positioned as a potential solution to the AI trust problem. The idea is that an AI agent would have to post a financial stake (collateral) using Eigenlayer before performing a risky action on a user's behalf.
  • If the agent messes up, the collateral is slashed, compensating the user. This creates a strong economic incentive for agent developers to ensure their bots behave correctly.
  • The hosts believe Eigenlayer could effectively "rent out" its large balance sheet to secure trillions of small, agent-driven transactions, comparing it to an insurance or lending business for the AI economy.
  • This is seen as a potentially more lucrative business model than renting security to other crypto protocols.
  • The hosts also mention Symbiotic as another team exploring a similar risk-management and collateral model, validating the overall market opportunity.

Takeaways

  • Pivotal Use Case: Securing AI agents could become a primary and highly profitable use case for Eigenlayer's restaking protocol.
  • "Pick-and-Shovel" Play: Investing in Eigenlayer (once its token is transferable) or its ecosystem could be a way to get exposure to the broad growth of agentic finance without betting on a single AI application.
  • Watch the Pivot: Investors should monitor Eigenlayer's development and partnerships in the AI space, as this represents a significant strategic shift and potential value driver.

Coinbase (COIN)

  • Coinbase is highlighted as the creator of X402, a proposed open standard for payments on the web.
  • X402 is designed to allow AI agents to easily pay for API calls and other services on a per-use basis, which is a fundamental requirement for an agentic economy.
  • The hosts contrast Coinbase's open approach with the "closed" standards being developed by competitors like OpenAI and Stripe.
  • The podcast suggests that open standards have historically won out (e.g., HTTP for the web), and if X402 becomes the dominant standard, Coinbase would be in a powerful position to build and monetize services around it.
  • This initiative is seen as a strategic move by Coinbase to expand its influence beyond its core exchange business and into the foundational layer of the AI economy.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Long-Term Catalyst: Coinbase's work on the X402 standard is a significant, forward-looking initiative that could create substantial long-term value.
  • Strategic Positioning: This positions COIN not just as a crypto exchange, but as a key infrastructure provider for the future intersection of AI and commerce.
  • Monitor Adoption: The success of this strategy depends on the adoption of X402. Investors should watch for announcements of projects and companies integrating the standard.

Supabase

  • Supabase is a commercial open-source software company providing database solutions.
  • It was cited as a direct beneficiary of the rise of AI agents, becoming the "go-to database for coding agents" because it is cheap and easy to use.
  • The company has reportedly seen its growth accelerate significantly, growing 3x to 4x in the past couple of months directly because of this "emergent demand funnel."

Takeaways

  • A Concrete "Picks and Shovels" Example: Supabase is a real-world example of a company benefiting today from the build-out of AI agent infrastructure.
  • Leading Indicator: The rapid growth of companies like Supabase serves as a strong signal that the AI agent economy is developing quickly, even if it's not yet visible to most consumers.

Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) & Wealth Management (Sector Outlook)

  • The hosts are extremely bearish on the traditional Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) business model, particularly for retail clients.
  • They argue that AI will be able to provide a superior, more personalized financial advisory experience. AI can understand a user's goals and risk tolerance deeply and construct portfolios accordingly, making the human sales and relationship management aspect of many RIAs obsolete.
  • One host predicts the broad retail RIA business model is "toast" and will be "eaten in five years."
  • This disruption is already beginning with platforms like Betterment.

Takeaways

  • Sector Under Threat: The traditional wealth management industry, especially the segment serving mass-market retail clients, faces significant disruption from AI.
  • Investment Implication: Be cautious about long-term investments in traditional wealth management firms that have not heavily invested in AI-driven personalization and automation. Conversely, look for opportunities in fintech companies that are leading this disruption.
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Episode Description
This week, Mippo, Myles, and Xavier sat down to discuss agentic finance at the intersection of AI and crypto. They cover payment rails, emerging standards, agent trust and incentives, identity and collateral mechanisms, market competition, trading use cases, UX challenges, and broader implications for compliance, infrastructure, and value creation in AI-driven financial systems.Thanks for tuning in! Resources The Evolution of Open Source: https://youtu.be/9BwdBkGiFS0?si=Qpy-hjgPixyXLm1E The Intersection of AI and Crypto: https://youtu.be/OgisYpLfDNw?si=e29cpZYQk4cPbrlr – Follow Myles: https://x.com/MylesOneil Follow Xavier: https://x.com/0xave Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3R1D1D9 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3pQTfmD Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3cpKZXH —- (00:00) Introduction (01:40) Overview of Agentic Finance (10:03) Emerging Standards (16:57) Competition in the Market (23:22) Will Agents Use Crypto Rails? (43:35) Using Agents for Trading (55:35) How Agentic Finance Changes the World —-- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Bell Curve is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Mike, Jason, Michael, Vance and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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Bell Curve

By Blockworks

Bell Curve breaks down the most important themes in crypto for people who, like us, are confined to the middle of the bell curve. Each season explores a different thesis that we'll test and refine through debate with crypto's best. If you're a crypto native, degen or investooor, this podcast is for you. Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3R1D1D9 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3pQTfmD Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3cpKZXH Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ Join the Bell Curve Telegram group: https://t.me/+nzyxAvQ0Xxc3YTEx