My HIMS and NBIS Plan: Expectations, Market Reaction & Valuation. Wait for a Deal? Big Moves to Come
My HIMS and NBIS Plan: Expectations, Market Reaction & Valuation. Wait for a Deal? Big Moves to Come
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Wait to buy Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) at $31 until after earnings, targeting a 20% narrative-driven pullback to accumulate shares at a discount.

Capitalize on Nebius (NBIS) trading at $187 by treating short-seller pressure as a buying opportunity for this high-growth AI infrastructure play with a $51 billion pipeline.

Exercise patience with Nebius (NBIS) by avoiding pre-earnings bets and waiting for short-term volatility to secure better entry points.

Target CoreWeave (COREW), valued at an $82 billion market cap, as a top pure-play NeoCloud candidate if a broader market pullback creates a 30% discount.

Detailed Analysis

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)

  • Trading at $31 per share with extreme 30-day volatility measured at 94%, which is higher than many cryptocurrencies.
  • Long-term outlook is viewed as very positive, acting as an all-in-one healthcare platform for small-to-medium health problems that bypasses traditional insurance.
  • Key catalysts to watch during upcoming earnings include:
    • Expansion and popularity of wearables and their scale launch for tracking GLP-1 weight loss.
    • Growth metrics and revenue share breakdown for GLP-1 offerings compared to traditional weight loss and metformin bills.
    • Timelines for peptide launches, anticipated around early 2027.
    • Integration updates and long-term outlook updates regarding the Eucalyptus acquisition.
    • Product mix performance across erectile dysfunction (ED) segments, testosterone, HERS growth, and anxiety treatments.
  • Risk factors and market fears (FUD) mentioned:
    • Potential FTC lawsuits and associated legal fees or fines (viewed as a long-term non-issue).
    • Potential criticisms regarding marketing spend.
    • Temporary slowdowns or shifts in the ED product mix.
    • General market sell-offs despite strong earnings reports.

Takeaways

  • Avoid opening new positions prior to earnings due to the current high-volatility "casino" market environment where excellent earnings have frequently been met with sell-offs.
  • Wait for potential market overreactions or narrative-driven 20% drawdowns to consider accumulating shares at a discount.

Nebius (NBIS)

  • Trading at $187 per share with an extremely high 30-day volatility of 130%.
  • Recent price drops are attributed largely to loud short positions taken by investor Michael Burry rather than fundamental business weakness.
  • Positioned favorably compared to other NeoClouds, featuring an elite management team composed of former Yandex executives.
  • Highlighted business metrics and assets:
    • Boasts massive upcoming pipelines with reported revenue expectations of $51 billion over the next five years, making expected revenue higher than the current enterprise value.
    • Rumored upcoming major contracts, including a potential $33 billion deal in Missouri potentially involving Google.
    • Owns a 26% stake in ClickHouse, a high-value data company valued at $15 billion in January 2026 with potential to rival Snowflake.
    • Holds a stake in AVRide backed by an investment from Uber.
    • Anticipated revenue growth numbers are projected by the speaker to potentially reach between 500% and 1,000%+.

Takeaways

  • Consider Nebius an attractive high-growth AI infrastructure play that is currently trading at a discount due to short-seller sentiment.
  • Exercise patience by avoiding pre-earnings bets and instead target entry points following potential short-term market volatility or pullbacks.

CoreWeave (COREW)

  • Trading with a market cap of $82 billion and a 30-day volatility of 100%, showing relative stability compared to Nebius.
  • Identified as the original NeoCloud provider, holding a massive backlog worth $99 billion with a significant portion to be recognized over 24 months.
  • Faces market skepticism driven by debt concerns and criticisms surrounding its OpenAI agreements.
  • Shows strong pricing stability for tokens, with companies increasingly willing to pay more for compute power.
  • Listed as the number one holding in a newly launched NeoCloud ETF, highlighting strong sector interest.

Takeaways

  • CoreWeave serves as a strong pure-play NeoCloud candidate for investment additions if a broader market pullback creates a 30% discount.
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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). Therefore, I don't cover just inexpensive stocks: I also cover my earnings expectations for stocks like Hims stock, Nebius stock (NBIS stock) and CoreWeave stock (CRWV stock). No Financial Advice! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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