New Bitcoin Benchmarks OUTPERFORM the S&P 500? Why MSTR Is Best Suited to Attract New Capital Pools!
New Bitcoin Benchmarks OUTPERFORM the S&P 500? Why MSTR Is Best Suited to Attract New Capital Pools!
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

For diversified exposure to the growing digital asset economy, consider the Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF (BITW), which is presented as a potential benchmark of the future. A top holding in this ETF, MicroStrategy (MSTR), is highlighted as a high-conviction individual stock for its significant Bitcoin holdings and leadership in the space. The core thesis suggests Bitcoin (BTC) itself is a foundational savings technology with massive long-term growth potential as it captures value from traditional assets. The BITW ETF offers a simple way to invest in a basket of key crypto companies, including MSTR, Marathon Digital (MARA), and Coinbase (COIN). This strategy is based on the major investment theme of capital shifting from legacy financial systems to a new, decentralized digital economy.

Detailed Analysis

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • The speaker is very bullish on MSTR.
  • The S&P 500 recently decided not to include MSTR in its index. The speaker views this as a failure of the S&P 500, not a negative for MSTR. It suggests the S&P 500 is an outdated, "legacy" benchmark that is "actively fighting against" innovative companies.
  • In contrast, the NASDAQ 100 included MSTR as soon as it was eligible, which is seen as a positive indicator for both the company and the NASDAQ index.
  • MSTR is the number one holding in the Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF (BITW), which the speaker views as a potential benchmark for the future. This positioning is expected to remain, ensuring consistent demand for the stock from the ETF.
  • The speaker believes that wealth created in the new digital/crypto economy will flow into assets like MSTR.
  • It is suggested that MSTR should be more proactive in creating tokenized versions of its stock to trade on modern blockchain rails.

Takeaways

  • The rejection by the S&P 500 should be viewed as a sign of MSTR's disruptive nature, rather than a fundamental weakness of the company, according to the speaker.
  • Investors looking for exposure to the growth of the digital asset economy might consider MSTR as a primary vehicle, as it is a key holding in major crypto-related ETFs and is seen as a leader in the space.
  • The stock is positioned to attract capital from new pools of wealth being generated within the crypto ecosystem.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The speaker describes Bitcoin as the ultimate savings technology and predicts it will lead to the "end of fiat" currency.
  • It is the largest and most important part of the new digital financial ecosystem, making up more than half of the entire crypto market.
  • The current market capitalization of Bitcoin (mentioned as just under $4 trillion at the time of the podcast) is presented as very small compared to other major asset classes like Gold ($15 trillion), Equity ($125 trillion), and Real Estate ($355 trillion).
  • This size comparison is used to argue that Bitcoin has a massive potential for growth as capital moves from the "analog world" to the "digital world."

Takeaways

  • The speaker presents a long-term, highly bullish thesis for Bitcoin, viewing it as a foundational asset that will fundamentally disrupt traditional finance.
  • Investors should consider the potential for Bitcoin to capture a significant share of the global wealth currently stored in assets like bonds, equities, and gold. The growth potential is framed as being exceptionally large.

Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF (BITW)

  • The speaker refers to this ETF as "OwnBee" or "OwnB", but the holdings described match the Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF (BITW).
  • The speaker is extremely bullish on this ETF, viewing it as a potential "benchmark of the future" that will likely outperform traditional indexes.
  • Since its inception (6 months prior to the podcast), BITW has significantly outperformed the S&P 500, with a 26% total return versus the S&P's 17%.
  • The outperformance is attributed to its holdings in innovative crypto companies. Top holdings mentioned include:
    • MicroStrategy (MSTR) (Number one holding)
    • Marathon Digital (MARA)
    • Riot Platforms (RIOT)
    • Hut 8 (HUT)
    • Coinbase (COIN)
    • Metaplanet
    • CleanSpark (CLSK)
  • The ETF has a rules-based methodology, which the speaker prefers over the committee-based approach of the S&P 500. Companies with more than 1,000 bitcoins on their balance sheet become eligible for inclusion.
  • It is described as "highly diversified" within the crypto-equity space.

Takeaways

  • For investors seeking diversified exposure to the broader crypto industry (beyond just holding Bitcoin itself), BITW is presented as a superior option to picking individual stocks.
  • The speaker strongly favors this ETF as a modern investment vehicle that is better aligned with the future of finance than traditional indexes like the S&P 500.

Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF (BLOK)

  • This is another ETF focused on blockchain and crypto companies.
  • The speaker considers BLOK to be "inferior" to the Bitwise ETF (BITW).
  • The reason for this view is that BLOK has some "weird holdings" that don't seem to fit the theme, such as IBM.
  • Despite this, the ETF has also successfully beaten the S&P 500, with an 18% average annual return versus the S&P's 13%.
  • Key holdings that align with the crypto theme include:
    • MicroStrategy (MSTR)
    • Galaxy Digital (GLXY.TO)
    • Robinhood (HOOD)
    • Coinbase (COIN)

Takeaways

  • BLOK is presented as another option for gaining exposure to the blockchain theme.
  • While it has a strong performance history, investors should review its holdings to see if they align with their investment thesis, as the speaker suggests it may be less focused than other crypto ETFs like BITW.

Investment Theme: The New Digital Economy vs. Legacy Finance

  • A core thesis of the podcast is the massive shift of capital and wealth creation from the "analog world" (traditional stocks, S&P 500, legacy brokers) to the "digital world" (crypto, blockchains, tokenized assets).
  • Benchmarks: The S&P 500 is criticized as an outdated, slow-moving benchmark that actively rejects innovative winners. The NASDAQ 100 is praised as a superior, rules-based index that adopts winners like MSTR and Tesla (TSLA) much earlier.
  • Tokenized Stocks: The speaker envisions a future where companies issue stock directly on blockchains like Solana (SOL) or Ethereum (ETH). This would enable 24/7 trading, near-zero fees, and access to a global pool of capital, making legacy brokers like Charles Schwab (mentioned with its $50 trade fees and slow settlement times) obsolete.
  • Blockchains Replacing Companies: The speaker believes that many Web 2.0 companies (e.g., social networks) and financial services (e.g., banks, lending) will eventually be replaced by decentralized applications (dApps) and protocols running on blockchains.
  • Wealth Accrual: In this new model, value will accrue to the users and participants of the network through token ownership (e.g., via airdrops), rather than to traditional, centralized shareholders. The new generation of workers and investors are making significant money in this digital world, and that capital will flow into digital assets.

Takeaways

  • Investors should consider that the traditional financial system and its benchmarks may be in decline, while a new, parallel digital system is rapidly growing.
  • Portfolios may benefit from exposure to assets and themes aligned with this digital shift, such as crypto-focused ETFs (BITW, BLOK), key companies (MSTR), and foundational cryptocurrencies (BTC).
  • The long-term vision is one where financial assets are tokenized and traded on blockchains, and entire corporate structures are replaced by decentralized, user-owned networks. This represents both a significant opportunity and a major risk for traditional investments.
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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). Therefore, I don't cover just inexpensive stocks: I also cover Bitcoin derivative stocks such as Strategy Stock (MSTR stock) and Common Stock ATM to generate a Bitcoin Yield, by issuing more MSTR shares. Today I go over why the S&P 500 inclusion is telling us more about the S&P committee than about Strategy's place in the future ecosystem of capital of world, and why the pie grows so much faster on the new side of capital. No Financial Advice!! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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