Top AI Stocks after the Recent Crash: What's Cheap? EV/GP/RG (MU NVDA NBIS META AMZN AMD TSM CRWV..)
Top AI Stocks after the Recent Crash: What's Cheap? EV/GP/RG (MU NVDA NBIS META AMZN AMD TSM CRWV..)
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Accumulate shares of Meta Platforms (META) as it currently trades as the cheapest Magnificent 7 stock, sitting roughly 20% cheaper than NVIDIA (NVDA).

Take advantage of NVIDIA’s favorable valuation near the $200 price level, as its fabless business model allows for rapid scaling during the ongoing AI boom.

Target Micron Technology (MU) around the $820 level as a top hardware pick, supported by an ultra-low P/E ratio of 4.5 to 5 and a shift away from pure cyclicality.

Invest in Nebius (NBIS) while it trades under the $200 threshold, capitalizing on its temporary valuation dip and multi-billion-dollar enterprise contracts.

Avoid overvalued AI hardware plays like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Broadcom (AVGO) until their valuation multiples drop to align more closely with industry peers.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Considered to be very cheap at the $200 price level, ranking as the second cheapest among the Magnificent 7 stocks based on a modification of the PEG ratio (enterprise value over gross profit over revenue growth).
  • Operates in a fabless business model, meaning it designs chips and operates in the world of bits rather than physical manufacturing, allowing for much faster scaling and growth compared to physical foundries.
  • Highlighted as one of the top hardware picks alongside Micron due to explosive AI demand and hardware needs.

Takeaways

  • Consider accumulating shares while the valuation remains favorable relative to other mega-cap tech stocks.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • Recently saw a 15% stock price increase following an earnings call where CEO Andy Jassy highlighted crazy demand for AWS extending into 2028.
  • Ranks as the third cheapest among the Magnificent 7 on the speaker's comparative valuation metric with a score of 0.54, placing it in the middle tier of being neither overly cheap nor expensive.
  • Successfully announced an increase in capital expenditures (CapEx) while still seeing its stock price rise, indicating that the market is comfortable with its heavy AI investments.

Takeaways

  • Strong long-term demand trends suggest Amazon remains a solid infrastructure player in the AI boom.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • Identified as the cheapest Magnificent 7 stock, trading roughly 20% cheaper than NVIDIA following recent market drops.
  • Moving toward becoming a hyperscaler, with CEO Mark Zuckerberg indicating openness to potentially selling excess compute capacity.

Takeaways

  • Represents a high-value opportunity within the mega-cap tech space for investors looking for relative value in AI infrastructure.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • Viewed as significantly too expensive, noted as being more than twice as expensive as NVIDIA on a relative valuation basis.
  • Suffered from a rapid run-up in stock price that outpaced its fundamental valuation appeal.

Takeaways

  • The speaker suggests avoiding or eliminating AMD from consideration until its valuation drops to align more closely with industry peers.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI)

  • Extremely cheap in the hardware space with a valuation score of 0.22.
  • Plagued by drama and negative sentiment surrounding alleged China ties and regulatory concerns, which artificially depresses its market price.

Takeaways

  • While statistically cheap, investors must weigh the heavy headline risk and dramatic market sentiment associated with the company.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • Highlighted as extraordinarily cheap, trading at a valuation score of 0.12 and a low price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of roughly 4.5 to 5.
  • Historically viewed by Wall Street as a cyclical business, but this narrative may be shifting as Micron secures 17 five-year long-term contracts featuring upfront payments and cancellation fees.
  • Memory is argued to be evolving into a cornerstone of AI alongside GPUs, potentially positioning Micron to eventually reach a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.
  • Traded down recently to around $820 (with previous buyer interest noted around $600 to $700), though the speaker fears it may quickly bounce back up to $1,000.

Takeaways

  • Considered one of the top hardware picks due to its ultra-low valuation and changing business dynamics away from pure cyclicality.

Broadcom (AVGO)

  • Praised for strong management and its position as the king of custom ASIC chips, but evaluated with a valuation score of 0.66.
  • Dismissed as too expensive relative to its growth prospects, putting it in a similar category to AMD.

Takeaways

  • Easily eliminated from a value-focused AI portfolio due to stretched valuation multiples.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC)

  • Acts as the world's largest chip foundry, meaning it benefits regardless of which specific company wins the AI race.
  • Considered too slow-growing for the AI era, projected at 33% revenue growth over the next 12 months, which falls short of the speaker's preference for stocks capable of doubling revenues in a year.
  • Bound by physical constraints ("moving at the pace of atoms" in the brick-and-mortar world), making it harder to scale as rapidly as fabless designers like NVIDIA.

Takeaways

  • Excluded from top picks because physical manufacturing bottlenecks limit its hyper-growth potential compared to software or fabless hardware peers.

Nebius (NBIS)

  • Identified as the speaker's favorite neo-cloud pick, specializing in pure-play GPU data centers and cloud infrastructure.
  • Secured major multi-billion-dollar backlogs and contracts with major players like Microsoft and Facebook.
  • Valuation dipped temporarily to a score of 0.16 during a recent market drop, with the stock trading under $200.
  • Risk factors mentioned include the potential burden of debt required to fund heavy capital expenditures.

Takeaways

  • Viewed as a strong investment under $200, with future revenue growth heavily supported by secured enterprise contracts.

CoreWeave (CRWV)

  • Operates as a neo-cloud GPU provider similar to Nebius, leaning more toward bare-metal offerings alongside some software solutions.
  • Noted as slightly more expensive than Nebius and carrying higher debt to fund necessary infrastructure investments.

Takeaways

  • Requires market comfort with heavy CapEx and debt loads, though it benefits directly from surging global demand for compute power.
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